Jalyn Armour-Davis

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Jalyn Armour-Davis across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played30

Games started13

Weighted career AV5

Pro Bowls0

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons4

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

2022 · Round 4 · #119

BAL draft credit

GM Eric DeCosta

Team games19

Team starts3

On-team AV2

On-team PB / AP10 / 0

Bad-0.41 contribution44th of 63 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

A Bad pick

Jalyn Armour-Davis was Eric DeCosta's 44th-best of 63 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.41. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Eric DeCosta's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 30 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 13 full-career

Snap-z

-1.3

3 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 5

AV / 1k snaps

4.2

474 snaps in rate base

AV-rate z

-0.0

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Eric DeCosta's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Eric DeCosta pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Jalyn Armour-Davis totals -0.41. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationJalyn Armour-DavisGM total +12.1Jalyn Armour-Davis by season -1.1

How much retained production did Jalyn Armour-Davis return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DBs drafted within ±5 picks of Jalyn Armour-Davis since 2010 (17 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Jalyn Armour-DavisSlot-similar peers (17)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (4 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap
2022	BAL	4	3	107	0.2	1	9.3
2023	BAL	8	4	138	-0.9	0	0.0
2024	BAL	7	7	229	-0.6	1	4.4
2025	TEN	11	9	517	0.3	3	5.8

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.