All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Jason Campbell across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 90
Games started 79
Weighted career AV 48
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 10
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 52
Team starts 52
On-team AV 36
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Average -0.28 contribution 42nd of 63 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Jason Campbell became a 10-season, 90-game NFL player after going #25. The retained-value model still ranks him 42nd of 63 for Vinny Cerrato because WAS only got 52 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.28 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Vinny Cerrato's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
52
on drafting team · 90 full-career
Games started
52
on drafting team · 79 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
36
modeled; full weighted AV 48
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Vinny Cerrato's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Vinny Cerrato pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Jason Campbell totals -0.28 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 3. Samuels #3 · Chris Samuels · aggregate +4.65 Samuels +4.7 81. Cooley #81 · Chris Cooley · aggregate +3.44 Cooley +3.4 2. Arrington #2 · LaVar Arrington · aggregate +1.92 5. Taylor #5 · Sean Taylor · aggregate +1.67 45. Smoot #45 · Fred Smoot · aggregate +1.52 153. Montgomery #153 · Anthony Montgomery · aggregate +1.15 242. Jackson #242 · Rob Jackson · aggregate +1.09 173. Doughty #173 · Reed Doughty · aggregate +1.06 35. McIntosh #35 · Rocky McIntosh · aggregate +0.99 249. Horton #249 · Chris Horton · aggregate +0.85 179. Blades #179 · H.B. Blades · aggregate +0.83 180. Moore #180 · Kareem Moore · aggregate +0.75 81. Dockery #81 · Derrick Dockery · aggregate +0.64 15. Gardner #15 · Rod Gardner · aggregate +0.61 48. Davis #48 · Fred Davis · aggregate +0.59 216. Cowsette #216 · Delbert Cowsette · aggregate +0.54 154. McCants #154 · Darnerien McCants · aggregate +0.40 159. Lott #159 · Andre Lott · aggregate +0.38 232. Hamdan #232 · Gibran Hamdan · aggregate +0.38 202. Husak #202 · Todd Husak · aggregate +0.33 56. Betts #56 · Ladell Betts · aggregate +0.28 168. Brooks #168 · Durant Brooks · aggregate +0.23 186. Brennan #186 · Colt Brennan · aggregate +0.14 196. Golston #196 · Kedric Golston · aggregate +0.07 234. Scott #234 · Greg Scott · aggregate +0.07 124. Tryon #124 · Justin Tryon · aggregate +0.04 257. Cartwright #257 · Rock Cartwright · aggregate +0.03 250. Howell #250 · Ethan Howell · aggregate +0.03 216. Ecker #216 · Tyler Ecker · aggregate +0.01 243. Mitchell #243 · Marko Mitchell · aggregate -0.02 222. Broughton #222 · Nehemiah Broughton · aggregate -0.03 186. Monds #186 · Mario Monds · aggregate -0.08 151. Wilson #151 · Mark Wilson · aggregate -0.10 79. Bauman #79 · Rashad Bauman · aggregate -0.18 180. Molinaro #180 · Jim Molinaro · aggregate -0.18 155. Sanders #155 · Quincy Sanders · aggregate -0.20 221. Williams #221 · Eddie Williams · aggregate -0.20 250. Simon #250 · Kevin Simon · aggregate -0.21 32. Ramsey #32 · Patrick Ramsey · aggregate -0.24 230. Grau #230 · Jeff Grau · aggregate -0.24 80. Barnes #80 · Kevin Barnes · aggregate -0.25 25. Campbell #25 · Jason Campbell · aggregate -0.28 Campbell -0.3 230. Lefotu #230 · Kili Lefotu · aggregate -0.30 192. Coleman #192 · Reggie Coleman · aggregate -0.35 183. Newberry #183 · Jared Newberry · aggregate -0.37 186. Henson #186 · Robert Henson · aggregate -0.38 154. McCune #154 · Robert McCune · aggregate -0.42 44. Jacobs #44 · Taylor Jacobs · aggregate -0.43 129. Moore #129 · Michael Moore · aggregate -0.44 13. Orakpo #13 · Brian Orakpo · aggregate -0.44 120. White #120 · Manuel White · aggregate -0.48 158. Glenn #158 · Cody Glenn · aggregate -0.55 143. Sartz #143 · Dallas Sartz · aggregate -0.56 51. Kelly #51 · Malcolm Kelly · aggregate -0.56 34. Thomas #34 · Devin Thomas · aggregate -0.60 160. Royal #160 · Robert Royal · aggregate -0.72 64. Harrison #64 · Lloyd Harrison · aggregate -0.73 6. Landry #6 · LaRon Landry · aggregate -0.82 205. Palmer #205 · Jordan Palmer · aggregate -0.90 87. Russell #87 · Cliff Russell · aggregate -1.33 96. Rinehart #96 · Chad Rinehart · aggregate -1.43 9. Rogers #9 · Carlos Rogers · aggregate -1.47 109. Rosenfels #109 · Sage Rosenfels · aggregate -2.06 Rosenfels -2.1 Incremental contribution by season -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 2000 · Delbert Cowsette · incremental +0.08 2000 · Todd Husak · incremental +0.47 2000 · Ethan Howell · incremental -0.02 2000 · LaVar Arrington · incremental -0.15 2000 · Quincy Sanders · incremental -0.43 2000 · Chris Samuels · incremental -0.53 2000 · Michael Moore · incremental -0.75 2000 · Lloyd Harrison · incremental -1.23 2001 · Fred Smoot · incremental +0.00 2001 · Rod Gardner · incremental +0.13 2001 · Delbert Cowsette · incremental +0.33 2001 · LaVar Arrington · incremental +1.18 2001 · Chris Samuels · incremental +1.35 2001 · Darnerien McCants · incremental -0.02 2001 · Mario Monds · incremental -0.23 2001 · Sage Rosenfels · incremental -3.19 2002 · Rock Cartwright · incremental +0.03 2002 · Greg Scott · incremental +0.03 2002 · Darnerien McCants · incremental +0.19 2002 · Andre Lott · incremental +0.22 2002 · Rod Gardner · incremental +0.32 2002 · Delbert Cowsette · incremental +0.41 2002 · Fred Smoot · incremental +0.48 2002 · LaVar Arrington · incremental +1.18 2002 · Chris Samuels · incremental +1.33 2002 · Rashad Bauman · incremental -0.10 2002 · Robert Royal · incremental -0.13 2002 · Patrick Ramsey · incremental -0.16 2002 · Ladell Betts · incremental -0.35 2002 · Jeff Grau · incremental -0.43 2002 · Reggie Coleman · incremental -0.61 2002 · Cliff Russell · incremental -1.23 2003 · Ladell Betts · incremental +0.06 2003 · Andre Lott · incremental +0.18 2003 · Darnerien McCants · incremental +0.29 2003 · Rod Gardner · incremental +0.32 2003 · Chris Samuels · incremental +0.35 2003 · Fred Smoot · incremental +0.42 2003 · Gibran Hamdan · incremental +0.55 2003 · LaVar Arrington · incremental +1.18 2003 · Taylor Jacobs · incremental -0.02 2003 · Robert Royal · incremental -0.07 2003 · Patrick Ramsey · incremental -0.12 2003 · Rashad Bauman · incremental -0.15 2003 · Derrick Dockery · incremental -0.18 2003 · Rock Cartwright · incremental -0.34 2003 · Cliff Russell · incremental -0.90 2004 · LaVar Arrington · incremental +0.04 2004 · Darnerien McCants · incremental +0.11 2004 · Ladell Betts · incremental +0.13 2004 · Sean Taylor · incremental +0.17 2004 · Andre Lott · incremental +0.18 2004 · Rock Cartwright · incremental +0.18 2004 · Derrick Dockery · incremental +0.27 2004 · Chris Cooley · incremental +0.29 2004 · Rod Gardner · incremental +0.30 2004 · Chris Samuels · incremental +0.40 2004 · Fred Smoot · incremental +0.49 2004 · Patrick Ramsey · incremental -0.07 2004 · Taylor Jacobs · incremental -0.27 2004 · Jim Molinaro · incremental -0.30 2004 · Mark Wilson · incremental -0.37 2004 · Robert Royal · incremental -0.40 2005 · LaVar Arrington · incremental +0.12 2005 · Ladell Betts · incremental +0.16 2005 · Rock Cartwright · incremental +0.18 2005 · Sean