All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Brian Allen across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 47
Games started 9
Weighted career AV 8
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 4
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received Team games 3
Team starts 0
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Bad -0.77 contribution 46th of 53 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Brian Allen was Charley Armey's 46th-best of 53 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.77 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Charley Armey's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
3
on drafting team · 47 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team · 9 full-career
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 8
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Charley Armey's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Charley Armey pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Brian Allen totals -0.77 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 24. Jackson #24 · Steven Jackson · aggregate +2.68 Jackson +2.7 66. Atogwe #66 · O.J. Atogwe · aggregate +2.03 Atogwe +2.0 42. Polley #42 · Tommy Polley · aggregate +1.23 43. Tinoisamoa #43 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · aggregate +1.18 19. Barron #19 · Alex Barron · aggregate +0.98 145. Butler #145 · Jerametrius Butler · aggregate +0.96 50. Bartell #50 · Ron Bartell · aggregate +0.92 20. Archuleta #20 · Adam Archuleta · aggregate +0.80 130. Chillar #130 · Brandon Chillar · aggregate +0.77 107. Groce #107 · DeJuan Groce · aggregate +0.72 64. Fisher #64 · Travis Fisher · aggregate +0.38 205. Bellisari #205 · Steve Bellisari · aggregate +0.30 243. Massey #243 · Chris Massey · aggregate +0.29 251. Hedgecock #251 · Madison Hedgecock · aggregate +0.29 201. Smoker #201 · Jeff Smoker · aggregate +0.27 172. Garrett #172 · Kevin Garrett · aggregate +0.21 139. Young #139 · Brian Young · aggregate +0.17 117. Carter #117 · Jerome Carter · aggregate +0.13 237. Jensen #237 · Erik Jensen · aggregate +0.12 134. Terrell #134 · Claude Terrell · aggregate +0.08 238. Turner #238 · Larry Turner · aggregate +0.06 84. Gordon #84 · Lamar Gordon · aggregate +0.02 167. Bullard #167 · Courtland Bullard · aggregate -0.04 254. Angulo #254 · Richard Angulo · aggregate -0.11 197. Paul #197 · Francis St. Paul · aggregate -0.11 106. McDonald #106 · Shaun McDonald · aggregate -0.13 170. Walton #170 · Shane Walton · aggregate -0.13 184. Tercero #184 · Scott Tercero · aggregate -0.13 144. Collins #144 · Jerome Collins · aggregate -0.15 192. Ridgeway #192 · Dante Ridgeway · aggregate -0.18 158. Shivers #158 · Jason Shivers · aggregate -0.24 220. Kline #220 · Andrew Kline · aggregate -0.25 129. Manumaleuna #129 · Brandon Manumaleuna · aggregate -0.28 148. Curley #148 · Dan Curley · aggregate -0.30 116. Wynn #116 · Milton Wynn · aggregate -0.43 62. Shepherd #62 · Jacoby Shepherd · aggregate -0.45 198. Bowen #198 · Matt Bowen · aggregate -0.51 74. Curtis #74 · Kevin Curtis · aggregate -0.53 31. Canidate #31 · Trung Canidate · aggregate -0.55 95. Crouch #95 · Eric Crouch · aggregate -0.57 130. Scott #130 · Travis Scott · aggregate -0.57 104. Noa #104 · Kaulana Noa · aggregate -0.69 31. Thomas #31 · Robert Thomas · aggregate -0.70 91. Hargrove #91 · Anthony Hargrove · aggregate -0.72 210. Hodges #210 · Reggie Hodges · aggregate -0.73 83. Allen #83 · Brian Allen · aggregate -0.77 Allen -0.8 12. Kennedy #12 · Jimmy Kennedy · aggregate -1.95 251. Shanle #251 · Scott Shanle · aggregate -2.10 Shanle -2.1 12. Lewis #12 · Damione Lewis · aggregate -2.18 Lewis -2.2 94. Clair #94 · John St. Clair · aggregate -2.38 Clair -2.4 29. Pickett #29 · Ryan Pickett · aggregate -3.25 Pickett -3.3 250. Fitzpatrick #250 · Ryan Fitzpatrick · aggregate -5.11 Fitzpatrick -5.1 81. Incognito #81 · Richie Incognito · aggregate -5.39 Incognito -5.4 Incremental contribution by season -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 2000 · Brian Young · incremental -0.05 2000 · Trung Canidate · incremental -0.09 2000 · Andrew Kline · incremental -0.45 2000 · John St. Clair · incremental -0.51 2000 · Jacoby Shepherd · incremental -0.66 2000 · Matt Bowen · incremental -0.80 2000 · Kaulana Noa · incremental -1.15 2001 