Carl Lee · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Carl Lee across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played181

Games started152

Weighted career AV69

Pro Bowls3

AP1 All-Pro1

Career seasons12

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

1983 · Round 7 · #186

MIN draft credit

GM Mike Lynn

Team games169

Team starts144

On-team AV80

On-team PB / AP13 / 1

Excellent+6.87 contribution3rd of 70 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Carl Lee was Mike Lynn's 3rd-best of 70 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +6.87. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Mike Lynn's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

169

on drafting team · 181 full-career

Games started

144

on drafting team · 152 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 69

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

1 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Mike Lynn's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Mike Lynn pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Carl Lee totals +6.87. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationCarl LeeGM total +15.7Carl Lee by season +11.7

How much retained production did Carl Lee return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DBs drafted within ±5 picks of Carl Lee since 2010 (15 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Carl LeeSlot-similar peers (15)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (12 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB	AP1
1983	MIN	16	3	—	—	2	—
1984	MIN	16	14	—	—	4	—
1985	MIN	15	5	—	—	3	—
1986	MIN	16	16	—	—	8	—
1987	MIN	12	12	—	—	4	—
1988	MIN	16	16	—	—	21	—	✓	★
1989	MIN	16	16	—	—	11	—	✓
1990	MIN	16	16	—	—	9	—	✓
1991	MIN	14	14	—	—	5	—
1992	MIN	16	16	—	—	6	—
1993	MIN	16	16	—	—	7	—
1994	NO	12	8	—	—	3	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.