All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Charles Johnson across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 133
Games started 87
Weighted career AV 39
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 9
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 76
Team starts 58
On-team AV 33
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Average -0.28 contribution 50th of 81 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Charles Johnson became a 9-season, 133-game NFL player after going #17. The retained-value model still ranks him 50th of 81 for Tom Donahoe because PIT only got 76 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.28 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Tom Donahoe's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
76
on drafting team · 133 full-career
Games started
58
on drafting team · 87 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
33
modeled; full weighted AV 39
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Tom Donahoe's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Tom Donahoe pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Charles Johnson totals -0.28 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 26. Faneca #26 · Alan Faneca · aggregate +13.20 Faneca +13.2 92. Ward #92 · Hines Ward · aggregate +7.63 Ward +7.6 88. Gildon #88 · Jason Gildon · aggregate +6.78 Gildon +6.8 109. Smith #109 · Aaron Smith · aggregate +4.49 Smith +4.5 73. Porter #73 · Joey Porter · aggregate +4.41 Porter +4.4 38. Kirkland #38 · Levon Kirkland · aggregate +3.99 Kirkland +4.0 67. Steed #67 · Joel Steed · aggregate +3.36 Steed +3.4 108. Henry #108 · Kevin Henry · aggregate +3.00 Henry +3.0 60. Stewart #60 · Kordell Stewart · aggregate +2.96 Stewart +3.0 151. Flowers #151 · Lee Flowers · aggregate +2.76 Flowers +2.8 126. Holmes #126 · Earl Holmes · aggregate +1.38 117. Townsend #117 · Deshea Townsend · aggregate +1.38 91. Stai #91 · Brenden Stai · aggregate +0.94 92. Witman #92 · Jon Witman · aggregate +0.88 158. Thompson #158 · Leroy Thompson · aggregate +0.53 140. Bell #140 · Myron Bell · aggregate +0.53 247. Ford #247 · Cole Ford · aggregate +0.51 24. Scott #24 · Chad Scott · aggregate +0.49 95. Zereoue #95 · Amos Zereoue · aggregate +0.49 103. Cooper #103 · Adrian Cooper · aggregate +0.38 125. Jones #125 · Donta Jones · aggregate +0.35 203. Fischer #203 · Spence Fischer · aggregate +0.33 136. Tuman #136 · Jerame Tuman · aggregate +0.31 189. Keith #189 · Craig Keith · aggregate +0.25 178. Fuamatu-Ma'afala #178 · Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala · aggregate +0.18 180. Ravotti #180 · Eric Ravotti · aggregate +0.13 154. Jones #154 · George Jones · aggregate +0.09 179. Campbell #179 · Russ Campbell · aggregate +0.07 53. Blackwell #53 · Will Blackwell · aggregate +0.05 223. Adams #223 · Mike Adams · aggregate +0.04 221. Rubio #221 · Angel Rubio · aggregate +0.03 91. Morris #91 · Bam Morris · aggregate +0.02 235. Bailey #235 · Henry Bailey · aggregate +0.01 214. Dingle #214 · Antonio Dingle · aggregate +0.01 199. Manuel #199 · Rod Manuel · aggregate +0.01 94. Davenport #94 · Charles Davenport · aggregate -0.05 199. Miles #199 · Barron Miles · aggregate -0.05 166. Johnson #166 · Malcolm Johnson · aggregate -0.08 209. Abrams #209 · Brice Abrams · aggregate -0.08 73. Mills #73 · Ernie Mills · aggregate -0.09 186. Porter #186 · Daryl Porter · aggregate -0.10 163. Raybon #163 · Israel Raybon · aggregate -0.11 23. Figures #23 · Deon Figures · aggregate -0.12 219. Kelsay #219 · Chad Kelsay · aggregate -0.13 132. Arnold #132 · Jahine Arnold · aggregate -0.14 88. Walker #88 · Sammy Walker · aggregate -0.18 122. Faumui #122 · Ta'ase Faumui · aggregate -0.23 59. Shields #59 · Scott Shields · aggregate -0.24 76. Hastings #76 · Andre Hastings · aggregate -0.27 17. Johnson #17 · Charles Johnson · aggregate -0.28 Johnson -0.3 186. Olson #186 · Ryan Olson · aggregate -0.29 123. Haller #123 · Alan Haller · aggregate -0.32 185. Jones #185 · Andre Jones · aggregate -0.33 123. King #123 · Carlos King · aggregate -0.37 161. Brown #161 · Lance Brown · aggregate -0.38 140. Woodard #140 · Marc Woodard · aggregate -0.47 148. Brown #148 · Gary Brown · aggregate -0.48 188. Graham #188 · Scottie Graham · aggregate -0.52 72. Conley #72 · Steve Conley · aggregate -0.53 66. Conrad #66 · Chris Conrad · aggregate -0.53 242. Emmons #242 · Carlos Emmons · aggregate -0.74 41. Staat #41 · Jeremy Staat · aggregate -0.81 82. Wiggins #82 · Paul Wiggins · aggregate -0.82 120. Gibson #120 · Oliver Gibson · aggregate -0.90 74. Farris #74 · Kris Farris · aggregate -0.90 11. Searcy #11 · Leon Searcy · aggregate -1.01 178. Miller #178 · Jim Miller · aggregate -1.16 162. Williams #162 · Willie Williams · aggregate -1.19 135. Palelei #135 · Lonnie Palelei · aggregate -1.22 29. Stephens #29 · Jamain Stephens · aggregate -1.27 13. Edwards #13 · Troy Edwards · aggregate -1.42 200. Roye #200 · Orpheus Roye · aggregate -1.49 228. Brown #228 · Kris Brown · aggregate -1.55 137. Simmons #137 · Jason Simmons · aggregate -1.57 15. Richardson #15 · Huey Richardson · aggregate -1.85 50. Buckner #50 · Brentson Buckner · aggregate -2.27 46. Graham #46 · Jeff Graham · aggregate -2.51 44. Brown #44 · Chad Brown · aggregate -2.98 Brown -3.0 27. Bruener #27 · Mark Bruener · aggregate -3.03 Bruener -3.0 91. Vrabel #91 · Mike Vrabel · aggregate -4.42 Vrabel -4.4 185. Zgonina #185 · Jeff Zgonina · aggregate -5.57 Zgonina -5.6 Incremental contribution by season -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 +14 1991 · Leroy Thompson · incremental +0.12 1991 · Adrian Cooper · incremental +0.19 1991 · Sammy Walker · incremental -0.05 1991 · Ernie Mills · incremental -0.20 1991 · Andre Jones · incremental -0.60 1991 · Jeff Graham · incremental -1.30 1991 · Huey Richardson · incremental -2.81 1992 · Ernie Mills · incremental +0.04 1992 · Joel Steed · incremental +0.18 1992 · Leroy Thompson · incremental +0.26 1992 · Adrian Cooper · incremental +0.33 1992 · Russ Campbell · incremental -0.07 1992 · Alan Haller · incremental -0.20 1992 · Charles Davenport · incremental -0.20 1992 · Sammy Walker · incremental -0.29 1992 · Levon Kirkland · incremental -0.46 1992 · Leon Searcy · incremental -0.62 1992 · Scottie Graham · incremental -0.85 1992 · Jeff Graham · incremental -1.37 1993 · Ernie Mills · incremental +0.03 1993 · Charles Davenport · incremental +0.16 1993 · Adrian Cooper · incremental +0.16 1993 · Kevin Henry · incremental +0.18 1993 · Craig Keith · incremental +0.23 1993 · Leroy Thompson · incremental +0.37 1993 · Levon Kirkland · incremental +0.51 1993 · Joel Steed · incremental +0.63 1993 · Deon Figures · incremental -0.10 1993 · Andre Hastings · incremental -0.16 1993 · Leon Searcy · incremental -0.28 1993 · Alan Haller · incremental -0.38 1993 · Willie Williams · incremental -0.55 1993 · Marc Woodard · incremental -0.82 1993 · Jeff Graham · incremental -1.29 1993 · Lonnie Palelei · incremental -1.75 1993 · Chad Brown · incremental -2.51 1993 · Jeff Zgonina · incremental -4.66 1994 · Ernie Mills · incremental +0.03 1994 · Craig Keith · incremental +0.04 1994 · Charles Davenport · incremental +0.07 1994 · Myron Bell · incremental +0.09 1994 · Jason Gildon · incremental +0.26 1994 · Kevin Henry · incremental +0.45 1994 · Levon Kirkland · incremental +0.57 1994 · Joel Steed · incremental +0.79 1994 · Eric Ravotti · incremental -0.01 1994 · Jim Miller · incremental -0.05 1994 · Willie Williams · incremental -0.06 1994 · Bam Morris · incremental -0.07 1994 · Deon Figures · incremental -0.12 1994 · Andre Hastings · incremental -0.12 1994 · Brice Abrams · incremental -0.19 1994 · Leon Searcy · incremental -0.28 1994 · Ta'ase Faumui · incremental -0.31 1994 · Charles Johnson · incremental -0.69 1994 · Gary Brown · incremental -0.82 1994 · Chad Brown · incremental -1.03 1994 · Brentson Buckner · incremental -1.43 1994 · Jeff Zgonina · incremental -3.77 1995 · Andre Hastings · incremental +0.00 1995 · Ernie Mills · incremental +0.02 1995 · Charles Johnson · incremental +0.04 1995 · Eric Ravotti · incremental +0.06 1995 · Deon Figures · incremental +0.07 1995 · Lee Flowers · incremental +0.11 1995 · Kordell Stewart · incremental +0.14 1995 · Brenden Stai · incremental +0.15 1995 · Donta Jones · incremental +0.16 1995 · Myron Bell · incremental +0.22 1995 · Jason Gildon · incremental +0.22 1995 · Kevin Henry · incremental +0.39 1995 · Joel Steed · incremental +0.52 1995 · Levon Kirkland · incremental +0.53 1995 · Cole Ford · incremental +0.60 1995 · Bam Morris · incremental -0.02 1995 · Henry Bailey · incremental -0.07 1995 · Ta'ase Faumui · incremental -0.10 1995 · Lonnie Palelei · incremental -0.19 1995 · Barron Miles · incremental -0.19 1995 · Leon Searcy · incremental -0.31 1995 · Lance Brown · incremental -0.42 1995 · Willie Williams · incremental -0.44 1995 · Chad Brown · incremental -0.59 1995 · Jim Miller · incremental -0.96 1995 · Oliver Gibson · incremental -0.99 1995 · Brentson Buckner · incremental -1.11 1995 · Mark Bruener · incremental -3.33 1996 · Ernie Mills · incremental +0.03 1996 · Charles Johnson · incremental +0.04 1996 · Deon Figures · incremental +0.04 1996 · Eric Ravotti · incremental +0.14 1996 · Donta Jones · incremental +0.17 1996 · Myron Bell · incremental +0.20 1996 · Jon Witman · incremental +0.22 1996 · Brenden Stai · incremental +0.23 1996 · Lee Flowers · incremental +0.28 1996 · Kordell Stewart · incremental +0.30 1996 · Spence Fischer · incremental +0.47 1996 · Kevin Henry · incremental +0.55 1996 · Jason Gildon · incremental +0.60 1996 · Joel Steed · incremental +0.73 1996 · Levon Kirkland · incremental +0.74 1996 · Steve Conley · incremental -0.06 1996 · Mark Bruener · incremental -0.09 1996 · Jamain Stephens · incremental -0.12 1996 · Oliver Gibson · incremental -0.12 1996 · Andre Hastings · incremental -0.18 1996 · Earl Holmes · incremental -0.21 1996 · Jahine Arnold · incremental -0.23 1996 · Israel Raybon · incremental -0.26 1996 · Carlos Emmons · incremental -0.32 1996 · Willie Williams · incremental -0.34 1996 · Orpheus Roye · incremental -0.46 1996 · Chad Brown · incremental -0.56 1996 · Jim Miller · incremental -0.80 1996 · Brentson Buckner · incremental -1.09 1997 · Charles Johnson · incremental +0.03 1997 · Mike Adams · incremental +0.04 1997 · Rod Manuel · incremental +0.07 1997 · Will Blackwell · incremental +0.09 1997 · George Jones · incremental +0.10 1997 · Donta Jones · incremental +0.16 