All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Artie Ulmer across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 90
Games started 2
Weighted career AV 6
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 9
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 0
Team starts 0
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Terrible -1.73 contribution 61st of 66 picks for this GM
Games: complete career recorded elsewhere. Starts: zero starts from zero team games.
Artie Ulmer became a 9-season, 90-game NFL player after going #220. The retained-value model still ranks him 61st of 66 for Frank Gilliam because MIN only got 0 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -1.73 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Frank Gilliam's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
0
on drafting team · 90 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team · 2 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 6
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Frank Gilliam's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Frank Gilliam pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Artie Ulmer totals -1.73 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 173. Birk #173 · Matt Birk · aggregate +5.10 Birk +5.1 21. Moss #21 · Randy Moss · aggregate +4.48 Moss +4.5 11. Culpepper #11 · Daunte Culpepper · aggregate +3.39 Culpepper +3.4 24. Stringer #24 · Korey Stringer · aggregate +3.13 Stringer +3.1 42. Thomas #42 · Orlando Thomas · aggregate +2.19 Thomas +2.2 185. Sawyer #185 · Talance Sawyer · aggregate +1.41 179. Jordan #179 · Andrew Jordan · aggregate +0.76 11. Alexander #11 · Derrick Alexander · aggregate +0.69 69. Kelly #69 · Eric Kelly · aggregate +0.57 151. Williams #151 · Tony Williams · aggregate +0.47 235. Hatchette #235 · Matthew Hatchette · aggregate +0.28 244. Cole #244 · Giles Cole · aggregate +0.19 55. Smith #55 · Fernando Smith · aggregate +0.14 236. Scarlett #236 · Noel Scarlett · aggregate +0.07 232. White #232 · Jose White · aggregate +0.06 20. Rudd #20 · Dwayne Rudd · aggregate +0.06 78. Colinet #78 · Stalin Colinet · aggregate +0.06 225. Darden #225 · Tony Darden · aggregate +0.03 113. Banks #113 · Antonio Banks · aggregate +0.01 211. Bercich #211 · Pete Bercich · aggregate -0.01 111. May #111 · Chad May · aggregate -0.04 248. Kelly #248 · Lewis Kelly · aggregate -0.08 75. Williams #75 · Moe Williams · aggregate -0.08 189. Scott #189 · Carey Scott · aggregate -0.09 88. Chapman #88 · Doug Chapman · aggregate -0.11 157. Stewart #157 · James Stewart · aggregate -0.14 80. McDonald #80 · Ramos McDonald · aggregate -0.17 110. Mays #110 · Kivuusama Mays · aggregate -0.19 240. Malano #240 · Mike Malano · aggregate -0.20 148. Boyd #148 · Sean Boyd · aggregate -0.22 223. Merrill #223 · Jon Merrill · aggregate -0.23 208. Burnett #208 · Chester Burnett · aggregate -0.23 199. Dalton #199 · Antico Dalton · aggregate -0.23 144. Cooks #144 · Kerry Cooks · aggregate -0.24 225. Crawford #225 · Brian Crawford · aggregate -0.24 130. Worthen #130 · Shawn Worthen · aggregate -0.26 97. Goodwin #97 · Hunter Goodwin · aggregate -0.29 134. Hammonds #134 · Shelly Hammonds · aggregate -0.29 189. Solomon #189 · John Solomon · aggregate -0.29 131. James #131 · Cedric James · aggregate -0.30 25. Hovan #25 · Chris Hovan · aggregate -0.33 106. Wilson #106 · Antonio Wilson · aggregate -0.34 169. Jones #169 · Chris Jones · aggregate -0.35 40. Palmer #40 · David Palmer · aggregate -0.36 44. Kleinsasser #44 · Jim Kleinsasser · aggregate -0.36 27. Bennett #27 · Michael Bennett · aggregate -0.45 49. Gray #49 · Torrian Gray · aggregate -0.47 183. Tate #183 · Robert Tate · aggregate -0.48 120. Wright #120 · Kenny Wright · aggregate -0.50 125. Humphrey #125 · Jay Humphrey · aggregate -0.57 55. Fuller #55 · Corey Fuller · aggregate -0.58 157. Chukwurah #157 · Patrick Chukwurah · aggregate -0.61 57. Howard #57 · Willie Howard · aggregate -0.68 