All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Niko Koutouvides across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 125
Games started 3
Weighted career AV 8
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 9
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 59
Team starts 2
On-team AV 5
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Terrible -1.27 contribution 42nd of 47 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Niko Koutouvides became a 9-season, 125-game NFL player after going #116. The retained-value model still ranks him 42nd of 47 for Mike Holmgren because SEA only got 59 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -1.27 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Mike Holmgren's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
59
on drafting team · 125 full-career
Games started
2
on drafting team · 3 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
5
modeled; full weighted AV 8
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Mike Holmgren's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Mike Holmgren pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Niko Koutouvides totals -1.27 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 19. Alexander #19 · Shaun Alexander · aggregate +5.37 Alexander +5.4 80. Jackson #80 · Darrell Jackson · aggregate +2.70 Jackson +2.7 11. Trufant #11 · Marcus Trufant · aggregate +2.05 Trufant +2.1 17. Hutchinson #17 · Steve Hutchinson · aggregate +1.91 84. Locklear #84 · Sean Locklear · aggregate +1.37 183. Moore #183 · Rashad Moore · aggregate +0.93 157. Hackett #157 · D.J. Hackett · aggregate +0.88 119. Kacyvenski #119 · Isaiah Kacyvenski · aggregate +0.78 169. Hannam #169 · Ryan Hannam · aggregate +0.74 53. Boulware #53 · Michael Boulware · aggregate +0.74 189. Terrill #189 · Craig Terrill · aggregate +0.73 146. Bernard #146 · Rocky Bernard · aggregate +0.71 190. Hilliard #190 · John Hilliard · aggregate +0.68 140. Bannister #140 · Alex Bannister · aggregate +0.67 104. Huff #104 · Orlando Huff · aggregate +0.54 175. Williams #175 · James Williams · aggregate +0.41 116. Bell #116 · Marcus Bell · aggregate +0.40 120. Bierria #120 · Terreal Bierria · aggregate +0.40 232. Kelly #232 · Jeff Kelly · aggregate +0.38 194. Jarrett #194 · Craig Jarrett · aggregate +0.34 128. Womack #128 · Floyd Womack · aggregate +0.27 172. Booty #172 · Josh Booty · aggregate +0.22 210. Blackmon #210 · Harold Blackmon · aggregate +0.11 42. Hamlin #42 · Ken Hamlin · aggregate +0.11 127. Fuller #127 · Curtis Fuller · aggregate +0.10 171. Hill #171 · Matt Hill · aggregate +0.07 237. Kocurek #237 · Kris Kocurek · aggregate +0.05 40. Lucas #40 · Ken Lucas · aggregate +0.01 224. Wallace #224 · Taco Wallace · aggregate -0.02 85. Richard #85 · Kris Richard · aggregate -0.03 185. Watson #185 · Tim Watson · aggregate -0.07 135. Bates #135 · Solomon Bates · aggregate -0.18 165. Davis #165 · Chris Davis · aggregate -0.23 9. Robinson #9 · Koren Robinson · aggregate -0.24 52. Charlton #52 · Ike Charlton · aggregate -0.37 60. Palepoi #60 · Anton Palepoi · aggregate -0.45 23. Tubbs #23 · Marcus Tubbs · aggregate -0.46 54. Morris #54 · Maurice Morris · aggregate -0.75 22. McIntosh #22 · Chris McIntosh · aggregate -0.85 28. Stevens #28 · Jerramy Stevens · aggregate -1.10 110. Wallace #110 · Seneca Wallace · aggregate -1.25 116. Koutouvides #116 · Niko Koutouvides · aggregate -1.27 Koutouvides -1.3 222. Norman #222 · Dennis Norman · aggregate -1.77 222. Brown #222 · Josh Brown · aggregate -1.96 82. Evans #82 · Heath Evans · aggregate -1.99 73. Hunter #73 · Wayne Hunter · aggregate -3.07 Hunter -3.1 224. Jones #224 · Donnie Jones · aggregate -4.28 Jones -4.3 Incremental contribution by season -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 2000 · John Hilliard · incremental +0.05 2000 · James Williams · incremental +0.15 2000 · Isaiah Kacyvenski · incremental +0.16 2000 · Marcus Bell · incremental +0.18 2000 · Darrell Jackson · incremental +0.23 2000 · Shaun Alexander · incremental +0.24 2000 · Ike Charlton · incremental -0.09 2000 · Tim Watson · incremental -0.23 2000 · Chris McIntosh · incremental -0.97 2001 · Harold Blackmon · incremental +0.00 2001 · Curtis Fuller · incremental +0.04 2001 · Orlando Huff · incremental +0.08 2001 · Marcus Bell · incremental +0.17 2001 · Alex Bannister · incremental +0.21 2001 · James Williams · incremental +0.23 2001 · Isaiah Kacyvenski · incremental +0.24 2001 · Josh Booty · incremental +0.28 2001 · Shaun Alexander · incremental +0.58 2001 · Darrell Jackson · incremental +0.67 2001 · John Hilliard · incremental +0.68 2001 · Kris Kocurek · incremental -0.01 2001 · Floyd Womack · incremental -0.22 2001 · Steve Hutchinson · incremental -0.29 2001 · Ken Lucas · incremental -0.34 2001 · Chris McIntosh · incremental -0.35 2001 · Ike Charlton · incremental -0.48 2001 · Heath Evans · incremental -0.57 2001 · Koren Robinson · incremental -0.58 2001 · Dennis Norman · incremental -1.71 2002 · Kris Richard · incremental +0.03 2002 · Koren Robinson · incremental +0.05 2002 · Harold Blackmon · incremental +0.09 2002 · Curtis Fuller · incremental +0.10 2002 · Floyd Womack · incremental +0.10 2002 · Matt Hill · incremental +0.12 2002 · Terreal Bierria · incremental +0.12 2002 · Ken Lucas · incremental +0.12 2002 · Alex Bannister · incremental +0.18 2002 · Isaiah Kacyvenski · incremental +0.19 2002 · Ryan Hannam · incremental +0.22 2002 · James Williams · incremental +0.27 2002 · Orlando Huff · incremental +0.28 2002 · John Hilliard · incremental +0.28 2002 · Marcus Bell · incremental +0.31 2002 · Craig Jarrett · incremental +0.34 2002 · Darrell Jackson · incremental +0.53 2002 · Jeff Kelly · incremental +0.54 2002 · Shaun Alexander · incremental +0.63 2002 · Rocky Bernard · incremental -0.06 2002 · Steve Hutchinson · incremental -0.07 2002 · Anton Palepoi · incremental -0.55 2002 · Jerramy Stevens · incremental -0.68 2002 · Maurice Morris · incremental -0.72 2002 · Heath Evans · incremental -1.69 2003 · Maurice Morris · incremental +0.04 2003 · Taco Wallace · incremental +0.05 2003 · Koren Robinson · incremental +0.05 2003 · Ken Lucas · incremental +0.08 2003 · Ryan Hannam · incremental +0.08 2003 · Floyd Womack · incremental +0.09 2003 · Rocky Bernard · incremental +0.10 2003 · Orlando Huff · incremental +0.15 2003 · Isaiah Kacyvenski · incremental +0.20 2003 · Rashad Moore · incremental +0.54 2003 · Darrell Jackson · incremental +0.75 2003 · Alex Bannister · incremental +1.04 2003 · Shaun Alexander · incremental +1.60 2003 · Steve Hutchinson · incremental +1.96 2003 · Matt Hill · incremental -0.02 2003 · Solomon Bates · incremental -0.07 2003 · Jerramy Stevens · incremental -0.11 2003 · Kris Richard · incremental -0.14 2003 · Anton Palepoi · incremental -0.14 2003 · Ken Hamlin · incremental -0.17 2003 · Marcus Trufant · incremental -0.18 2003 · Seneca Wallace · incremental -0.21 2003 · Chris Davis · incremental -0.42 2003 · Heath Evans · incremental -0.59 2003 · Dennis Norman · incremental -1.08 2003 · Josh Brown · incremental -2.17 2003 · Wayne Hunter · incremental -3.21 2004 · Craig Terrill · incremental +0.03 2004 · Koren Robinson · incremental +0.03 2004 · Alex Bannister · incremental +0.06 2004 · Maurice Morris · incremental +0.08 2004 · Kris Richard · incremental +0.11 2004 · Ken Lucas · incremental +0.12 2004 · Ken Hamlin · incremental +0.13 2004 · Floyd Womack · incremental +0.13 2004 · Rocky Bernard · incremental +0.13 2004 · Michael Boulware · incremental +0.24 2004 · Isaiah Kacyvenski · incremental +0.32 2004 · Steve Hutchinson · incremental +0.32 2004 · Orlando Huff · incremental +0.37 2004 · Ryan Hannam · incremental +0.41 2004 · Marcus Trufant · incremental +0.45 2004 · Terreal Bierria · incremental +0.48 2004 · Darrell Jackson · incremental +0.70 2004 · Rashad Moore · incremental +0.84 2004 · Shaun Alexander · incremental +1.56 2004 · Anton Palepoi · incremental -0.01 2004 · D.J. Hackett · incremental -0.02 2004 · Heath Evans · incremental -0.04 2004 · Sean Locklear · incremental -0.12 2004 · Taco Wallace · incremental -0.13 2004 · Marcus Tubbs · incremental -0.22 2004 · Solomon Bates · incremental -0.23 2004 · Jerramy Stevens · incremental -0.23 2004 · Josh Brown · incremental -0.29 2004 · Wayne Hunter · incremental -0.82 2004 · Niko Koutouvides · incremental -1.42 2004 · Donnie Jones · incremental -6.68 2005 · Alex Bannister · incremental +0.03 2005 · Ken Hamlin · incremental +0.05 2005 · Floyd Womack · incremental +0.09 2005 · Rocky Bernard · incremental +0.21 2005 · Isaiah Kacyvenski · incremental +0.24 2005 · Craig Terrill · incremental +0.28 2005 · Darrell Jackson · incremental +0.32 2005 · Marcus Trufant · incremental +0.42 2005 · D.J. Hackett · incremental +0.43 2005 · Ryan Hannam · incremental +0.47 2005 · Sean Locklear · incremental +0.47 2005 · Michael Boulware · incremental +0.53 2005 · Steve Hutchinson · incremental +1.96 2005 · Shaun Alexander · incremental +3.50 2005 · Maurice Morris · incremental -0.00 2005 · Seneca Wallace · incremental -0.10 2005 · Niko Koutouvides · incremental -0.14 2005 · Josh Brown · incremental -0.20 2005 · Marcus Tubbs · incremental -0.39 2005 · Jerramy Stevens · incremental -0.49 2005 · Wayne Hunter · incremental -0.82 2006 · Isaiah Kacyvenski · incremental +0.04 2006 · Floyd Womack · incremental +0.09 2006 · Ken Hamlin · incremental +0.13 2006 · Craig Terrill · incremental +0.20 2006 · Rocky Bernard · incremental +0.27 2006 · Sean Locklear · incremental +0.30 2006 · Michael Boulware · incremental +0.34 2006 · Shaun Alexander · incremental +0.35 2006 · Marcus Trufant · incremental +0.41 2006 · D.J. Hackett · incremental +0.49 2006 · Darrell Jackson · incremental +0.56 2006 · Marcus Tubbs · incremental -0.09 2006 · Niko Koutouvides · incremental -0.14 2006 · Maurice Morris · incremental -0.19 2006 · Josh Brown · incremental -0.20 2006 · Jerramy Stevens · incremental -0.23 2006 · Seneca Wallace · incremental -0.42 2007 · Floyd Womack · incremental +0.11 2007 · Craig Terrill · incremental +0.20 2007 · Rocky Bernard · incremental +0.25 2007 · D.J. Hackett · incremental +0.33 2007 · Shaun Alexander · incremental +0.35 2007 · Sean Locklear · incremental +0.47 2007 · Marcus Trufant · incremental +0.83 2007 · Seneca Wallace · incremental -0.12 2007 · Niko Koutouvides · incremental -0.14 2007 · Maurice Morris · incremental -0.17 2007 · Josh Brown · incremental -0.25 2008 · Koren Robinson · incremental +0.06 2008 · Floyd Womack · incremental +0.14 2008 · Craig Terrill · incremental +0.24 2008 · Rocky Bernard · incremental +0.26 2008 · Sean Locklear · incremental +0.33 2008 · Marcus Trufant · incremental +0.43 2008 · Maurice Morris · incremental -0.15 2008 · Seneca Wallace · incremental -0.74 2009 · Ken Lucas · incremental +0.08 2009 · Craig Terrill · incremental +0.18 2009 · Marcus Trufant · incremental +0.26 2009 · Sean Locklear · incremental +0.28 2009 · Seneca Wallace · incremental -0.29 2010 · Craig Terrill · incremental +0.17 2010 · Sean Locklear · incremental +0.43 2010 · Marcus Trufant · incremental +0.45 2011 · Marcus Trufant · incremental +0.11 2012 · Marcus Trufant · incremental +0.16 Norman -1.7 Evans -1.7 Alexander +1.6 Hutchinson +2.0 Brown -2.2 Hunter -3.2 Alexander +1.6 Koutouvides -1.4 Jones -6.7 Hutchinson +2.0 Alexander +3.5 Koutouvides -0.1 Koutouvides -0.1 Koutouvides -0.1 2000 9 players 2001 20 players 2002 25 players 2003 27 players 2004 31 players 2005 21 players 2006 17 players 2007 11 players 2008 8 players 2009 5 players 2010 3 players 2011 1 player 2012 1 player
How much retained production did Niko Koutouvides return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: LBs drafted within ±5 picks of Niko Koutouvides since 2010 (22 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-1 -0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 118. Knight Tyrice Knight · model value +0.7 119. Hitchens Anthony Hitchens · model value +0.6 119. Robinson Keenan Robinson · model value +0.4 120. Hodges Gerald Hodges · model value +0.2 116. Matthews Casey Matthews · model value +0.2 112. Stutsman Danny Stutsman · model value -0.1 119. Carter Barrett Carter · model value -0.1 117. Greene Khaseem Greene · model value -0.1 120. Johnson James-Michael Johnson · model value -0.1 121. Clayton Keenan Clayton · model value -0.2 119. Walker Mykal Walker · model value -0.2 121. Miller Ventrell Miller · model value -0.2 119. Edds A.J. Edds · model value -0.3 115. Dillard Phillip Dillard · model value -0.3 115. Cox Jabril Cox · model value -0.3 118. Porter Sean Porter · model value -0.3 120. Smith Brandon Smith · model value -0.3 121. Bradford Carl Bradford · model value -0.3 115. Miller Christian Miller · model value -0.4 115. Simon Cody Simon · model value -0.4 115. Iyiegbuniwe Joel Iyiegbuniwe · model value -0.5 116. Koutouvides Niko Koutouvides · model value -0.7 -0.7 113. Wilber Kyle Wilber · model value -1 Niko Koutouvides
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'04 '06 '08 '10 '12 0 1 2 2 3 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count
Full-career season history (9 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.