Elvis Dumervil · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Elvis Dumervil across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played162

Games started99

Weighted career AV63

Pro Bowls5

AP1 All-Pro2

Career seasons12

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2006 · Round 4 · #126

DEN draft credit

GM Mike Shanahan

Team games91

Team starts75

On-team AV47

On-team PB / AP13 / 1

Excellent+3.47 contribution5th of 111 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Elvis Dumervil was Mike Shanahan's 5th-best of 111 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +3.47. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Mike Shanahan's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 162 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 99 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 63

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

5 full-career

AP1 All-Pro

1 AP1

2 full-career · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Mike Shanahan's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Mike Shanahan pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Elvis Dumervil totals +3.47. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationElvis DumervilGM total +5.7Elvis Dumervil by season +6.4

How much retained production did Elvis Dumervil return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DEs drafted within ±5 picks of Elvis Dumervil since 2010 (15 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Elvis DumervilSlot-similar peers (15)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (12 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB	AP1
2006	DEN	13	0	—	—	2	—
2007	DEN	16	16	—	—	7	—
2008	DEN	16	15	—	—	4	—
2009	DEN	16	14	—	—	14	—	✓	★
2010	—	0	0	—	—	0	—
2011	DEN	14	14	—	—	9	—	✓
2012	DEN	16	16	—	—	11	—	✓
2013	BAL	15	10	559	0.2	3	5.4
2014	BAL	16	12	608	0.4	11	18.1
2015	BAL	16	15	787	1.0	10	12.7
2016	BAL	8	4	272	-0.6	2	7.4
2017	SF	16	1	350	-0.2	1	2.9

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.