All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Mitch Berger across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 187
Games started 0
Weighted career AV 21
Pro Bowls 2
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 16
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 5
Team starts 0
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Terrible -4.99 contribution 68th of 68 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Mitch Berger became a 16-season, 187-game NFL player after going #193. The retained-value model still ranks him 68th of 68 for Harry Gamble because PHI only got 5 of those games.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -4.99 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Harry Gamble's leaderboard composite θ.
Full-career context prevents this from being labeled as a bad talent pick: the negative model score is about retained team value, not whether the draft identified an NFL-caliber player.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
5
on drafting team · 187 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 21
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Harry Gamble's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Harry Gamble pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Mitch Berger totals -4.99 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 9. Brown #9 · Jerome Brown · aggregate +5.43 Brown +5.4 104. Thomas #104 · William Thomas · aggregate +3.97 Thomas +4.0 13. Jackson #13 · Keith Jackson · aggregate +3.90 Jackson +3.9 93. Evans #93 · Byron Evans · aggregate +2.90 Evans +2.9 30. Allen #30 · Eric Allen · aggregate +2.85 Allen +2.9 133. Williams #133 · Calvin Williams · aggregate +2.73 Williams +2.7 156. Harmon #156 · Andy Harmon · aggregate +2.70 Harmon +2.7 77. Barnett #77 · Fred Barnett · aggregate +2.52 Barnett +2.5 121. Alexander #121 · David Alexander · aggregate +2.49 Alexander +2.5 162. Sherman #162 · Heath Sherman · aggregate +1.91 106. Darwin #106 · Matt Darwin · aggregate +1.65 37. Cunningham #37 · Randall Cunningham · aggregate +1.39 37. Toney #37 · Anthony Toney · aggregate +1.35 187. Joseph #187 · James Joseph · aggregate +1.19 156. Reeves #156 · Ken Reeves · aggregate +1.01 77. Panos #77 · Joe Panos · aggregate +0.45 121. Jiles #121 · Dwayne Jiles · aggregate +0.32 8. Davis #8 · Antone Davis · aggregate +0.31 49. Small #49 · Jessie Small · aggregate +0.21 122. Everett #122 · Eric Everett · aggregate +0.19 160. Sydner #160 · Jeff Sydner · aggregate +0.18 163. Oden #163 · Derrick Oden · aggregate +0.17 103. Zomalt #103 · Eric Zomalt · aggregate +0.08 149. McPherson #149 · Don McPherson · aggregate +0.06 65. Tamburello #65 · Ben Tamburello · aggregate +0.05 190. Mickey #190 · Joey Mickey · aggregate +0.03 121. Criswell #121 · Ray Criswell · aggregate -0.05 50. Bailey #50 · Victor Bailey · aggregate -0.09 206. Montgomery #206 · Mark Montgomery · aggregate -0.09 75. Jeter #75 · Tommy Jeter · aggregate -0.13 76. Drummond #76 · Robert Drummond · aggregate -0.15 129. Barlow #129 · Corey Barlow · aggregate -0.17 162. Thompson #162 · Kevin Thompson · aggregate -0.23 176. White #176 · Todd White · aggregate -0.25 75. Frazier #75 · Derrick Frazier · aggregate -0.25 144. Goodwin #144 · Marvin Goodwin · aggregate -0.26 160. Sterling #160 · Rob Sterling · aggregate -0.27 158. Pike #158 · Chris Pike · aggregate -0.29 176. Lee #176 · Byron Lee · aggregate -0.31 169. Redick #169 · Corn Redick · aggregate -0.33 174. McCoy #174 · Ryan McCoy · aggregate -0.34 187. Boatwright #187 · William Boatwright · aggregate -0.36 189. Strouf #189 · Terry