Matt Birk · Good GM

All NFL teams

Full-career context

These totals follow Matt Birk across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.

Games played210

Games started187

Weighted career AV83

Pro Bowls6

AP1 All-Pro0

Career seasons15

Accountability by draft event

What each drafting team received

1998 · Round 6 · #173

MIN draft credit

GM Frank Gilliam

Team games146

Team starts123

On-team AV80

On-team PB / AP16 / 0

Excellent+5.10 contribution1st of 66 picks for this GM

Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.

An Excellent pick

Matt Birk was Frank Gilliam's 1st-best of 66 picks across his career, the best pick of the entire tenure.

His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is +5.10. This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Frank Gilliam's leaderboard composite θ.

The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.

Opportunity

Did he earn the field?

Games played

146

on drafting team · 210 full-career

Games started

123

on drafting team · 187 full-career

Snap-z

0.0

0 modeled seasons

Quality

Was that time valuable?

On-team AV

modeled; full weighted AV 83

AV / 1k snaps

—

snap-era only

AV-rate z

—

position-year adjusted quality

Recognition

Did the league notice?

Pro Bowls

all on drafting team

AP1 All-Pro

0 AP1

all on drafting team · AP2 context 1

All-Decade

context only

Did this pick move Frank Gilliam's grade?

The first chart removes the time axis: every Frank Gilliam pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Matt Birk totals +5.10. The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.

Aggregate contribution by player

Incremental contribution by season

Above expectationBelow expectationMatt BirkGM total -7.1Matt Birk by season +9.0

How much retained production did Matt Birk return vs. his slot?

Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: Cs drafted within ±5 picks of Matt Birk since 2010 (4 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.

Matt BirkSlot-similar peers (4)

Cumulative value over time

Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.

Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro

Full-career season history (15 scored seasons)

Year	Team	GP	GS	Snaps	Snap-z	AV	AV/snap	PB	AP2
1998	MIN	7	0	—	—	1	—
1999	MIN	15	0	—	—	1	—
2000	MIN	16	16	—	—	12	—	✓
2001	MIN	16	16	—	—	10	—	✓
2002	MIN	16	16	—	—	9	—
2003	MIN	16	16	—	—	15	—	✓	·
2004	MIN	12	11	—	—	10	—	✓
2005	—	0	0	—	—	0	—
2006	MIN	16	16	—	—	7	—	✓
2007	MIN	16	16	—	—	8	—	✓
2008	MIN	16	16	—	—	7	—
2009	BAL	16	16	—	—	8	—
2010	BAL	16	16	—	—	8	—
2011	BAL	16	16	—	—	7	—
2012	BAL	16	16	—	—	7	—

How to read this

The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).
Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.
AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.
Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.