Taylor · incremental +0.26 2005 · Derrick Dockery · incremental +0.30 2005 · Chris Cooley · incremental +0.63 2005 · Chris Samuels · incremental +1.36 2005 · Jim Molinaro · incremental -0.00 2005 · Patrick Ramsey · incremental -0.02 2005 · Nehemiah Broughton · incremental -0.02 2005 · Taylor Jacobs · incremental -0.23 2005 · Robert Royal · incremental -0.41 2005 · Jason Campbell · incremental -0.50 2005 · Jared Newberry · incremental -0.66 2005 · Robert McCune · incremental -0.70 2005 · Manuel White · incremental -0.81 2005 · Carlos Rogers · incremental -1.73 2006 · Anthony Montgomery · incremental +0.13 2006 · Rock Cartwright · incremental +0.18 2006 · Derrick Dockery · incremental +0.30 2006 · Reed Doughty · incremental +0.32 2006 · Chris Cooley · incremental +0.63 2006 · Sean Taylor · incremental +1.32 2006 · Chris Samuels · incremental +1.37 2006 · Jim Molinaro · incremental -0.00 2006 · Jason Campbell · incremental -0.03 2006 · Nehemiah Broughton · incremental -0.06 2006 · Carlos Rogers · incremental -0.15 2006 · Ladell Betts · incremental -0.20 2006 · Rocky McIntosh · incremental -0.25 2006 · Kevin Simon · incremental -0.41 2006 · Kili Lefotu · incremental -0.54 2006 · Kedric Golston · incremental -1.34 2007 · Ladell Betts · incremental +0.18 2007 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.21 2007 · Rock Cartwright · incremental +0.21 2007 · H.B. Blades · incremental +0.28 2007 · Rocky McIntosh · incremental +0.33 2007 · Fred Smoot · incremental +0.35 2007 · Reed Doughty · incremental +0.39 2007 · Anthony Montgomery · incremental +0.93 2007 · Sean Taylor · incremental +1.26 2007 · Chris Samuels · incremental +1.36 2007 · Chris Cooley · incremental +1.63 2007 · Jason Campbell · incremental -0.05 2007 · Carlos Rogers · incremental -0.07 2007 · Tyler Ecker · incremental -0.21 2007 · LaRon Landry · incremental -0.96 2007 · Dallas Sartz · incremental -0.97 2007 · Jordan Palmer · incremental -1.41 2008 · Justin Tryon · incremental +0.06 2008 · Reed Doughty · incremental +0.13 2008 · Ladell Betts · incremental +0.16 2008 · Colt Brennan · incremental +0.16 2008 · Durant Brooks · incremental +0.18 2008 · Rock Cartwright · incremental +0.22 2008 · Kareem Moore · incremental +0.25 2008 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.30 2008 · Fred Smoot · incremental +0.35 2008 · Rocky McIntosh · incremental +0.40 2008 · H.B. Blades · incremental +0.43 2008 · Anthony Montgomery · incremental +0.51 2008 · Chris Horton · incremental +0.79 2008 · Chris Samuels · incremental +1.23 2008 · Rob Jackson · incremental +1.32 2008 · Chris Cooley · incremental +1.63 2008 · Fred Davis · incremental -0.05 2008 · Jason Campbell · incremental -0.06 2008 · LaRon Landry · incremental -0.12 2008 · Chad Rinehart · incremental -0.13 2008 · Malcolm Kelly · incremental -0.13 2008 · Carlos Rogers · incremental -0.18 2008 · Devin Thomas · incremental -0.23 2009 · Ladell Betts · incremental +0.02 2009 · Rob Jackson · incremental +0.08 2009 · Chris Samuels · incremental +0.13 2009 · Anthony Montgomery · incremental +0.14 2009 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.26 2009 · Fred Smoot · incremental +0.27 2009 · Chris Cooley · incremental +0.28 2009 · Derrick Dockery · incremental +0.29 2009 · Kareem Moore · incremental +0.30 2009 · H.B. Blades · incremental +0.34 2009 · Fred Davis · incremental +0.34 2009 · Chris Horton · incremental +0.37 2009 · Rocky McIntosh · incremental +0.39 2009 · Reed Doughty · incremental +0.41 2009 · Justin Tryon · incremental -0.03 2009 · Marko Mitchell · incremental -0.04 2009 · Kevin Barnes · incremental -0.05 2009 · Jason Campbell · incremental -0.06 2009 · LaRon Landry · incremental -0.08 2009 · Carlos Rogers · incremental -0.15 2009 · Rock Cartwright · incremental -0.16 2009 · Eddie Williams · incremental -0.38 2009 · Devin Thomas · incremental -0.58 2009 · Robert Henson · incremental -0.64 2009 · Malcolm Kelly · incremental -0.69 2009 · Cody Glenn · incremental -0.94 2009 · Brian Orakpo · incremental -1.33 2009 · Chad Rinehart · incremental -2.19 2010 · Rob Jackson · incremental +0.03 2010 · Derrick Dockery · incremental +0.05 2010 · Chris Horton · incremental +0.10 2010 · Fred Davis · incremental +0.29 2010 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.30 2010 · H.B. Blades · incremental +0.34 2010 · Rocky McIntosh · incremental +0.36 2010 · Brian Orakpo · incremental +0.37 2010 · Reed Doughty · incremental +0.44 2010 · Chris Cooley · incremental +0.58 2010 · Kareem Moore · incremental +0.64 2010 · Devin Thomas · incremental -0.00 2010 · LaRon Landry · incremental -0.05 2010 · Carlos Rogers · incremental -0.12 2010 · Kevin Barnes · incremental -0.21 2011 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.12 2011 · Chris Cooley · incremental +0.14 2011 · Rocky McIntosh · incremental +0.25 2011 · Rob Jackson · incremental +0.28 2011 · Fred Davis · incremental +0.36 2011 · Reed Doughty · incremental +0.49 2011 · LaRon Landry · incremental -0.04 2011 · Brian Orakpo · incremental -0.13 2011 · Kevin Barnes · incremental -0.15 2012 · Chris Cooley · incremental +0.14 2012 · Fred Davis · incremental +0.20 2012 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.21 2012 · Reed Doughty · incremental +0.45 2012 · Rob Jackson · incremental +0.65 2012 · Brian Orakpo · incremental -0.02 2013 · Fred Davis · incremental +0.12 2013 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.27 2013 · Rob Jackson · incremental +0.33 2013 · Reed Doughty · incremental +0.50 2013 · Brian Orakpo · incremental -0.14 2014 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.15 2014 · Brian Orakpo · incremental -0.06 2015 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.21 2016 · Kedric Golston · incremental +0.03 Rosenfels -3.2 Campbell -0.5 Rogers -1.7 Campbell -0.0 Cooley +1.6 Campbell -0.0 Cooley +1.6 Campbell -0.1 Campbell -0.1 Rinehart -2.2 2000 8 players 2001 8 players 2002 16 players 2003 15 players 2004 16 players 2005 17 players 2006 16 players 2007 17 players 2008 23 players 2009 28 players 2010 15 players 2011 9 players 2012 6 players 2013 5 players 2014 2 players 2015 1 player 2016 1 player
How much retained production did Jason Campbell return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: QBs drafted within ±5 picks of Jason Campbell since 2010 (7 players). Dark marks are GOAT-tier benchmarks (Brady, Manning, Mahomes) for orientation.The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 +0.5 +1 +1.5 +2 +2.5 +3 +3.5 +4 +4.5 Model value above slot 1. Manning Peyton Manning · model value +4.9 +4.9 199. Brady Tom Brady · model value +4.5 +4.5 10. Mahomes Patrick Mahomes · model value +2.8 +2.8 26. Love Jordan Love · model value +1.1 25. Dart Jaxson Dart · model value +1 25. Campbell Jason Campbell · model value +0.1 +0.1 25. Tebow Tim Tebow · model value -0.1 20. Pickett Kenny Pickett · model value -0.3 22. Manziel Johnny Manziel · model value -0.4 22. Weeden Brandon Weeden · model value -0.5 26. Lynch Paxton Lynch · model value -0.5 Jason Campbell
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'06 '08 '10 '12 '14 0 20 39 59 78 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count
Full-career season history (10 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.