1997 · Lee Flowers · incremental +0.18 1997 · Myron Bell · incremental +0.21 1997 · Brenden Stai · incremental +0.26 1997 · Jon Witman · incremental +0.28 1997 · Earl Holmes · incremental +0.40 1997 · Jason Gildon · incremental +0.62 1997 · Kordell Stewart · incremental +0.72 1997 · Kevin Henry · incremental +0.73 1997 · Joel Steed · incremental +0.73 1997 · Levon Kirkland · incremental +2.32 1997 · Carlos Emmons · incremental -0.03 1997 · Oliver Gibson · incremental -0.04 1997 · Mark Bruener · incremental -0.07 1997 · Orpheus Roye · incremental -0.14 1997 · Daryl Porter · incremental -0.27 1997 · Steve Conley · incremental -0.29 1997 · Jamain Stephens · incremental -0.42 1997 · Chad Scott · incremental -0.69 1997 · Paul Wiggins · incremental -1.34 1997 · Mike Vrabel · incremental -4.26 1998 · Charles Johnson · incremental +0.05 1998 · Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala · incremental +0.07 1998 · Donta Jones · incremental +0.18 1998 · Alan Faneca · incremental +0.36 1998 · Jon Witman · incremental +0.38 1998 · Brenden Stai · incremental +0.39 1998 · Earl Holmes · incremental +0.40 1998 · Kordell Stewart · incremental +0.48 1998 · Levon Kirkland · incremental +0.60 1998 · Jason Gildon · incremental +0.70 1998 · Joel Steed · incremental +0.79 1998 · Lee Flowers · incremental +0.81 1998 · Kevin Henry · incremental +0.82 1998 · Will Blackwell · incremental -0.01 1998 · Jahine Arnold · incremental -0.04 1998 · Angel Rubio · incremental -0.05 1998 · Mark Bruener · incremental -0.07 1998 · Lance Brown · incremental -0.11 1998 · Jeremy Staat · incremental -0.12 1998 · Oliver Gibson · incremental -0.12 1998 · Rod Manuel · incremental -0.15 1998 · Chris Conrad · incremental -0.27 1998 · Hines Ward · incremental -0.29 1998 · Carlos Emmons · incremental -0.37 1998 · Steve Conley · incremental -0.49 1998 · Ryan Olson · incremental -0.54 1998 · Deshea Townsend · incremental -0.55 1998 · Orpheus Roye · incremental -0.60 1998 · Carlos King · incremental -0.65 1998 · Mike Vrabel · incremental -0.70 1998 · Jason Simmons · incremental -1.26 1998 · Jamain Stephens · incremental -1.40 1999 · Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala · incremental +0.10 1999 · Joey Porter · incremental +0.13 1999 · Chad Scott · incremental +0.20 1999 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.24 1999 · Jon Witman · incremental +0.42 1999 · Brenden Stai · incremental +0.42 1999 · Kordell Stewart · incremental +0.44 1999 · Alan Faneca · incremental +0.45 1999 · Earl Holmes · incremental +0.46 1999 · Levon Kirkland · incremental +0.60 1999 · Hines Ward · incremental +0.62 1999 · Joel Steed · incremental +0.67 1999 · Jason Gildon · incremental +0.67 1999 · Kevin Henry · incremental +0.70 1999 · Lee Flowers · incremental +0.74 1999 · Amos Zereoue · incremental -0.02 1999 · Lance Brown · incremental -0.06 1999 · Will Blackwell · incremental -0.06 1999 · Antonio Dingle · incremental -0.08 1999 · Malcolm Johnson · incremental -0.11 1999 · Jerame Tuman · incremental -0.14 1999 · Aaron Smith · incremental -0.15 1999 · Chad Kelsay · incremental -0.24 1999 · Mark Bruener · incremental -0.25 1999 · Scott Shields · incremental -0.25 1999 · Jason Simmons · incremental -0.37 1999 · Carlos Emmons · incremental -0.41 1999 · Chris Conrad · incremental -0.60 1999 · Mike Vrabel · incremental -0.67 1999 · Orpheus Roye · incremental -0.93 1999 · Jeremy Staat · incremental -1.00 1999 · Kris Farris · incremental -1.46 1999 · Troy Edwards · incremental -1.65 1999 · Kris Brown · incremental -1.70 2000 · Myron Bell · incremental +0.01 2000 · Will Blackwell · incremental +0.05 2000 · Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala · incremental +0.05 2000 · Amos Zereoue · incremental +0.12 2000 · Jon Witman · incremental +0.19 2000 · Jerame Tuman · incremental +0.19 2000 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.20 2000 · Chad Scott · incremental +0.28 2000 · Joey Porter · incremental +0.43 2000 · Earl Holmes · incremental +0.46 2000 · Alan Faneca · incremental +0.48 2000 · Kordell Stewart · incremental +0.52 2000 · Levon Kirkland · incremental +0.60 2000 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.63 2000 · Hines Ward · incremental +0.67 2000 · Lee Flowers · incremental +0.74 2000 · Kevin Henry · incremental +0.78 2000 · Jason Gildon · incremental +1.88 2000 · Malcolm Johnson · incremental -0.04 2000 · Jeremy Staat · incremental -0.15 2000 · Scott Shields · incremental -0.19 2000 · Mark Bruener · incremental -0.24 2000 · Troy Edwards · incremental -0.32 2000 · Jason Simmons · incremental -0.36 2000 · Kris Brown · incremental -0.49 2000 · Mike Vrabel · incremental -1.21 2001 · Will Blackwell · incremental +0.01 2001 · Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala · incremental +0.07 2001 · Jerame Tuman · incremental +0.16 2001 · Myron Bell · incremental +0.20 2001 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.21 2001 · Amos Zereoue · incremental +0.22 2001 · Chad Scott · incremental +0.26 2001 · Joey Porter · incremental +0.38 2001 · Jon Witman · incremental +0.43 2001 · Earl Holmes · incremental +0.48 2001 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.67 2001 · Lee Flowers · incremental +0.74 2001 · Kordell Stewart · incremental +1.52 2001 · Hines Ward · incremental +1.67 2001 · Alan Faneca · incremental +3.45 2001 · Jason Gildon · incremental +3.86 2001 · Mark Bruener · incremental -0.11 2001 · Troy Edwards · incremental -0.24 2001 · Kris Brown · incremental -0.27 2001 · Jason Simmons · incremental -0.34 2002 · Chris Fuamatu-Ma'afala · incremental +0.08 2002 · Jerame Tuman · incremental +0.13 2002 · Amos Zereoue · incremental +0.20 2002 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.23 2002 · Chad Scott · incremental +0.24 2002 · Kordell Stewart · incremental +0.24 2002 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.67 2002 · Lee Flowers · incremental +0.73 2002 · Jason Gildon · incremental +1.72 2002 · Hines Ward · incremental +1.72 2002 · Joey Porter · incremental +2.95 2002 · Alan Faneca · incremental +3.50 2002 · Mark Bruener · incremental -0.09 2003 · Mark Bruener · incremental +0.02 2003 · Amos Zereoue · incremental +0.14 2003 · Chad Scott · incremental +0.20 2003 · Jerame Tuman · incremental +0.21 2003 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.28 2003 · Joey Porter · incremental +0.33 2003 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.62 2003 · Jason Gildon · incremental +0.67 2003 · Alan Faneca · incremental +1.43 2003 · Hines Ward · incremental +1.65 2004 · Chad Scott · incremental +0.11 2004 · Jerame Tuman · incremental +0.24 2004 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.34 2004 · Joey Porter · incremental +1.32 2004 · Aaron Smith · incremental +1.46 2004 · Hines Ward · incremental +1.67 2004 · Alan Faneca · incremental +3.47 2004 · Willie Williams · incremental -0.27 2005 · Jerame Tuman · incremental +0.17 2005 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.35 