Anthony Miller · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Anthony Miller across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played155

Games started152

Weighted career AV74

Pro Bowls5

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons10

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

1988 · Round 1 · #15

LAC draft credit

GM Steve Ortmayer

Team games93

Team starts91

On-team AV57

On-team PB / AP14 / 0

Excellent+2.71 contribution4th of 62 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Anthony Miller was Steve Ortmayer's 4th-best of 62 picks across his career.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +2.71. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Steve Ortmayer's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

on drafting team · 155 full-career

Games started

on drafting team · 152 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 74

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

5 full-career

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 0

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Steve Ortmayer's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Steve Ortmayer pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Anthony Miller totals +2.71. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationAnthony MillerGM total -17.1Anthony Miller by season +4.7

How much retained production did Anthony Miller return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Anthony Miller since 2010 (19 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Anthony MillerSlot-similar peers (19)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (10 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB
1988	LAC	16	15	—	—	5	—
1989	LAC	16	16	—	—	11	—	✓
1990	LAC	16	16	—	—	11	—	✓
1991	LAC	13	12	—	—	6	—
1992	LAC	16	16	—	—	11	—	✓
1993	LAC	16	16	—	—	13	—	✓
1994	DEN	16	15	—	—	10	—
1995	DEN	14	14	—	—	11	—
1996	DEN	16	16	—	—	8	—
1997	DAL	16	16	—	—	5	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.