All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Donte Nicholson across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 16
Games started 0
Weighted career AV 1
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 4
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 16
Team starts 0
On-team AV 1
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Average -0.08 contribution 21st of 47 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Donte Nicholson was Bruce Allen's 21st-best of 47 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.08 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Bruce Allen's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
16
on drafting team
Games started
0
on drafting team
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
1
modeled; full weighted AV 1
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Bruce Allen's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Bruce Allen pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Donte Nicholson totals -0.08 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 106. Jackson #106 · Tanard Jackson · aggregate +2.04 Jackson +2.0 59. Trueblood #59 · Jeremy Trueblood · aggregate +1.57 36. Ruud #36 · Barrett Ruud · aggregate +1.19 68. Black #68 · Quincy Black · aggregate +1.01 175. Hayes #175 · Geno Hayes · aggregate +0.90 23. Joseph #23 · Davin Joseph · aggregate +0.50 182. Hayward #182 · Adam Hayward · aggregate +0.38 83. Zuttah #83 · Jeremy Zuttah · aggregate +0.28 107. Buenning #107 · Dan Buenning · aggregate +0.28 64. Piscitelli #64 · Sabby Piscitelli · aggregate +0.28 244. Massaquoi #244 · Tim Massaquoi · aggregate +0.10 181. Lawrie #181 · Nate Lawrie · aggregate +0.06 252. Williams #252 · Lenny Williams · aggregate +0.04 225. Warren #225 · Paris Warren · aggregate -0.00 202. Williams #202 · T.J. Williams · aggregate -0.01 245. Hamilton #245 · Marcus Hamilton · aggregate -0.02 253. Russell #253 · J.R. Russell · aggregate -0.03 235. Phinisee #235 · Justin Phinisee · aggregate -0.05 146. Terry #146 · Jeb Terry · aggregate -0.06 228. Cramer #228 · Casey Cramer · aggregate -0.07 141. Nicholson #141 · Donte Nicholson · aggregate -0.08 Nicholson -0.1 246. Darby #246 · Kenneth Darby · aggregate -0.08 156. Jenkins #156 · Julian Jenkins · aggregate -0.08 35. Sears #35 · Arron Sears · aggregate -0.08 221. Razzano #221 · Rick Razzano · aggregate -0.10 141. Peterson #141 · Greg Peterson · aggregate -0.12 206. Jones #206 · Mark Jones · aggregate -0.12 238. Boyd #238 · Cory Boyd · aggregate -0.13 241. Bennett #241 · Charles Bennett · aggregate -0.20 15. Clayton #15 · Michael Clayton · aggregate -0.25 155. Brackins #155 · Larry Brackins · aggregate -0.31 214. Denman #214 · Chris Denman · aggregate -0.37 115. Moore #115 · Dre Moore · aggregate -0.37 90. Stovall #90 · Maurice Stovall · aggregate -0.37 122. Zemaitis #122 · Alan Zemaitis · aggregate -0.44 5. Williams #5 · Cadillac Williams · aggregate -0.45 79. Cooper #79 · Marquis Cooper · aggregate -0.47 178. Bryant #178 · Anthony Bryant · aggregate -0.47 231. Abdullah #231 · Hamza Abdullah · aggregate -0.76 91. Colmer #91 · Chris Colmer · aggregate -0.84 194. Gradkowski #194 · Bruce Gradkowski · aggregate -0.84 4. Adams #4 · Gaines Adams · aggregate -0.84 58. Jackson #58 · Dexter Jackson · aggregate -0.91 71. Smith #71 · Alex Smith · aggregate -1.58 111. Allen #111 · Will Allen · aggregate -1.62 20. Talib #20 · Aqib Talib · aggregate -3.61 Talib -3.6 160. Johnson #160 · Josh Johnson · aggregate -5.91 Johnson -5.9 Incremental contribution by season -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 2004 · Jeb Terry · incremental +0.02 2004 · Nate Lawrie · incremental +0.06 2004 · Lenny Williams · incremental -0.06 2004 · Casey Cramer · incremental -0.18 2004 · Mark Jones · incremental -0.30 2004 · Michael Clayton · incremental -0.56 2004 · Marquis Cooper · incremental -0.58 2004 · Will Allen · incremental -0.70 2005 · Paris Warren · incremental +0.06 2005 · Michael Clayton · incremental +0.08 2005 · Mark Jones · incremental +0.11 2005 · Jeb Terry · incremental +0.11 2005 · Dan Buenning · incremental +0.30 2005 · J.R. Russell · incremental -0.10 2005 · Marquis Cooper · incremental -0.15 2005 · Donte Nicholson · incremental -0.16 2005 · Nate Lawrie · incremental -0.17 2005 · Barrett Ruud · incremental -0.22 2005 · Rick Razzano · incremental -0.23 2005 · Will Allen · incremental -0.50 2005 · Larry Brackins · incremental -0.56 2005 · Cadillac Williams · incremental -0.71 2005 · Anthony Bryant · incremental -0.81 2005 · Alex Smith · incremental -1.19 2005 · Hamza Abdullah · incremental -1.28 2005 · Chris Colmer · incremental -1.37 2006 · Cadillac Williams · incremental +0.03 2006 · Mark Jones · incremental +0.05 2006 · Michael Clayton · incremental +0.06 2006 · Dan Buenning · incremental +0.14 2006 · Jeremy Trueblood · incremental +0.14 2006 · Barrett Ruud · incremental +0.23 2006 · Donte Nicholson · incremental -0.00 2006 · Tim Massaquoi · incremental -0.05 2006 · Paris Warren · incremental -0.09 2006 · Maurice Stovall · incremental -0.18 2006 · Justin Phinisee · incremental -0.18 2006 · Julian Jenkins · incremental -0.18 2006 · Jeb Terry · incremental -0.19 2006 · T.J. Williams · incremental -0.24 2006 · Alex Smith · incremental -0.33 2006 · Charles Bennett · incremental -0.37 2006 · Alan Zemaitis · incremental -0.80 2006 · Will Allen · incremental -0.81 2006 · Bruce Gradkowski · incremental -0.94 2006 · Davin Joseph · incremental -2.14 2007 · Maurice Stovall · incremental +0.00 2007 · Cadillac Williams · incremental +0.00 2007 · Mark Jones · incremental +0.04 2007 · Michael Clayton · incremental +0.06 2007 · Quincy Black · incremental +0.10 2007 · Marcus Hamilton · incremental +0.11 2007 · Davin Joseph · incremental +0.36 2007 · Barrett Ruud · incremental +0.44 2007 · Adam Hayward · incremental +0.50 2007 · Jeremy Trueblood · incremental +0.53 2007 · Tanard Jackson · incremental +0.92 2007 · Donte Nicholson · incremental -0.00 2007 · Sabby Piscitelli · incremental -0.03 2007 · Arron Sears · incremental -0.13 2007 · Will Allen · incremental -0.13 2007 · Kenneth Darby · incremental -0.18 2007 · Greg Peterson · incremental -0.24 2007 · Bruce Gradkowski · incremental -0.26 2007 · Gaines Adams · incremental -0.49 2007 · Alex Smith · incremental -0.52 2007 · Chris Denman · incremental -0.65 2008 · Cadillac Williams · incremental +0.00 2008 · Geno Hayes · incremental +0.02 2008 · Maurice Stovall · incremental +0.03 2008 · Michael Clayton · incremental +0.07 2008 · Sabby Piscitelli · incremental +0.15 2008 · Quincy Black · incremental +0.21 2008 · Adam Hayward · incremental +0.22 2008 · Barrett Ruud · incremental +0.46 2008 · Jeremy Trueblood · incremental +0.51 2008 · Tanard Jackson · incremental +0.87 2008 · Davin Joseph · incremental +1.13 2008 · Donte Nicholson · incremental -0.02 2008 · Greg Peterson · incremental -0.03 2008 · Arron Sears · incremental -0.03 2008 · Will Allen · incremental -0.06 2008 · Marcus Hamilton · incremental -0.12 2008 · Dre Moore · incremental -0.22 2008 · Cory Boyd · incremental -0.27 2008 · Alex Smith · incremental -0.37 2008 · Gaines Adams · incremental -0.55 2008 · Jeremy Zuttah · incremental -0.61 2008 · Josh Johnson · incremental -0.88 2008 · Dexter Jackson · incremental -1.45 2008 · Aqib Talib · incremental -3.36 2009 · Cadillac Williams · incremental +0.04 2009 · Michael Clayton · incremental +0.09 2009 · Adam Hayward · incremental +0.19 2009 · Sabby Piscitelli · incremental +0.22 2009 · Davin Joseph · incremental +0.33 2009 · Jeremy Zuttah · incremental +0.36 