Neil Smith · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Neil Smith across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played191

Games started162

Weighted career AV96

Pro Bowls6

AP1 All-Pro1

Career seasons13

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

1988 · Round 1 · #2

KC draft credit

GM Jim Schaaf

Team games138

Team starts127

On-team AV95

On-team PB / AP14 / 1

Excellent+2.51 contribution5th of 63 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Neil Smith was Jim Schaaf's 5th-best of 63 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +2.51. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Jim Schaaf's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

138

on drafting team · 191 full-career

Games started

127

on drafting team · 162 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 96

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

6 full-career

AP1 All-Pro

1 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 1

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Jim Schaaf's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Jim Schaaf pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Neil Smith totals +2.51. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationNeil SmithGM total -4.8Neil Smith by season +4.0

How much retained production did Neil Smith return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DEs drafted within ±5 picks of Neil Smith since 2010 (17 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Neil SmithSlot-similar peers (17)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (13 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB	AP1	AP2
1988	KC	13	7	—	—	3	—
1989	KC	15	15	—	—	8	—
1990	KC	16	15	—	—	8	—
1991	KC	16	16	—	—	12	—	✓
1992	KC	16	16	—	—	13	—	✓
1993	KC	16	15	—	—	17	—	✓	★
1994	KC	14	13	—	—	10	—
1995	KC	16	14	—	—	17	—	✓		·
1996	KC	16	16	—	—	7	—
1997	DEN	14	13	—	—	13	—
1998	DEN	14	14	—	—	7	—
1999	DEN	15	8	—	—	5	—
2000	LAC	10	0	—	—	1	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.