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.02 2001 · Brian Young · incremental +0.13 2001 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.16 2001 · Tommy Polley · incremental +0.41 2001 · Matt Bowen · incremental -0.02 2001 · Jacoby Shepherd · incremental -0.04 2001 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental -0.17 2001 · Francis St. Paul · incremental -0.25 2001 · Trung Canidate · incremental -0.58 2001 · Milton Wynn · incremental -0.75 2001 · Damione Lewis · incremental -1.19 2001 · Brian Allen · incremental -1.25 2001 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -2.37 2002 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental +0.06 2002 · Brian Young · incremental +0.07 2002 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.13 2002 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.36 2002 · Steve Bellisari · incremental +0.42 2002 · Tommy Polley · incremental +0.43 2002 · Travis Fisher · incremental -0.02 2002 · Lamar Gordon · incremental -0.03 2002 · Courtland Bullard · incremental -0.08 2002 · Trung Canidate · incremental -0.15 2002 · Damione Lewis · incremental -0.35 2002 · Robert Thomas · incremental -0.54 2002 · Chris Massey · incremental -0.73 2002 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -0.77 2002 · Eric Crouch · incremental -0.95 2002 · Travis Scott · incremental -0.97 2002 · John St. Clair · incremental -2.43 2003 · Courtland Bullard · incremental +0.01 2003 · Lamar Gordon · incremental +0.02 2003 · Brian Young · incremental +0.11 2003 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.11 2003 · Kevin Garrett · incremental +0.12 2003 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.22 2003 · Travis Fisher · incremental +0.23 2003 · DeJuan Groce · incremental +0.24 2003 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.30 2003 · Tommy Polley · incremental +0.55 2003 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.56 2003 · Scott Tercero · incremental -0.02 2003 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental -0.09 2003 · Shaun McDonald · incremental -0.18 2003 · Kevin Curtis · incremental -0.25 2003 · Robert Thomas · incremental -0.26 2003 · Shane Walton · incremental -0.30 2003 · Richard Angulo · incremental -0.36 2003 · Damione Lewis · incremental -0.50 2003 · Dan Curley · incremental -0.54 2003 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -0.66 2003 · John St. Clair · incremental -0.76 2003 · Jimmy Kennedy · incremental -0.84 2003 · Scott Shanle · incremental -3.24 2004 · Larry Turner · incremental +0.05 2004 · Shaun McDonald · incremental +0.10 2004 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental +0.11 2004 · Travis Fisher · incremental +0.15 2004 · Kevin Garrett · incremental +0.16 2004 · Brandon Chillar · incremental +0.19 2004 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.22 2004 · DeJuan Groce · incremental +0.27 2004 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.33 2004 · Jeff Smoker · incremental +0.36 2004 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.42 2004 · Tommy Polley · incremental +0.47 2004 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.57 2004 · Erik Jensen · incremental -0.02 2004 · Kevin Curtis · incremental -0.03 2004 · Scott Tercero · incremental -0.25 2004 · Robert Thomas · incremental -0.26 2004 · Anthony Hargrove · incremental -0.33 2004 · Jimmy Kennedy · incremental -0.37 2004 · Jason Shivers · incremental -0.49 2004 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -0.70 2004 · Damione Lewis · incremental -0.75 2004 · Steven Jackson · incremental -0.97 2005 · Jerome Carter · incremental +0.04 2005 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.04 2005 · Larry Turner · incremental +0.07 2005 · Claude Terrell · incremental +0.07 2005 · Brandon Manumaleuna · incremental +0.08 2005 · Travis Fisher · incremental +0.11 2005 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.11 2005 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.22 2005 · Madison Hedgecock · incremental +0.24 2005 · Brandon Chillar · incremental +0.29 2005 · Adam Archuleta · incremental +0.30 2005 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.42 2005 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.42 2005 · DeJuan Groce · incremental +0.61 2005 · Ron Bartell · incremental -0.08 2005 · Shaun McDonald · incremental -0.21 2005 · Dante Ridgeway · incremental -0.36 2005 · Jerome Collins · incremental -0.45 2005 · Kevin Curtis · incremental -0.50 2005 · Damione Lewis · incremental -0.52 2005 · Anthony Hargrove · incremental -0.60 2005 · Jimmy Kennedy · incremental -0.68 2005 · Ryan Pickett · incremental -0.70 2005 · Reggie Hodges · incremental -1.28 2005 · Richie Incognito · incremental -2.83 2005 · Ryan Fitzpatrick · incremental -7.12 2006 · Larry Turner · incremental +0.01 2006 · Jerametrius Butler · incremental +0.10 2006 · Shaun McDonald · incremental +0.12 2006 · Travis Fisher · incremental +0.13 2006 · Jerome Carter · incremental +0.14 2006 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.18 2006 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.20 2006 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.29 2006 · Madison Hedgecock · incremental +0.39 2006 · Brandon Chillar · incremental +0.41 2006 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.42 2006 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.64 2006 · Steven Jackson · incremental +1.14 2006 · Kevin Curtis · incremental -0.11 2006 · Anthony Hargrove · incremental -0.12 2006 · Ryan Fitzpatrick · incremental -0.52 2006 · Jimmy Kennedy · incremental -1.03 2006 · Richie Incognito · incremental -2.39 2007 · Madison Hedgecock · incremental +0.01 2007 · Claude Terrell · incremental +0.02 2007 · Jerome Carter · incremental +0.03 2007 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.20 2007 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.25 2007 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.34 2007 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.35 2007 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.40 2007 · Brandon Chillar · incremental +0.43 2007 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.66 2007 · Richie Incognito · incremental -0.46 2008 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.20 2008 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.34 2008 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.38 2008 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.39 2008 · Pisa Tinoisamoa · incremental +0.42 2008 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.66 2008 · Richie Incognito · incremental -1.90 2009 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.09 2009 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.37 2009 · Alex Barron · incremental +0.38 2009 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.49 2009 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.91 2009 · Richie Incognito · incremental -1.00 2010 · Chris Massey · incremental +0.20 2010 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.35 2010 · O.J. Atogwe · incremental +0.67 2010 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.96 2011 · Ron Bartell · incremental +0.02 2011 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.36 2012 · Steven Jackson · incremental +0.40 Allen -1.3 Pickett -2.4 Clair -2.4 Shanle -3.2 Incognito -2.8 Fitzpatrick -7.1 Incognito -2.4 Incognito -1.9 2000 7 players 2001 13 players 2002 17 players 2003 24 players 2004 23 players 2005 26 players 2006 18 players 2007 11 players 2008 7 players 2009 6 players 2010 4 players 2011 2 players 2012 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Brian Allen GM total -17.0 Brian Allen by season -1.3
How much retained production did Brian Allen return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: LBs drafted within ±5 picks of Brian Allen since 2010 (12 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 +0.5 Model value above slot 85. Henley Daiyan Henley · model value +0.5 79. Butler Donald Butler · model value +0.4 87. Jennings Anfernee Jennings · model value +0.4 83. Dean Nakobe Dean · model value +0.3 84. Foster Mason Foster · model value +0.3 86. Simpson Trenton Simpson · model value 0 86. Spence Sean Spence · model value 0 80. Takitaki Sione Takitaki · model value -0.2 87. Liufau Marist Liufau · model value -0.3 83. Allen Brian Allen · model value -0.3 -0.3 84. Lewis Terrell Lewis · model value -0.3 78. Surratt Chazz Surratt · model value -0.6 88. Barton Cody Barton · model value -0.7 Brian Allen Slot-similar peers (12)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'02 '04 '05 0 2 5 7 9 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.