All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Van Hiles across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 16
Games started 1
Weighted career AV 1
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 1
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 16
Team starts 1
On-team AV 1
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Good +0.00 contribution 17th of 40 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Van Hiles was Mark Hatley's 17th-best of 40 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +0.00 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Mark Hatley's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
16
on drafting team
Games started
1
on drafting team
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
1
modeled; full weighted AV 1
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Mark Hatley's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Mark Hatley pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Van Hiles totals +0.00 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 9. Urlacher #9 · Brian Urlacher · aggregate +12.28 Urlacher +12.3 64. Kreutz #64 · Olin Kreutz · aggregate +7.52 Kreutz +7.5 39. Brown #39 · Mike Brown · aggregate +3.44 Brown +3.4 147. Azumah #147 · Jerry Azumah · aggregate +2.98 Azumah +3.0 174. Edinger #174 · Paul Edinger · aggregate +1.62 254. Green #254 · Michael Green · aggregate +1.11 69. White #69 · Dez White · aggregate +0.71 106. Holdman #106 · Warrick Holdman · aggregate +0.67 78. Booker #78 · Marty Booker · aggregate +0.60 87. Lyman #87 · Dustin Lyman · aggregate +0.60 94. Mayes #94 · Alonzo Mayes · aggregate +0.59 232. Moreno #232 · Moses Moreno · aggregate +0.44 233. Thomas #233 · Marvin Thomas · aggregate +0.07 144. Samuel #144 · Khari Samuel · aggregate +0.07 125. Austin #125 · Reggie Austin · aggregate +0.07 35. Parrish #35 · Tony Parrish · aggregate +0.06 141. Hiles #141 · Van Hiles · aggregate +0.00 Hiles +0.0 210. Miano #210 · Mike Miano · aggregate +0.00 196. Swayda #196 · Shawn Swayda · aggregate -0.03 221. Sanford #221 · Sulecio Sanford · aggregate -0.03 201. Parker #201 · Ricky Parker · aggregate -0.05 184. Cook #184 · Rashard Cook · aggregate -0.10 170. Murphy #170 · Frank Murphy · aggregate -0.19 105. Autry #105 · Darnell Autry · aggregate -0.20 223. Cotton #223 · James Cotton · aggregate -0.20 200. Hogans #200 · Richard Hogans · aggregate -0.25 217. Overhauser #217 · Chad Overhauser · aggregate -0.25 71. Bates #71 · D'Wayne Bates · aggregate -0.33 143. Wisne #143 · Jerry Wisne · aggregate -0.35 38. Allred #38 · John Allred · aggregate -0.54 12. McNown #12 · Cade McNown · aggregate -0.54 111. Colvin #111 · Rosevelt Colvin · aggregate -0.62 108. Robinson #108 · Marcus Robinson · aggregate -0.64 66. Tucker #66 · Rex Tucker · aggregate -0.87 69. Sapp #69 · Bob Sapp · aggregate -0.94 253. Finn #253 · Jim Finn · aggregate -1.08 5. Enis #5 · Curtis Enis · aggregate -1.20 189. Mannelly #189 · Patrick Mannelly · aggregate -1.82 48. Davis #48 · Russell Davis · aggregate -2.11 Davis -2.1 157. Draft #157 · Chris Draft · aggregate -3.44 Draft -3.4 Incremental contribution by season -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 1997 · Marvin Thomas · incremental +0.01 1997 · Van Hiles · incremental -0.05 1997 · Mike Miano · incremental -0.09 1997 · Shawn Swayda · incremental -0.15 1997 · Ricky Parker · incremental -0.18 1997 · Marcus Robinson · incremental -0.29 1997 · Darnell Autry · incremental -0.33 1997 · John Allred · incremental -0.34 1997 · Richard Hogans · incremental -0.47 1997 · Bob Sapp · incremental -1.52 1998 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +0.13 1998 · Alonzo Mayes · incremental +0.53 1998 · Moses Moreno · incremental +0.65 1998 · John Allred · incremental -0.01 1998 · Marcus Robinson · incremental -0.02 1998 · Tony Parrish · incremental -0.33 1998 · Chad Overhauser · incremental -0.45 1998 · Curtis Enis · incremental -0.48 1998 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental -3.19 1998 · Chris Draft · incremental -5.35 1999 · Warrick Holdman · incremental +0.04 1999 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.12 1999 · Tony Parrish · incremental +0.13 1999 · Jerry Azumah · incremental +0.35 1999 · Alonzo Mayes · incremental +0.36 1999 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +0.52 1999 · Khari Samuel · incremental -0.03 1999 · Sulecio Sanford · incremental -0.12 1999 · D'Wayne Bates · incremental -0.17 1999 · Marty Booker · incremental -0.19 1999 · Rex Tucker · incremental -0.22 1999 · Rashard Cook · incremental -0.27 1999 · John Allred · incremental -0.28 1999 · Marcus Robinson · incremental -0.31 1999 · Cade McNown · incremental -0.31 1999 · Rosevelt Colvin · incremental -0.38 1999 · Jerry Wisne · incremental -0.61 1999 · Curtis Enis · incremental -0.88 1999 · Jim Finn · incremental -1.71 1999 · Russell Davis · incremental -3.34 2000 · Michael Green · incremental +0.02 2000 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.04 2000 · Marty Booker · incremental +0.07 2000 · Alonzo Mayes · incremental +0.10 2000 · Dez White · incremental +0.11 2000 · Tony Parrish · incremental +0.13 2000 · Khari Samuel · incremental +0.13 2000 · Warrick Holdman · incremental +0.21 2000 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +0.22 2000 · Dustin Lyman · incremental +0.25 2000 · Jerry Azumah · incremental +0.38 2000 · Mike Brown · incremental +0.43 2000 · Paul Edinger · incremental +0.56 2000 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +1.38 2000 · D'Wayne Bates · incremental -0.01 2000 · Reggie Austin · incremental -0.02 2000 · Rex Tucker · incremental -0.07 2000 · Rosevelt Colvin · incremental -0.15 2000 · John Allred · incremental -0.20 2000 · Marcus Robinson · incremental -0.23 2000 · Curtis Enis · incremental -0.28 2000 · Frank Murphy · incremental -0.37 2000 · James Cotton · incremental -0.39 2000 · Cade McNown · incremental -0.40 2001 · Khari Samuel · incremental +0.01 2001 · Reggie Austin · incremental +0.02 2001 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.03 2001 · Dustin Lyman · incremental +0.05 2001 · Tony Parrish · incremental +0.13 2001 · Marty Booker · incremental +0.15 2001 · Michael Green · incremental +0.24 2001 · Dez White · incremental +0.28 2001 · Warrick Holdman · incremental +0.38 2001 · Jerry Azumah · incremental +0.50 2001 · Paul Edinger · incremental +0.55 2001 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +1.52 2001 · Mike Brown · incremental +2.52 2001 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +3.28 2001 · Marcus Robinson · incremental -0.10 2001 · Rosevelt Colvin · incremental -0.25 2001 · D'Wayne Bates · incremental -0.30 2001 · Rex Tucker · incremental -0.67 2002 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.01 2002 · Reggie Austin · incremental +0.04 2002 · Warrick Holdman · incremental +0.09 2002 · Dustin Lyman · incremental +0.26 2002 · Dez White · incremental +0.42 2002 · Mike Brown · incremental +0.44 2002 · Michael Green · incremental +0.50 2002 · Paul Edinger · incremental +0.55 2002 · Jerry Azumah · incremental +0.78 2002 · Marty Booker · incremental +0.87 2002 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +1.45 2002 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +3.10 2002 · Marcus Robinson · incremental -0.13 2002 · Rex Tucker · incremental -0.19 2002 · Rosevelt Colvin · incremental -0.22 2003 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.04 2003 · Marty Booker · incremental +0.11 2003 · Dustin Lyman · incremental +0.19 2003 · Warrick Holdman · incremental +0.27 2003 · Michael Green · incremental +0.27 2003 · Dez White · incremental +0.37 2003 · Paul Edinger · incremental +0.38 2003 · Mike Brown · incremental +0.43 2003 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +1.38 2003 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +1.48 2003 · Jerry Azumah · incremental +2.03 2004 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.04 2004 · Mike Brown · incremental +0.06 2004 · Paul Edinger · incremental +0.33 2004 · Dustin Lyman · incremental +0.35 2004 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +0.35 