2005 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.62 2005 · Hines Ward · incremental +0.73 2005 · Joey Porter · incremental +1.35 2005 · Alan Faneca · incremental +3.54 2005 · Willie Williams · incremental -0.05 2006 · Jerame Tuman · incremental +0.12 2006 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.32 2006 · Joey Porter · incremental +0.35 2006 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.65 2006 · Hines Ward · incremental +0.65 2006 · Alan Faneca · incremental +3.52 2006 · Chad Brown · incremental -0.22 2007 · Jerame Tuman · incremental +0.08 2007 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.35 2007 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.44 2007 · Hines Ward · incremental +0.60 2007 · Alan Faneca · incremental +3.54 2008 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.20 2008 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.67 2008 · Hines Ward · incremental +0.69 2008 · Orpheus Roye · incremental -0.08 2009 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.18 2009 · Deshea Townsend · incremental +0.22 2009 · Hines Ward · incremental +0.74 2010 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.23 2010 · Hines Ward · incremental +0.64 2011 · Aaron Smith · incremental +0.16 2011 · Hines Ward · incremental +0.42 Zgonina -4.7 Johnson -0.7 Zgonina -3.8 Johnson +0.0 Bruener -3.3 Johnson +0.0 Johnson +0.0 Vrabel -4.3 Johnson +0.0 Faneca +3.5 Gildon +3.9 Porter +3.0 Faneca +3.5 Faneca +3.5 Faneca +3.5 Faneca +3.5 Faneca +3.5 1991 7 players 1992 12 players 1993 18 players 1994 22 players 1995 28 players 1996 29 players 1997 26 players 1998 32 players 1999 34 players 2000 26 players 2001 20 players 2002 13 players 2003 10 players 2004 8 players 2005 7 players 2006 7 players 2007 5 players 2008 4 players 2009 3 players 2010 2 players 2011 2 players Above expectation Below expectation Charles Johnson GM total +16.9 Charles Johnson by season -0.5
How much retained production did Charles Johnson return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Charles Johnson since 2010 (23 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-1 -0.5 0 +0.5 +1 +1.5 Model value above slot 22. Jefferson Justin Jefferson · model value +1.9 17. Lamb CeeDee Lamb · model value +1.9 22. Flowers Zay Flowers · model value +1.4 20. Smith-Njigba Jaxon Smith-Njigba · model value +1.2 22. Thomas Demaryius Thomas · model value +1.2 12. Williams Jameson Williams · model value +0.5 19. Egbuka Emeka Egbuka · model value +0.4 20. Wright Kendall Wright · model value +0.3 12. Jr. Odell Beckham Jr. · model value +0.3 21. Fuller Will Fuller · model value +0.2 21. Johnston Quentin Johnston · model value 0 17. Johnson Charles Johnson · model value 0 0 15. Jeudy Jerry Jeudy · model value -0.1 13. Floyd Michael Floyd · model value -0.1 14. Parker DeVante Parker · model value -0.3 12. III Henry Ruggs III · model value -0.5 22. Doctson Josh Doctson · model value -0.6 18. Burks Treylon Burks · model value -0.7 20. Toney Kadarius Toney · model value -0.7 20. Cooks Brandin Cooks · model value -0.8 15. Coleman Corey Coleman · model value -0.8 21. Reagor Jalen Reagor · model value -0.8 16. Dotson Jahan Dotson · model value -0.9 20. Agholor Nelson Agholor · model value -1.2 Charles Johnson Slot-similar peers (23)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'94 '96 '98 '00 '02 0 22 44 65 87 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (9 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.