Ken Harvey · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Ken Harvey across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played164

Games started135

Weighted career AV65

Pro Bowls4

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons11

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

1988 · Round 1 · #12

ARI draft credit

GM Bill Bidwill

Team games90

Team starts64

On-team AV31

On-team PB / AP10 / 0

Terrible-2.27 contribution95th of 105 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

Long-career hit

Ken Harvey became a 11-season, 164-game NFL player after going #12. The retained-value model still ranks him 95th of 105 for Bill Bidwill because ARI only got 90 of those games.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -2.27. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Bill Bidwill's leaderboard composite θ.

Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 164 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 135 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 65

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

4 full-career

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 1

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Bill Bidwill's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Bill Bidwill pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Ken Harvey totals -2.27. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationKen HarveyGM total -44.0Ken Harvey by season -3.7

How much retained production did Ken Harvey return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: LBs drafted within ±5 picks of Ken Harvey since 2010 (14 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Ken HarveySlot-similar peers (14)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (11 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	AP2
1988	ARI	16	0	—	—	1	—
1989	ARI	16	16	—	—	7	—
1990	ARI	16	16	—	—	6	—
1991	ARI	16	16	—	—	8	—
1992	ARI	10	10	—	—	4	—
1993	ARI	16	6	—	—	5	—
1994	ARI, WAS	16	16	—	—	11	—	·
1995	WAS	16	16	—	—	12	—
1996	WAS	16	16	—	—	11	—
1997	WAS	15	14	—	—	10	—
1998	WAS	11	9	—	—	4	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.