Excellent+1.13 contribution4th of 27 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
An Excellent pick
Andy Lee was Terry Donahue's 4th-best of 27 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +1.13. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Terry Donahue's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
176
on drafting team · 297 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
33
modeled; full weighted AV 34
AV / 1k snaps
19.6
306 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
+0.3
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
3
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
3 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 1
All-Decade
0
context only
Did this pick move Terry Donahue's grade?
The first chart removes the time axis: every Terry Donahue pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Andy Lee totals +1.13. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player
Incremental contribution by season
Above expectationBelow expectationAndy LeeGM total +4.6Andy Lee by season +4.0
How much retained production did Andy Lee return vs. his slot?
Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: Ps drafted within ±5 picks of Andy Lee since 2010 (3 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
Andy LeeSlot-similar peers (3)
Cumulative value over time
Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
Games started (cumulative)Pro BowlsAP1 All-ProAP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (19 scored seasons)
Year
Team
GP
GS
Snaps
Snap-z
AV
AV/snap
PB
AP1
AP2
2004
SF
16
0
—
—
2
—
2005
SF
16
0
—
—
1
—
2006
SF
16
0
—
—
3
—
2007
SF
16
0
—
—
4
—
✓
★
2008
SF
16
0
—
—
3
—
2009
SF
16
0
—
—
4
—
✓
·
2010
SF
16
0
—
—
3
—
2011
SF
16
0
—
—
4
—
✓
★
2012
SF
16
0
—
—
3
—
★
2013
SF
16
0
162
—
3
18.5
2014
SF
16
0
144
—
3
20.8
2015
CLE
16
0
129
—
3
23.3
2016
CAR
9
0
80
—
2
25.0
2017
ARI
16
0
159
—
3
18.9
2018
ARI
16
0
137
—
4
29.2
2019
ARI
15
0
136
0.0
3
22.1
2020
ARI
16
0
142
0.3
2
14.1
2021
ARI
16
0
136
0.5
3
22.1
2022
ARI
17
0
129
—
2
15.5
How to read this
The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.