51. Wong #51 · Kailee Wong · aggregate -0.71 56. Boireau #56 · Michael Boireau · aggregate -0.82 45. Manley #45 · James Manley · aggregate -0.95 165. Walters #165 · Troy Walters · aggregate -1.12 29. Underwood #29 · Dimitrius Underwood · aggregate -1.22 243. Fisk #243 · Jason Fisk · aggregate -1.41 125. Wells #125 · Mike Wells · aggregate -1.43 220. Ulmer #220 · Artie Ulmer · aggregate -1.73 Ulmer -1.7 118. Carter #118 · Tyrone Carter · aggregate -1.73 19. Steussie #19 · Todd Steussie · aggregate -1.83 55. Robbins #55 · Fred Robbins · aggregate -2.21 Robbins -2.2 16. Clemons #16 · Duane Clemons · aggregate -2.36 Clemons -2.4 18. Washington #18 · Dewayne Washington · aggregate -2.65 Washington -2.6 Incremental contribution by season -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 1994 · Andrew Jordan · incremental +0.29 1994 · Pete Bercich · incremental -0.04 1994 · Fernando Smith · incremental -0.07 1994 · Shelly Hammonds · incremental -0.14 1994 · David Palmer · incremental -0.25 1994 · Mike Wells · incremental -2.32 1994 · Dewayne Washington · incremental -2.73 1994 · Todd Steussie · incremental -3.96 1995 · Fernando Smith · incremental +0.03 1995 · Todd Steussie · incremental +0.03 1995 · David Palmer · incremental +0.08 1995 · Pete Bercich · incremental +0.10 1995 · Derrick Alexander · incremental +0.22 1995 · Andrew Jordan · incremental +0.25 1995 · Orlando Thomas · incremental +0.42 1995 · Korey Stringer · incremental +0.56 1995 · Chad May · incremental -0.11 1995 · Jason Fisk · incremental -0.20 1995 · James Stewart · incremental -0.30 1995 · Shelly Hammonds · incremental -0.42 1995 · Dewayne Washington · incremental -0.48 1995 · John Solomon · incremental -0.53 1995 · Corey Fuller · incremental -0.57 1996 · Todd Steussie · incremental +0.03 1996 · Fernando Smith · incremental +0.13 1996 · Derrick Alexander · incremental +0.24 1996 · Andrew Jordan · incremental +0.28 1996 · Korey Stringer · incremental +0.61 1996 · Orlando Thomas · incremental +0.66 1996 · Pete Bercich · incremental -0.05 1996 · Hunter Goodwin · incremental -0.10 1996 · Corey Fuller · incremental -0.10 1996 · David Palmer · incremental -0.10 1996 · Jon Merrill · incremental -0.42 1996 · Moe Williams · incremental -0.43 1996 · Sean Boyd · incremental -0.46 1996 · Dewayne Washington · incremental -0.59 1996 · Jason Fisk · incremental -0.72 1996 · Duane Clemons · incremental -0.95 1996 · James Manley · incremental -1.54 1997 · Tony Williams · incremental +0.00 1997 · Andrew Jordan · incremental +0.03 1997 · Todd Steussie · incremental +0.04 1997 · Fernando Smith · incremental +0.07 1997 · David Palmer · incremental +0.10 1997 · Moe Williams · incremental +0.14 1997 · Pete Bercich · incremental +0.15 1997 · Matthew Hatchette · incremental +0.16 1997 · Derrick Alexander · incremental +0.31 1997 · Orlando Thomas · incremental +0.52 1997 · Korey Stringer · incremental +0.62 1997 · Stalin Colinet · incremental -0.01 1997 · Antonio Banks · incremental -0.02 1997 · Corey Fuller · incremental -0.05 1997 · Robert Tate · incremental -0.14 1997 · Dwayne Rudd · incremental -0.23 1997 · Hunter Goodwin · incremental -0.34 1997 · Torrian Gray · incremental -0.48 1997 · Dewayne Washington · incremental -0.51 1997 · Duane Clemons · incremental -0.61 1997 · Jason Fisk · incremental -0.91 1997 · Artie Ulmer · incremental -2.73 1998 · Robert Tate · incremental +0.01 1998 · Antonio Banks · incremental +0.01 1998 · David Palmer · incremental +0.03 1998 · Moe Williams · incremental +0.03 1998 · Stalin Colinet · incremental +0.04 1998 · Todd Steussie · incremental +0.04 1998 · Matthew Hatchette · incremental +0.09 1998 · Dwayne Rudd · incremental +0.11 1998 · Hunter Goodwin · incremental +0.11 1998 · Tony Williams · incremental +0.23 1998 · Derrick Alexander · incremental +0.36 1998 · Orlando Thomas · incremental +0.61 1998 · Korey Stringer · incremental +0.62 1998 · Randy Moss · incremental +1.72 1998 · Pete Bercich · incremental -0.05 1998 · Tony Darden · incremental -0.08 1998 · Corey Fuller · incremental -0.09 1998 · Ramos McDonald · incremental -0.12 1998 · Jason Fisk · incremental -0.23 1998 · Torrian Gray · incremental -0.24 1998 · Kivuusama Mays · incremental -0.26 1998 · Matt Birk · incremental -0.35 1998 · Chester Burnett · incremental -0.44 1998 · Kailee Wong · incremental -0.46 1998 · Kerry Cooks · incremental -0.49 1998 · Duane Clemons · incremental -0.72 1999 · Noel Scarlett · incremental +0.01 1999 · Stalin Colinet · incremental +0.01 1999 · Talance Sawyer · incremental +0.02 1999 · Todd Steussie · incremental +0.03 1999 · Dwayne Rudd · incremental +0.09 1999 · Matt Birk · incremental +0.11 1999 · Moe Williams · incremental +0.14 1999 · Andrew Jordan · incremental +0.15 1999 · Matthew Hatchette · incremental +0.17 1999 · Tony Williams · incremental +0.28 1999 · Orlando Thomas · incremental +0.52 1999 · Randy Moss · incremental +0.62 1999 · Korey Stringer · incremental +0.70 1999 · Kivuusama Mays · incremental -0.02 1999 · Robert Tate · incremental -0.06 1999 · Antonio Banks · incremental -0.08 1999 · Kailee Wong · incremental -0.14 1999 · Daunte Culpepper · incremental -0.15 1999 · Ramos McDonald · incremental -0.18 1999 · David Palmer · incremental -0.28 1999 · Kenny Wright · incremental -0.40 1999 · Antico Dalton · incremental -0.43 1999 · Chris Jones · incremental -0.62 1999 · Jay Humphrey · incremental -0.97 1999 · Duane Clemons · incremental -1.36 1999 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental -1.53 1999 · Dimitrius Underwood · incremental -1.95 2000 · Fernando Smith · incremental +0.00 2000 · Pete Bercich · incremental +0.02 2000 · Todd Steussie · incremental +0.04 2000 · Matthew Hatchette · incremental +0.04 2000 · Giles Cole · incremental +0.06 2000 · David Palmer · incremental +0.06 2000 · Antonio Banks · incremental +0.07 2000 · Dwayne Rudd · incremental +0.07 2000 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.09 2000 · Moe Williams · incremental +0.16 2000 · Tony Williams · incremental +0.25 2000 · Andrew Jordan · incremental +0.25 2000 · Orlando Thomas · incremental +0.35 2000 · Talance Sawyer · incremental +1.01 2000 · Daunte Culpepper · incremental +1.38 2000 · Matt Birk · incremental +1.46 2000 · Korey Stringer · incremental +1.83 2000 · Randy Moss · incremental +2.12 2000 · Lewis Kelly · incremental -0.02 2000 · Doug Chapman · incremental -0.04 2000 · Antonio Wilson · incremental -0.04 2000 · Kenny Wright · incremental -0.16 2000 · Kailee Wong · incremental -0.21 2000 · Robert Tate · incremental -0.32 2000 · Mike Malano · incremental -0.37 2000 · Chris Hovan · incremental -0.59 2000 · Fred Robbins · incremental -0.88 2000 · Tyrone Carter · incremental -1.03 2000 · Michael Boireau · incremental -1.36 2000 · Troy Walters · incremental -1.52 2001 · Chris Hovan · incremental +0.04 2001 · Carey Scott · incremental +0.06 2001 · Stalin Colinet · incremental +0.06 2001 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.10 2001 · Randy Moss · incremental +0.15 2001 · Andrew Jordan · incremental +0.25 2001 · Daunte Culpepper · incremental +0.30 2001 · Eric Kelly · incremental +0.37 2001 · Orlando Thomas · incremental +0.44 2001 · Talance Sawyer · incremental +1.06 2001 · Matt Birk · incremental +1.43 2001 · Lewis Kelly · incremental -0.00 2001 · Robert Tate · incremental -0.07 2001 · Doug Chapman · incremental -0.11 2001 · Kenny Wright · incremental -0.16 2001 · Troy Walters · incremental -0.18 2001 · Antonio Wilson · incremental -0.19 2001 · Cedric James · incremental -0.19 2001 · Kailee Wong · incremental -0.23 2001 · Brian Crawford · incremental -0.43 2001 · Shawn Worthen · incremental -0.48 2001 · Patrick Chukwurah · incremental -0.58 2001 · Michael Bennett · incremental -0.59 2001 · Fred Robbins · incremental -0.75 2001 · Tyrone Carter · incremental -0.77 2001 · Willie Howard · incremental -1.11 2002 · Chris Hovan · incremental +0.02 2002 · Talance