2009 · Barrett Ruud · incremental +0.41 2009 · Geno Hayes · incremental +0.44 2009 · Quincy Black · incremental +0.45 2009 · Jeremy Trueblood · incremental +0.48 2009 · Tanard Jackson · incremental +0.68 2009 · Marcus Hamilton · incremental -0.12 2009 · Will Allen · incremental -0.13 2009 · Gaines Adams · incremental -0.15 2009 · Maurice Stovall · incremental -0.24 2009 · Dre Moore · incremental -0.45 2009 · Aqib Talib · incremental -0.92 2009 · Josh Johnson · incremental -4.04 2010 · Cadillac Williams · incremental +0.01 2010 · Sabby Piscitelli · incremental +0.09 2010 · Tanard Jackson · incremental +0.11 2010 · Adam Hayward · incremental +0.16 2010 · Davin Joseph · incremental +0.25 2010 · Jeremy Zuttah · incremental +0.27 2010 · Jeremy Trueblood · incremental +0.32 2010 · Quincy Black · incremental +0.34 2010 · Barrett Ruud · incremental +0.43 2010 · Geno Hayes · incremental +0.54 2010 · Maurice Stovall · incremental -0.02 2010 · Aqib Talib · incremental -0.76 2010 · Josh Johnson · incremental -1.81 2011 · Adam Hayward · incremental +0.19 2011 · Jeremy Zuttah · incremental +0.34 2011 · Quincy Black · incremental +0.38 2011 · Geno Hayes · incremental +0.41 2011 · Jeremy Trueblood · incremental +0.47 2011 · Tanard Jackson · incremental +0.49 2011 · Davin Joseph · incremental +1.21 2011 · Aqib Talib · incremental -0.73 2011 · Josh Johnson · incremental -2.11 2012 · Jeremy Trueblood · incremental +0.13 2012 · Adam Hayward · incremental +0.14 2012 · Quincy Black · incremental +0.22 2012 · Jeremy Zuttah · incremental +0.39 2012 · Aqib Talib · incremental -0.27 2013 · Adam Hayward · incremental +0.03 2013 · Davin Joseph · incremental +0.34 2013 · Jeremy Zuttah · incremental +0.37 Nicholson -0.2 Nicholson -0.0 Joseph -2.1 Nicholson -0.0 Nicholson -0.0 Talib -3.4 Johnson -4.0 Johnson -1.8 Johnson -2.1 2004 8 players 2005 18 players 2006 20 players 2007 21 players 2008 24 players 2009 18 players 2010 13 players 2011 9 players 2012 5 players 2013 3 players Above expectation Below expectation Donte Nicholson GM total -13.0 Donte Nicholson by season -0.2
How much retained production did Donte Nicholson return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: DBs drafted within ±5 picks of Donte Nicholson since 2010 (27 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-1 -0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 142. Durant Cobie Durant · model value +0.7 137. Still Tarheeb Still · model value +0.7 143. Norman Josh Norman · model value +0.6 146. Brownlee Jarvis Brownlee · model value +0.5 136. Wolff Earl Wolff · model value +0.3 145. Williams Steve Williams · model value +0.1 146. Gomes DeJon Gomes · model value +0.1 136. Lewis Kendrick Lewis · model value 0 141. Nicholson Donte Nicholson · model value 0 0 138. Simon Tharold Simon · model value 0 144. Keo Shiloh Keo · model value 0 145. Carroll Nolan Carroll · model value 0 139. Burton Brandon Burton · model value -0.1 141. Moore Joshua Moore · model value -0.1 138. McFadden Walter McFadden · model value -0.1 138. Rush Darius Rush · model value -0.1 143. Thomas Josh Thomas · model value -0.1 146. Menzie DeQuan Menzie · model value -0.1 139. Blanton Robert Blanton · model value -0.1 146. Sherwood Jamien Sherwood · model value -0.1 146. Howden Jordan Howden · model value -0.1 145. Robinson Jammie Robinson · model value -0.2 145. Abrams-Draine Kris Abrams-Draine · model value -0.2 142. Mitchell Cameron Mitchell · model value -0.2 143. Meeks Jonathan Meeks · model value -0.2 137. Cox Perrish Cox · model value -0.3 137. Skrine Buster Skrine · model value -0.5 144. McManis Sherrick McManis · model value -1.2 Donte Nicholson Slot-similar peers (27)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'06 '08 '09 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.