2004 · Jerry Azumah · incremental +0.52 2004 · Michael Green · incremental +0.54 2004 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +1.42 2004 · Rex Tucker · incremental -0.16 2005 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.12 2005 · Michael Green · incremental +0.27 2005 · Jerry Azumah · incremental +0.30 2005 · Mike Brown · incremental +1.15 2005 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +1.50 2005 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +3.20 2006 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.12 2006 · Mike Brown · incremental +0.18 2006 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +2.98 2006 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +3.22 2007 · Mike Brown · incremental +0.04 2007 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.12 2007 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +0.52 2007 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +0.64 2008 · Marty Booker · incremental +0.05 2008 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.12 2008 · Mike Brown · incremental +0.43 2008 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +0.54 2008 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +0.59 2009 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +0.02 2009 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.12 2009 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +0.55 2010 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.12 2010 · Olin Kreutz · incremental +0.54 2010 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +1.54 2011 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.05 2011 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +1.46 2012 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.12 2012 · Brian Urlacher · incremental +0.47 2013 · Patrick Mannelly · incremental +0.10 Hiles -0.0 Mannelly -3.2 Draft -5.3 Finn -1.7 Davis -3.3 Brown +2.5 Urlacher +3.3 Urlacher +3.1 Azumah +2.0 Urlacher +3.2 Kreutz +3.0 Urlacher +3.2 Urlacher +1.5 1997 10 players 1998 10 players 1999 20 players 2000 24 players 2001 18 players 2002 15 players 2003 11 players 2004 9 players 2005 6 players 2006 4 players 2007 4 players 2008 5 players 2009 3 players 2010 3 players 2011 2 players 2012 2 players 2013 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Van Hiles GM total +17.1 Van Hiles by season -0.0
How much retained production did Van Hiles return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DBs drafted within ±5 picks of Van Hiles since 2010 (27 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-1 -0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 142. Durant Cobie Durant · model value +0.7 137. Still Tarheeb Still · model value +0.7 143. Norman Josh Norman · model value +0.6 146. Brownlee Jarvis Brownlee · model value +0.5 136. Wolff Earl Wolff · model value +0.3 145. Williams Steve Williams · model value +0.1 146. Gomes DeJon Gomes · model value +0.1 141. Hiles Van Hiles · model value +0.1 +0.1 136. Lewis Kendrick Lewis · model value 0 138. Simon Tharold Simon · model value 0 144. Keo Shiloh Keo · model value 0 145. Carroll Nolan Carroll · model value 0 139. Burton Brandon Burton · model value -0.1 141. Moore Joshua Moore · model value -0.1 138. McFadden Walter McFadden · model value -0.1 138. Rush Darius Rush · model value -0.1 143. Thomas Josh Thomas · model value -0.1 146. Menzie DeQuan Menzie · model value -0.1 139. Blanton Robert Blanton · model value -0.1 146. Sherwood Jamien Sherwood · model value -0.1 146. Howden Jordan Howden · model value -0.1 145. Robinson Jammie Robinson · model value -0.2 145. Abrams-Draine Kris Abrams-Draine · model value -0.2 142. Mitchell Cameron Mitchell · model value -0.2 143. Meeks Jonathan Meeks · model value -0.2 137. Cox Perrish Cox · model value -0.3 137. Skrine Buster Skrine · model value -0.5 144. McManis Sherrick McManis · model value -1.2 Van Hiles Slot-similar peers (27)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'98 '00 '01 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.