All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow John Conner across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 62
Games started 20
Weighted career AV 0
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 5
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 47
Team starts 13
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Good +0.38 contribution 16th of 41 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
John Conner was Mike Tannenbaum's 16th-best of 41 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +0.38 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Mike Tannenbaum's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
47
on drafting team · 62 full-career
Games started
13
on drafting team · 20 full-career
Snap-z
-0.2
1 modeled season
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 0
AV / 1k snaps
0.0
223 snaps in rate base
AV-rate z
-0.2
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Mike Tannenbaum's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Mike Tannenbaum pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. John Conner totals +0.38 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 14. Revis #14 · Darrelle Revis · aggregate +5.89 Revis +5.9 29. Mangold #29 · Nick Mangold · aggregate +5.78 Mangold +5.8 30. Wilkerson #30 · Muhammad Wilkerson · aggregate +2.52 Wilkerson +2.5 47. Harris #47 · David Harris · aggregate +1.80 242. Allen #242 · Antonio Allen · aggregate +1.46 117. Washington #117 · Leon Washington · aggregate +1.43 30. Keller #30 · Dustin Keller · aggregate +1.33 97. Smith #97 · Eric Smith · aggregate +1.22 4. Ferguson #4 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · aggregate +1.15 94. Ellis #94 · Kenrick Ellis · aggregate +0.84 189. Coleman #189 · Drew Coleman · aggregate +0.81 65. Greene #65 · Shonn Greene · aggregate +0.74 126. Powell #126 · Bilal Powell · aggregate +0.48 16. Coples #16 · Quinton Coples · aggregate +0.43 235. Stuckey #235 · Chansi Stuckey · aggregate +0.41 139. Conner #139 · John Conner · aggregate +0.38 Conner +0.4 153. Kerley #153 · Jeremy Kerley · aggregate +0.34 208. McElroy #208 · Greg McElroy · aggregate +0.20 187. Bush #187 · Josh Bush · aggregate +0.12 112. McKnight #112 · Joe McKnight · aggregate +0.10 162. Ainge #162 · Erik Ainge · aggregate +0.06 103. Smith #103 · Brad Smith · aggregate -0.01 220. Adams #220 · Titus Adams · aggregate -0.06 150. Pociask #150 · Jason Pociask · aggregate -0.13 244. White #244 · Jordan White · aggregate -0.20 227. McKnight #227 · Scotty McKnight · aggregate -0.24 171. Henry #171 · Marcus Henry · aggregate -0.31 202. Ganaway #202 · Terrance Ganaway · aggregate -0.35 177. Bender #177 · Jacob Bender · aggregate -0.46 193. Slauson #193 · Matt Slauson · aggregate -0.49 203. Griffin #203 · Robert Griffin · aggregate -0.54 113. Lowery #113 · Dwight Lowery · aggregate -0.85 43. Hill #43 · Stephen Hill · aggregate -0.87 76. Schlegel #76 · Anthony Schlegel · aggregate -0.88 29. Wilson #29 · Kyle Wilson · aggregate -0.95 211. Garner #211 · Nate Garner · aggregate -1.12 6. Gholston #6 · Vernon Gholston · aggregate -1.41 5. Sanchez #5 · Mark Sanchez · aggregate -1.66 61. Ducasse #61 · Vlad Ducasse · aggregate -1.99 77. Davis #77 · Demario Davis · aggregate -2.46 Davis -2.5 49. Clemens #49 · Kellen Clemens · aggregate -3.26 Clemens -3.3 Incremental contribution by season -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 2006 · Eric Smith · incremental +0.13 2006 · Drew Coleman · incremental +0.30 2006 · Jason Pociask · incremental -0.02 2006 · Brad Smith · incremental -0.02 2006 · Nick Mangold · incremental -0.05 2006 · Titus Adams · incremental -0.20 2006 · Leon Washington · incremental -0.25 2006 · Kellen Clemens · incremental -0.80 2006 · Anthony Schlegel · incremental -1.44 2006 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental -2.62 2007 · Drew Coleman · incremental +0.20 2007 · Eric Smith · incremental +0.29 2007 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental +0.47 2007 · Darrelle Revis · incremental +0.58 2007 · Nick Mangold · incremental +0.60 2007 · Chansi Stuckey · incremental -0.02 2007 · Brad Smith · incremental -0.03 2007 · Leon Washington · incremental -0.10 2007 · Jason Pociask · incremental -0.40 2007 · David Harris · incremental -0.52 2007 · Jacob Bender · incremental -0.78 2007 · Kellen Clemens · incremental -3.31 2008 · Erik Ainge · incremental +0.04 2008 · Brad Smith · incremental +0.11 2008 · Drew Coleman · incremental +0.17 2008 · Eric Smith · incremental +0.25 2008 · Dustin Keller · incremental +0.32 2008 · Chansi Stuckey · incremental +0.40 2008 · David Harris · incremental +0.42 2008 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental +0.48 2008 · Darrelle Revis · incremental +1.21 2008 · Nick Mangold · incremental +1.52 2008 · Leon Washington · incremental +2.98 2008 · Kellen Clemens · incremental -0.11 2008 · Vernon Gholston · incremental -0.28 2008 · Marcus Henry · incremental -0.57 2008 · Dwight Lowery · incremental -0.74 2008 · Nate Garner · incremental -1.80 2009 · Leon Washington · incremental +0.02 2009 · Shonn Greene · incremental +0.04 2009 · Brad Smith · incremental +0.06 2009 · Chansi Stuckey · incremental +0.19 2009 · Drew Coleman · incremental +0.30 2009 · Eric Smith · incremental +0.33 2009 · Dustin Keller · incremental +0.47 2009 · David Harris · incremental +0.90 2009 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental +1.12 2009 · Darrelle Revis · incremental +3.26 2009 · Nick Mangold · incremental +3.37 2009 · Matt Slauson · incremental -0.24 2009 · Dwight Lowery · incremental -0.34 2009 · Kellen Clemens · incremental -0.69 2009 · Vernon Gholston · incremental -1.01 2009 · Mark Sanchez · incremental -1.47 2010 · Brad Smith · incremental +0.07 2010 · Shonn Greene · incremental +0.24 2010 · Eric Smith · incremental +0.31 2010 · Drew Coleman · incremental +0.36 2010 · Dustin Keller · incremental +0.48 2010 · David Harris · incremental +0.65 2010 · John Conner · incremental +0.86 2010 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental +1.12 2010 · Darrelle Revis · incremental +3.05 2010 · Nick Mangold · incremental +3.40 2010 · Kellen Clemens · incremental -0.05 2010 · Joe McKnight · incremental -0.13 2010 · Matt Slauson · incremental -0.14 2010 · Dwight Lowery · incremental -0.30 2010 · Mark Sanchez · incremental -0.40 2010 · Vernon Gholston · incremental -0.67 2010 · Vlad Ducasse · incremental -0.97 2010 · Kyle Wilson · incremental -2.12 2011 · Bilal Powell · incremental +0.03 2011 · Kyle Wilson · incremental +0.13 2011 · Joe McKnight · incremental +0.15 2011 · Jeremy Kerley · incremental +0.16 2011 · John Conner · incremental +0.39 2011 · Shonn Greene · incremental +0.42 2011 · Eric Smith · incremental +0.49 2011 · Dustin Keller · incremental +0.50 2011 · David Harris · incremental +0.67 2011 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental +1.12 2011 · Kenrick Ellis · incremental +1.42 2011 · Nick Mangold · incremental +1.44 2011 · Muhammad Wilkerson · incremental +2.72 2011 · Darrelle Revis · incremental +3.15 2011 · Greg McElroy · incremental -0.01 2011 · Matt Slauson · incremental -0.14 2011 · Mark Sanchez · incremental -0.37 2011 · Scotty McKnight · incremental -0.45 2011 · Vlad Ducasse · incremental -0.63 2012 · Darrelle Revis · incremental +0.05 2012 · Kyle Wilson · incremental +0.07 2012 · John Conner · incremental +0.09 2012 · Kenrick Ellis · incremental +0.10 2012 · Joe McKnight · incremental +0.14 2012 · Bilal Powell · incremental +0.20 2012 · Dustin Keller · incremental +0.21 2012 · Eric Smith · incremental +0.23 2012 · Greg McElroy · incremental +0.26 2012 · Jeremy Kerley · incremental +0.26 2012 · Shonn Greene · incremental +0.39 2012 · Josh Bush · incremental +0.44 2012 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental +0.45 2012 · Nick Mangold · incremental +0.55 2012 · Muhammad Wilkerson · incremental +0.62 2012 · David Harris · incremental +0.65 2012 · Quinton Coples · incremental +0.96 2012 · Antonio Allen · incremental +2.26 2012 · Matt Slauson · incremental -0.12 2012 · Mark Sanchez · incremental -0.27 2012 · Jordan White · incremental -0.36 2012 · Vlad Ducasse · incremental -0.38 2012 · Terrance Ganaway · incremental -0.61 2012 · Robert Griffin · incremental -0.92 2012 · Stephen Hill · incremental -1.34 2012 · Demario Davis · incremental -3.39 2013 · Quinton Coples · incremental +0.05 2013 · Josh Bush · incremental +0.08 2013 · Kyle Wilson · incremental +0.13 2013 · Jeremy Kerley · incremental +0.19 2013 · Kenrick Ellis · incremental +0.23 2013 · Bilal Powell · incremental +0.28 2013 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental +0.45 2013 · Nick Mangold · incremental +0.60 2013 · David Harris · incremental +0.60 2013 · Antonio Allen · incremental +0.60 2013 · Muhammad Wilkerson · incremental +0.74 2013 · Stephen Hill · incremental -0.39 2013 · Demario Davis · incremental -0.43 2013 · Vlad Ducasse · incremental -1.63 2014 · Josh Bush · incremental +0.03 2014 · Quinton Coples · incremental +0.06 2014 · Kyle Wilson · incremental +0.15 2014 · John Conner · incremental +0.15 2014 · Kenrick Ellis · incremental +0.19 2014 · Bilal Powell · incremental +0.22 2014 · Jeremy Kerley · incremental +0.23 2014 · Muhammad Wilkerson · incremental +0.47 2014 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental +0.47 2014 · Antonio Allen · incremental +0.54 2014 · Nick Mangold · incremental +0.58 2014 · David Harris · incremental +0.62 2014 · Demario Davis · incremental -0.45 2015 · Quinton Coples · incremental +0.05 2015 · Jeremy Kerley · incremental +0.19 2015 · Bilal Powell · incremental +0.21 2015 · Darrelle Revis · incremental +0.40 2015 · D'Brickashaw Ferguson · incremental +0.48 2015 · Nick Mangold · incremental +0.61 2015 · David Harris · incremental +0.63 2015 · Muhammad Wilkerson · incremental +0.82 2015 · Demario Davis · incremental -0.46 2016 · Nick Mangold · incremental +0.27 2016 · Bilal Powell · incremental +0.28 2016 · Darrelle Revis · incremental +0.29 2016 · Antonio Allen · incremental +0.39 2016 · David Harris · incremental +0.56 2016 · Muhammad Wilkerson · incremental +0.56 2017 · Jeremy Kerley · incremental +0.12 2017 · Bilal Powell · incremental +0.25 2017 · Muhammad Wilkerson · incremental +0.48 2017 · Demario Davis · incremental -0.48 2018 · Bilal Powell · incremental +0.13 2019 · Bilal Powell · incremental +0.16 Ferguson -2.6 Clemens -3.3 Washington +3.0 Revis +3.3 Mangold +3.4 Conner +0.9 Revis +3.0 Mangold +3.4 Wilson -2.1 Conner +0.4 Wilkerson +2.7 Revis +3.1 Conner +0.1 Allen +2.3 Davis -3.4 Conner +0.2 2006 10 players 2007 12 players 2008 16 players 2009 16 players 2010 18 players 2011 19 players 2012 26 players 2013 14 players 2014 13 players 2015 9 players 2016 6 players 2017 4 players 2018 1 player 2019 1 player Above expectation Below expectation John Conner GM total +9.2 John Conner by season +1.5
How much retained production did John Conner return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: RBs drafted within ±5 picks of John Conner since 2010 (15 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-1 -0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 143. Mack Marlon Mack · model value +0.6 143. Washington DeAndre Washington · model value +0.2 134. Dixon Kenneth Dixon · model value +0.1 140. Gallman Wayne Gallman · model value +0.1 134. Allen Braelon Allen · model value -0.1 134. Williams Jamaal Williams · model value -0.1 143. Abanikanda Israel Abanikanda · model value -0.1 138. Taliaferro Lorenzo Taliaferro · model value -0.1 139. Conner John Conner · model value -0.2 -0.2 138. Cobb David Cobb · model value -0.2 134. Edmonds Chase Edmonds · model value -0.2 136. Booker Devontae Booker · model value -0.2 140. Armstead Ryquell Armstead · model value -0.2 140. Taylor Stepfan Taylor · model value -0.6 144. Dallas DeeJay Dallas · model value -0.8 136. Sherman Anthony Sherman · model value -1.1 John Conner Slot-similar peers (15)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'10 '12 '14 0 3 5 8 10 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.