Strouf · aggregate -0.38 149. Landsee #149 · Bob Landsee · aggregate -0.39 128. McMillen #128 · Dan McMillen · aggregate -0.41 177. Williams #177 · Brian Williams · aggregate -0.48 77. Reid #77 · Mike Reid · aggregate -0.50 92. Brooks #92 · Tony Brooks · aggregate -0.53 149. Moten #149 · Ron Moten · aggregate -0.54 81. Hager #81 · Britt Hager · aggregate -0.59 48. Johnson #48 · Alonzo Johnson · aggregate -0.68 131. Erickson #131 · Craig Erickson · aggregate -0.69 48. Stacy #48 · Siran Stacy · aggregate -0.82 22. Smith #22 · Ben Smith · aggregate -0.92 93. Naron #93 · Greg Naron · aggregate -0.93 24. Renfro #24 · Leonard Renfro · aggregate -0.93 50. Bellamy #50 · Mike Bellamy · aggregate -0.94 37. Walker #37 · Bruce Walker · aggregate -1.08 64. Patchan #64 · Matt Patchan · aggregate -1.09 19. Holmes #19 · Lester Holmes · aggregate -1.14 75. Selby #75 · Rob Selby · aggregate -1.16 14. Williams #14 · Bernard Williams · aggregate -1.18 102. Weldon #102 · Casey Weldon · aggregate -1.24 9. Allen #9 · Kevin Allen · aggregate -2.04 Allen -2.0 48. Campbell #48 · Jesse Campbell · aggregate -2.17 Campbell -2.2 42. Garner #42 · Charlie Garner · aggregate -2.26 Garner -2.3 10. Byars #10 · Keith Byars · aggregate -3.78 Byars -3.8 193. Berger #193 · Mitch Berger · aggregate -4.99 Berger -5.0 Incremental contribution by season -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 1985 · Dwayne Jiles · incremental +0.10 1985 · Ken Reeves · incremental +0.45 1985 · Randall Cunningham · incremental -0.51 1985 · Greg Naron · incremental -1.51 1985 · Kevin Allen · incremental -3.04 1986 · Randall Cunningham · incremental +0.05 1986 · Anthony Toney · incremental +0.19 1986 · Dwayne Jiles · incremental +0.20 1986 · Matt Darwin · incremental +0.52 1986 · Ken Reeves · incremental +0.54 1986 · Dan McMillen · incremental -0.12 1986 · Byron Lee · incremental -0.20 1986 · Ray Criswell · incremental -0.28 1986 · Bob Landsee · incremental -0.41 1986 · Corn Redick · incremental -0.58 1986 · Alonzo Johnson · incremental -1.02 1986 · Keith Byars · incremental -6.58 1987 · Byron Evans · incremental +0.08 1987 · Dwayne Jiles · incremental +0.09 1987 · Randall Cunningham · incremental +0.11 1987 · Ken Reeves · incremental +0.16 1987 · Jerome Brown · incremental +0.36 1987 · Anthony Toney · incremental +0.45 1987 · Matt Darwin · incremental +0.60 1987 · Keith Byars · incremental -0.05 1987 · Ben Tamburello · incremental -0.06 1987 · Alonzo Johnson · incremental -0.07 1987 · David Alexander · incremental -0.16 1987 · Bob Landsee · incremental -0.24 1987 · Byron Lee · incremental -0.33 1987 · Chris Pike · incremental -0.53 1987 · Dan McMillen · incremental -0.61 1987 · Brian Williams · incremental -0.81 1987 · Ron Moten · incremental -0.92 1988 · Don McPherson · incremental +0.04 1988 · Ben Tamburello · incremental +0.05 1988 · Eric Everett · incremental +0.11 1988 · Eric Allen · incremental +0.15 1988 · Dwayne Jiles · incremental +0.20 1988 · Ken Reeves · incremental +0.27 1988 · Byron Evans · incremental +0.41 1988 · Randall Cunningham · incremental +0.49 1988 · David Alexander · incremental +0.50 1988 · Anthony Toney · incremental +0.53 1988 · Jerome Brown · incremental +0.57 1988 · Matt Darwin · incremental +0.76 1988 · Keith Jackson · incremental +2.72 1988 · Keith Byars · incremental -0.11 1988 · Todd White · incremental -0.47 1988 · Rob Sterling · incremental -0.53 1988 · Matt Patchan · incremental -1.75 1989 · Dwayne Jiles · incremental +0.01 1989 · Ben Tamburello · incremental +0.05 1989 · Jessie Small · incremental +0.05 1989 · Eric Everett · incremental +0.15 1989 · Ken Reeves · incremental +0.28 1989 · Heath Sherman · incremental +0.37 1989 · Randall Cunningham · incremental +0.48 1989 · Anthony Toney · incremental +0.52 1989 · David Alexander · incremental +0.58 1989 · Jerome Brown · incremental +0.60 1989 · Matt Darwin · incremental +0.61 1989 · Byron Evans · incremental +0.77 1989 · Eric Allen · incremental +1.61 1989 · Keith Jackson · incremental +2.76 1989 · Keith Byars · incremental -0.11 1989 · Britt Hager · incremental -0.24 1989 · Robert Drummond · incremental -0.26 1990 · Britt Hager · incremental +0.01 1990 · Matt Darwin · incremental +0.10 1990 · Ben Tamburello · incremental +0.10 1990 · Eric Allen · incremental +0.15 1990 · Jessie Small · incremental +0.18 1990 · Fred Barnett · incremental +0.45 1990 · Anthony Toney · incremental +0.47 1990 · Randall Cunningham · incremental +0.53 1990 · David Alexander · incremental +0.62 1990 · Calvin Williams · incremental +0.68 1990 · Heath Sherman · incremental +0.71 1990 · Byron Evans · incremental +0.72 1990 · Keith Jackson · incremental +2.75 1990 · Jerome Brown · incremental +3.99 1990 · Robert Drummond · incremental -0.00 1990 · Keith Byars · incremental -0.11 1990 · Kevin Thompson · incremental -0.46 1990 · Terry Strouf · incremental -0.66 1990 · Ben Smith · incremental -0.80 1990 · Mike Bellamy · incremental -1.47 1991 · Britt Hager · incremental +0.06 1991 · Robert Drummond · incremental +0.09 1991 · Jessie Small · incremental +0.15 1991 · William Thomas · incremental +0.17 1991 · Andy Harmon · incremental +0.25 1991 · James Joseph · incremental +0.50 1991 · Heath Sherman · incremental +0.52 1991 · Calvin Williams · incremental +0.52 1991 · David Alexander · incremental +0.56 1991 · Fred Barnett · incremental +0.59 1991 · Byron Evans · incremental +0.70 1991 · Eric Allen · incremental +0.86 1991 · Jerome Brown · incremental +3.92 1991 · Randall Cunningham · incremental -0.00 1991 · Keith Byars · incremental -0.08 1991 · Keith Jackson · incremental -0.19 1991 · Antone Davis · incremental -0.20 1991 · Ben Smith · incremental -0.38 1991 · Rob Selby · incremental -0.40 1991 · Craig Erickson · incremental -1.11 1991 · Jesse Campbell · incremental -3.46 1992 · Britt Hager · incremental +0.05 1992 · Jeff Sydner · incremental +0.12 1992 · Randall Cunningham · incremental +0.16 1992 · Antone Davis · incremental +0.20 1992 · James Joseph · incremental +0.29 1992 · David Alexander · incremental +0.60 1992 · William Thomas · incremental +0.62 1992 · Byron Evans · incremental +0.74 1992 · Andy Harmon · incremental +0.77 1992 · Heath Sherman · incremental +0.77 1992 · Calvin Williams · incremental +0.80 1992 · Eric Allen · incremental +0.84 1992 · Fred Barnett · incremental +1.69 1992 · Keith Byars · incremental -0.08 1992 · Corey Barlow · incremental -0.14 1992 · Tommy Jeter · incremental -0.26 1992 · William Boatwright · incremental -0.64 1992 · Tony Brooks · incremental -0.86 1992 · Siran Stacy · incremental -1.24 1992 · Rob Selby · incremental -1.31 1992 · Casey Weldon · incremental -1.95 1993 · Derrick Oden · incremental +0.02 1993 · Randall Cunningham · incremental +0.03 1993 · Tommy Jeter · incremental +0.05 1993 · Jeff Sydner · incremental +0.05 1993 · Fred Barnett · incremental +0.13 1993 · Antone Davis · incremental +0.21 1993 · Byron Evans · incremental +0.49 1993 · James Joseph · incremental +0.58 1993 · David Alexander · incremental +0.58 1993 · Heath Sherman · incremental +0.59 1993 · William Thomas · incremental +0.64 1993 · Calvin Williams · incremental +0.74 1993 · Andy Harmon · incremental +0.81 1993 · Eric Allen · incremental +0.88 1993 · Rob Selby · incremental -0.01 1993 · Derrick Frazier · incremental -0.03 1993 · Victor Bailey · incremental -0.17 1993 · Joey Mickey · incremental -0.17 1993 · Corey Barlow · incremental -0.21 1993 · Ben Smith · incremental -0.23 1993 · Britt Hager · incremental -0.38 1993 · Lester Holmes · incremental -0.69 1993 · Mike Reid · incremental -0.74 1993 · Leonard Renfro · incremental -1.14 1994 · Joe Panos · incremental +0.01 1994 · Victor Bailey · incremental +0.03 1994 · Tommy Jeter · incremental +0.05 1994 · Eric Zomalt · incremental +0.07 1994 · Randall Cunningham · incremental +0.11 1994 · Derrick Oden · incremental +0.14 1994 · Antone Davis · incremental +0.20 1994 · Eric Allen · incremental +0.20 1994 · Jeff Sydner · incremental +0.21 1994 · Byron Evans · incremental +0.45 1994 · James Joseph · incremental +0.59 1994 · David Alexander · incremental +0.60 1994 · William Thomas · incremental +0.64 1994 · Fred Barnett · incremental +0.64 1994 · Calvin Williams · incremental +0.77 1994 · Andy Harmon · incremental +0.94 1994 · Rob Selby · incremental -0.02 1994 · Mike Reid · incremental -0.08 1994 · Derrick Frazier · incremental -0.12 1994 · Mark Montgomery · incremental -0.20 1994 · Leonard Renfro · incremental -0.27 1994 · Britt Hager · incremental -0.27 1994 · Marvin Goodwin · incremental -0.51 1994 · Lester Holmes · incremental -0.53 1994 · Ryan McCoy · incremental -0.60 1994 · Bruce Walker · incremental -1.74 1994 · Bernard Williams · incremental -1.81 1994 · Charlie Garner · incremental -1.96 1994 · Mitch Berger · incremental -7.78 1995 · Randall Cunningham · incremental +0.01 1995 · Eric Zomalt · incremental +0.08 1995 · Derrick Oden · incremental +0.15 1995 · Joe Panos · incremental +0.16 1995 · Antone Davis · incremental +0.19 1995 · Fred Barnett · incremental +0.49 1995 · Calvin Williams · incremental +0.80 1995 · Andy Harmon · incremental +1.04 1995 · William Thomas · incremental +1.60 1995 · Lester Holmes · incremental -0.07 1995 · Derrick Frazier · incremental -0.28 1995 · Charlie Garner · incremental -0.50 1996 · Calvin Williams · incremental +0.02 1996 · Andy Harmon · incremental +0.11 1996 · Joe Panos · incremental +0.29 1996 · William Thomas · incremental +0.71 1996 · Eric Zomalt · incremental -0.03 1996 · Charlie Garner · incremental -0.32 1996 · Lester Holmes · incremental -0.48 1997 · Andy Harmon · incremental +0.07 1997 · Joe Panos · incremental +0.23 1997 · William Thomas · incremental +0.58 1997 · Charlie Garner · incremental -0.49 1998 · William Thomas · incremental +0.61 1998 · Charlie Garner · incremental -0.36 1999 · William Thomas · incremental +0.52 Allen -3.0 Byars -6.6 Jackson +2.7 Patchan -1.8 Jackson +2.8 Jackson +2.7 Brown +4.0 Brown +3.9 Campbell -3.5 Weldon -1.9 Williams -1.8 Garner -2.0 Berger -7.8 1985 5 players 1986 12 players 1987 17 players 1988 17 players 1989 17 players 1990 20 players 1991 21 players 1992 21 players 1993 24 players 1994 29 players 1995 12 players 1996 7 players 1997 4 players 1998 2 players 1999 1 player
How much retained production did Mitch Berger return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: Ps drafted within ±5 picks of Mitch Berger since 2010 (3 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 192. Baringer Bryce Baringer · model value +0.7 191. Mann Braden Mann · model value +0.3 191. O'Donnell Pat O'Donnell · model value -0.3 193. Berger Mitch Berger · model value -2.2 -2.2 Mitch Berger
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '09 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count
Full-career season history (16 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.