Sawyer · incremental +0.03 2002 · Hunter Goodwin · incremental +0.08 2002 · Michael Bennett · incremental +0.16 2002 · Moe Williams · incremental +0.16 2002 · Matt Birk · incremental +0.39 2002 · Eric Kelly · incremental +0.42 2002 · Daunte Culpepper · incremental +0.44 2002 · Randy Moss · incremental +0.59 2002 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental -0.01 2002 · Doug Chapman · incremental -0.01 2002 · Lewis Kelly · incremental -0.13 2002 · Carey Scott · incremental -0.31 2002 · Cedric James · incremental -0.32 2002 · Patrick Chukwurah · incremental -0.33 2002 · Antonio Wilson · incremental -0.34 2002 · Tyrone Carter · incremental -0.78 2002 · Fred Robbins · incremental -0.87 2003 · Doug Chapman · incremental +0.01 2003 · Chris Hovan · incremental +0.04 2003 · Talance Sawyer · incremental +0.05 2003 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.06 2003 · Hunter Goodwin · incremental +0.08 2003 · Eric Kelly · incremental +0.19 2003 · Daunte Culpepper · incremental +1.31 2003 · Matt Birk · incremental +1.50 2003 · Randy Moss · incremental +2.14 2003 · Lewis Kelly · incremental -0.01 2003 · Michael Bennett · incremental -0.09 2003 · Moe Williams · incremental -0.44 2003 · Fred Robbins · incremental -0.82 2004 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.02 2004 · Chris Hovan · incremental +0.02 2004 · Moe Williams · incremental +0.06 2004 · Randy Moss · incremental +0.11 2004 · Matt Birk · incremental +1.35 2004 · Daunte Culpepper · incremental +1.38 2004 · Michael Bennett · incremental -0.10 2005 · Daunte Culpepper · incremental +0.15 2005 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.28 2005 · Moe Williams · incremental -0.03 2005 · Michael Bennett · incremental -0.13 2006 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.31 2006 · Matt Birk · incremental +1.39 2007 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.28 2007 · Matt Birk · incremental +1.40 2008 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.22 2008 · Matt Birk · incremental +0.36 2009 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.18 2010 · Randy Moss · incremental +0.01 2010 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.17 2011 · Jim Kleinsasser · incremental +0.29 Wells -2.3 Washington -2.7 Steussie -4.0 Manley -1.5 Ulmer -2.7 Moss +1.7 Kleinsasser -1.5 Underwood -1.9 Stringer +1.8 Moss +2.1 Walters -1.5 Birk +1.5 Moss +2.1 1994 8 players 1995 15 players 1996 17 players 1997 22 players 1998 26 players 1999 27 players 2000 30 players 2001 26 players 2002 18 players 2003 13 players 2004 7 players 2005 4 players 2006 2 players 2007 2 players 2008 2 players 2009 1 player 2010 2 players 2011 1 player
How much retained production did Artie Ulmer return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: LBs drafted within ±5 picks of Artie Ulmer since 2010 (17 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 216. Winters Dee Winters · model value +0.6 220. McDuffie Isaiah McDuffie · model value +0.4 220. Chaney Jamar Chaney · model value +0.4 217. Houston James Houston · model value +0.2 222. Lindenberg Cody Lindenberg · model value +0.1 221. Adams Matthew Adams · model value 0 215. Bailey Markus Bailey · model value 0 223. Lewis Travis Lewis · model value 0 221. Johnson Randell Johnson · model value -0.1 225. Robinson Mark Robinson · model value -0.1 223. Watts Brandon Watts · model value -0.1 222. McSurdy Caleb McSurdy · model value -0.1 219. Campbell Chance Campbell · model value -0.2 225. Downs Devante Downs · model value -0.2 216. Victor Azeem Victor · model value -0.3 218. Coughlin Carter Coughlin · model value -0.3 217. Watson Dekoda Watson · model value -0.6 220. Ulmer Artie Ulmer · model value -0.7 -0.7 Artie Ulmer
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'98 '00 '02 '04 '05 0 1 1 2 2 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count
Full-career season history (9 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.