All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Larry Shannon across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 2
Games started 0
Weighted career AV 0
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 2
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 2
Team starts 0
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Bad -0.61 contribution 37th of 44 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Larry Shannon was Jimmy Johnson's 37th-best of 44 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.61 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Jimmy Johnson's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
2
on drafting team
Games started
0
on drafting team
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 0
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Jimmy Johnson's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Jimmy Johnson pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Larry Shannon totals -0.61 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 +14 154. Thomas #154 · Zach Thomas · aggregate +15.70 Thomas +15.7 73. Taylor #73 · Jason Taylor · aggregate +12.29 Taylor +12.3 44. Madison #44 · Sam Madison · aggregate +7.35 Madison +7.4 44. Surtain #44 · Patrick Surtain · aggregate +3.98 Surtain +4.0 92. Rodgers #92 · Derrick Rodgers · aggregate +2.21 Rodgers +2.2 80. Abdul-Jabbar #80 · Karim Abdul-Jabbar · aggregate +1.60 189. Wooden #189 · Shawn Wooden · aggregate +1.28 20. Gardener #20 · Daryl Gardener · aggregate +1.10 230. Buckey #230 · Jeff Buckey · aggregate +0.91 49. Mixon #49 · Kenny Mixon · aggregate +0.86 43. Konrad #43 · Rob Konrad · aggregate +0.80 232. Haley #232 · Jermaine Haley · aggregate +0.70 192. Bartholomew #192 · Brent Bartholomew · aggregate +0.39 134. McPhail #134 · Jerris McPhail · aggregate +0.29 172. Dutton #172 · John Dutton · aggregate +0.23 251. Hunter #251 · Brice Hunter · aggregate +0.05 134. Collins #134 · Cecil Collins · aggregate -0.02 203. Ismaeli #203 · Hudhaifa Ismaeli · aggregate -0.04 170. Manning #170 · Brian Manning · aggregate -0.05 177. Perry #177 · Ed Perry · aggregate -0.06 150. Burton #150 · Shane Burton · aggregate -0.14 102. Bromell #102 · Lorenzo Bromell · aggregate -0.15 157. Lopez #157 · Nicholas Lopez · aggregate -0.17 244. Wong #244 · Joe Wong · aggregate -0.17 173. Crawford #173 · Mike Crawford · aggregate -0.25 210. Bundren #210 · Jim Bundren · aggregate -0.26 39. Johnson #39 · J.J. Johnson · aggregate -0.31 171. Strikwerda #171 · Nathan Strikwerda · aggregate -0.38 113. Pointer #113 · Kirk Pointer · aggregate -0.39 142. Jones #142 · Bryan Jones · aggregate -0.45 118. Pritchett #118 · Stanley Pritchett · aggregate -0.48 149. Tanner #149 · Barron Tanner · aggregate -0.48 143. Shaw #143 · Scott Shaw · aggregate -0.49 125. Jones #125 · LaCurtis Jones · aggregate -0.52 121. Daniels #121 · Jerome Daniels · aggregate -0.58 79. Brew #79 · Dorian Brew · aggregate -0.61 82. Shannon #82 · Larry Shannon · aggregate -0.61 Shannon -0.6 93. Ward #93 · Ronnie Ward · aggregate -0.67 166. Fiala #166 · John Fiala · aggregate -0.70 79. Jackson #79 · Brad Jackson · aggregate -0.82 96. Smith #96 · Brent Smith · aggregate -0.91 29. Avery #29 · John Avery · aggregate -1.31 15. Green #15 · Yatil Green · aggregate -1.50 72. Ruegamer #72 · Grey Ruegamer · aggregate -3.05 Ruegamer -3.1 Incremental contribution by season -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 +14 1996 · Daryl Gardener · incremental +0.04 1996 · Jerris McPhail · incremental +0.12 1996 · Jeff Buckey · incremental +0.35 1996 · Shawn Wooden · incremental +0.41 1996 · Karim Abdul-Jabbar · incremental +0.75 1996 · Zach Thomas · incremental +0.77 1996 · Shane Burton · incremental -0.20 1996 · Stanley Pritchett · incremental -0.30 1996 · Kirk Pointer · incremental -0.72 1996 · LaCurtis Jones · incremental -0.90 1996 · Dorian Brew · incremental -1.06 1997 · Stanley Pritchett · incremental +0.03 1997 · Sam Madison · incremental +0.20 1997 · Jerris McPhail · incremental +0.21 1997 · Daryl Gardener · incremental +0.38 1997 · Derrick Rodgers · incremental +0.42 1997 · Jason Taylor · incremental +0.47 1997 · Shawn Wooden · incremental +0.57 1997 · Zach Thomas · incremental +0.65 1997 · Karim Abdul-Jabbar · incremental +0.79 1997 · Jeff Buckey · incremental +0.85 1997 · Shane Burton · incremental -0.05 1997 · Ed Perry · incremental -0.10 1997 · Yatil Green · incremental -0.10 1997 · Brent Smith · incremental -0.13 1997 · Brian Manning · incremental -0.15 1997 · Hudhaifa Ismaeli · incremental -0.16 1997 · Nicholas Lopez · incremental -0.37 1997 · Mike Crawford · incremental -0.43 1997 · Barron Tanner · incremental -0.57 1997 · Jerome Daniels · incremental -0.99 1997 · Ronnie Ward · incremental -1.09 1997 · John Fiala · incremental -1.18 1998 · Stanley Pritchett · incremental +0.01 1998 · Lorenzo Bromell · incremental +0.02 1998 · Shane Burton · incremental +0.03 1998 · Shawn Wooden · incremental +0.06 1998 · Patrick Surtain · incremental +0.12 1998 · Jeff Buckey · incremental +0.16 1998 · John Dutton · incremental +0.30 1998 · Kenny Mixon · incremental +0.33 1998 · Daryl Gardener · incremental +0.41 1998 · Jason Taylor · incremental +0.64 1998 · Derrick Rodgers · incremental +0.66 1998 · Karim Abdul-Jabbar · incremental +0.73 1998 · Sam Madison · incremental +0.75 1998 · Zach Thomas · incremental +3.14 1998 · Barron Tanner · incremental -0.15 1998 · Jim Bundren · incremental -0.47 1998 · Larry Shannon · incremental -0.48 1998 · Ed Perry · incremental -0.48 1998 · Brent Smith · incremental -0.52 1998 · Nathan Strikwerda · incremental -0.66 1998 · Scott Shaw · incremental -0.83 1998 · Brad Jackson · incremental -1.35 1998 · John Avery · incremental -2.03 1999 · Kenny Mixon · incremental +0.12 1999 · Karim Abdul-Jabbar · incremental +0.14 1999 · Ed Perry · incremental +0.15 1999 · Patrick Surtain · incremental +0.19 1999 · Rob Konrad · incremental +0.19 1999 · Shawn Wooden · incremental +0.35 1999 · Daryl Gardener · incremental +0.38 1999 · Brent Bartholomew · incremental +0.41 1999 · Jason Taylor · incremental +0.60 1999 · Derrick Rodgers · incremental +0.62 1999 · Sam Madison · incremental +3.54 1999 · Zach Thomas · incremental +4.07 1999 · Jermaine Haley · incremental -0.01 1999 · John Avery · incremental -0.04 1999 · Cecil Collins · incremental -0.10 1999 · Lorenzo Bromell · incremental -0.14 1999 · Stanley Pritchett · incremental -0.21 1999 · Joe Wong · incremental -0.35 1999 · J.J. Johnson · incremental -0.41 1999 · Brent Smith · incremental -0.42 1999 · Larry Shannon · incremental -0.52 1999 · Bryan Jones · incremental -0.79 1999 · Yatil Green · incremental -2.20 1999 · Grey Ruegamer · incremental -4.81 2000 · Lorenzo Bromell · incremental +0.05 2000 · Ed Perry · incremental +0.11 2000 · Daryl Gardener · incremental +0.25 2000 · Patrick Surtain · incremental +0.34 2000 · Jermaine Haley · incremental +0.41 2000 · Rob Konrad · incremental +0.41 2000 · Kenny Mixon · incremental +0.43 2000 · Derrick Rodgers · incremental +0.60 2000 · Zach Thomas · incremental +1.65 2000 · Sam Madison · incremental +3.56 2000 · Jason Taylor · incremental +3.90 2000 · J.J. Johnson · incremental -0.08 2000 · Brent Smith · incremental -0.31 2001 · J.J. Johnson · incremental +0.03 2001 · Daryl Gardener · incremental +0.20 2001 · Ed Perry · incremental +0.20 2001 · Shawn Wooden · incremental +0.21 2001 · Rob Konrad · incremental +0.29 2001 · Patrick Surtain · incremental +0.34 2001 · Jermaine Haley · incremental +0.39 2001 · Kenny Mixon · incremental +0.41 2001 · Derrick Rodgers · incremental +0.56 2001 · Jason Taylor · incremental +0.82 2001 · Sam Madison · incremental +1.47 2001 · Zach Thomas · incremental +1.89 2001 · Lorenzo Bromell · incremental -0.14 2002 · Ed Perry · incremental +0.20 2002 · Shawn Wooden · incremental +0.29 2002 · Jermaine Haley · incremental +0.30 2002 · Rob Konrad · incremental +0.36 2002 · Derrick Rodgers · incremental +0.60 2002 · Sam Madison · incremental +1.46 2002 · Patrick Surtain · incremental +3.14 2002 · Jason Taylor · incremental +3.76 2002 · Zach Thomas · incremental +4.00 2003 · Shawn Wooden · incremental +0.23 2003 · Rob Konrad · incremental +0.35 2003 · Sam Madison · incremental +0.51 2003 · Jason Taylor · incremental +0.68 2003 · Patrick Surtain · incremental +1.39 2003 · Zach Thomas · incremental +4.10 2004 · Rob Konrad · incremental +0.13 2004 · Ed Perry · incremental +0.20 2004 · Sam Madison · incremental +0.51 2004 · Zach Thomas · incremental +0.62 2004 · Patrick Surtain · incremental +1.35 2004 · Jason Taylor · incremental +1.75 2005 · Sam Madison · incremental +0.47 2005 · Jason Taylor · incremental +1.70 2005 · Zach Thomas · incremental +1.83 2006 · Jason Taylor · incremental +3.87 2006 · Zach Thomas · incremental +4.10 2007 · Zach Thomas · incremental +0.21 2007 · Jason Taylor · incremental +1.62 2009 · Jason Taylor · incremental +0.56 2011 · Jason Taylor · incremental +0.28 Thomas +3.1 Shannon -0.5 Madison +3.5 Thomas +4.1 Shannon -0.5 Ruegamer -4.8 Madison +3.6 Taylor +3.9 Surtain +3.1 Taylor +3.8 Thomas +4.0 Thomas +4.1 Taylor +3.9 Thomas +4.1 1996 11 players 1997 22 players 1998 23 players 1999 24 players 2000 13 players 2001 13 players 2002 9 players 2003 6 players 2004 6 players 2005 3 players 2006 2 players 2007 2 players 2009 1 player 2011 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Larry Shannon GM total +34.2 Larry Shannon by season -1.0
How much retained production did Larry Shannon return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Larry Shannon since 2010 (30 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-1 -0.5 0 +0.5 +1 Model value above slot 84. Godwin Chris Godwin · model value +1.1 87. Decker Eric Decker · model value +1.1 79. Downs Josh Downs · model value +0.8 81. Gallup Michael Gallup · model value +0.5 77. Palmer Josh Palmer · model value +0.3 87. Coates Sammie Coates · model value +0.2 77. Williams Damian Williams · model value +0.2 78. Pettis Austin Pettis · model value +0.1 79. Hankerson Leonard Hankerson · model value +0.1 79. Wheaton Markus Wheaton · model value +0.1 78. LaFell Brandon LaFell · model value -0.1 79. Noel Jaylin Noel · model value -0.1 80. Burton Jermaine Burton · model value -0.1 84. Shipley Jordan Shipley · model value -0.1 87. Williams Savion Williams · model value -0.1 84. Wilson Roman Wilson · model value -0.1 83. Jernigan Jerrel Jernigan · model value -0.1 82. Brown Vincent Brown · model value -0.2 82. Shannon Larry Shannon · model value -0.2 -0.2 86. Huff Josh Huff · model value -0.2 81. Edwards Bryan Edwards · model value -0.3 79. Stewart ArDarius Stewart · model value -0.4 83. Sanu Mohamed Sanu · model value -0.4 82. Henderson Carlos Henderson · model value -0.4 86. Carroo Leonte Carroo · model value -0.4 82. Sanders Emmanuel Sanders · model value -0.5 80. Jr. Lynn Bowden Jr. · model value -0.5 82. Brown Dyami Brown · model value -0.6 85. Rodgers Amari Rodgers · model value -0.6 85. Miller Braxton Miller · model value -0.7 78. Goodwin Marquise Goodwin · model value -1.2 Larry Shannon Slot-similar peers (30)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'98 '00 '02 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.