All NFL teams
Full-career context These totals follow Nate Jacquet across every NFL team. Draft credit is separated below for each team that selected him.
Games played 55
Games started 0
Weighted career AV 1
Pro Bowls 0
AP1 All-Pro 0
Career seasons 5
Accountability by draft event
What each drafting team received 1997 · Round 5 · #150
IND draft credit GM Bill Tobin
Team games 5
Team starts 0
On-team AV 0
On-team PB / AP1 0 / 0
Average -0.19 contribution 44th of 87 picks for this GM
Games: direct team-season record. Starts: direct team-season record.
Nate Jacquet was Bill Tobin's 44th-best of 87 picks across his career.
His retained-value contribution score (opportunity plus quality plus recognition, with related outcomes collapsed inside each bucket) is -0.19 . This is a per-pick accountability metric, separate from Bill Tobin's leaderboard composite θ.
The walkthrough below shows which bucket carried the pick: playing time, value quality, or league honors.
Opportunity
Did he earn the field?
Games played
5
on drafting team · 55 full-career
Games started
0
on drafting team
Snap-z
0.0
0 modeled seasons
Quality
Was that time valuable?
On-team AV
0
modeled; full weighted AV 1
AV / 1k snaps
—
snap-era only
AV-rate z
—
position-year adjusted quality
Recognition
Did the league notice?
Pro Bowls
0
all on drafting team
AP1 All-Pro
0 AP1
all on drafting team · AP2 context 0
Data release Published release
2026-08-01-v30-deep-maturity · published 2026-08-01 · drafts 1980–2025 · 190 people in 209 GM-team careers · Multivariate Bayesian drafted-player outcomes model (v30) · maturity-adjusted 95% credible intervals.
This status records the verified public release at the canonical Good GM URL. Methodology · Data & definitions · Public manifest
Did this pick move Bill Tobin's grade? The first chart removes the time axis: every Bill Tobin pick is sorted by retained contribution across opportunity, quality, and recognition. Nate Jacquet totals -0.19 . The second chart breaks that same contribution into the seasons when the evidence arrived. Opportunity and quality can move separately, which keeps high-snap, low-AV profiles from looking cleaner than they are.
Aggregate contribution by player -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 19. Harrison #19 · Marvin Harrison · aggregate +13.19 Harrison +13.2 19. Glenn #19 · Tarik Glenn · aggregate +6.16 Glenn +6.2 161. Stinson #161 · Lemuel Stinson · aggregate +2.11 Stinson +2.1 11. Woolford #11 · Donnell Woolford · aggregate +2.01 Woolford +2.0 48. Dilger #48 · Ken Dilger · aggregate +1.83 48. Meadows #48 · Adam Meadows · aggregate +1.69 97. Perry #97 · Todd Perry · aggregate +1.30 27. Davis #27 · Wendell Davis · aggregate +1.23 49. Zorich #49 · Chris Zorich · aggregate +1.22 35. Simpson #35 · Carl Simpson · aggregate +1.17 6. Carrier #6 · Mark Carrier · aggregate +1.15 95. Paul #95 · Markus Paul · aggregate +1.01 54. Morris #54 · Ron Morris · aggregate +0.81 36. Roper #36 · John Roper · aggregate +0.77 23. Muster #23 · Brad Muster · aggregate +0.68 130. Green #130 · Mark Green · aggregate +0.56 144. Mangum #144 · John Mangum · aggregate +0.54 105. Thornton #105 · James Thornton · aggregate +0.48 49. Auzenne #49 · Troy Auzenne · aggregate +0.48 161. Lewis #161 · Darren Lewis · aggregate +0.44 205. Cawley #205 · Mike Cawley · aggregate +0.33 173. Johnson #173 · Keshon Johnson · aggregate +0.33 61. Ryan #61 · Tim Ryan · aggregate +0.26 192. Snyder #192 · Brent Snyder · aggregate +0.22 100. Baker #100 · Myron Baker · aggregate +0.21 114. McElroy #114 · Ray McElroy · aggregate +0.09 232. Robinson #232 · Adrian Robinson · aggregate +0.04 63. Willis #63 · Peter Tom Willis · aggregate +0.03 51. Jones #51 · Dante Jones · aggregate +0.01 219. Thompson #219 · Clarence Thompson · aggregate +0.01 15. Johnson #15 · Ellis Johnson · aggregate -0.00 196. Teichelman #196 · Lance Teichelman · aggregate -0.03 134. Morgan #134 · Anthony Morgan · aggregate -0.05 107. Furrer #107 · Will Furrer · aggregate -0.05 112. Fontenot #112 · Albert Fontenot · aggregate -0.08 82. Slutzker #82 · Scott Slutzker · aggregate -0.11 182. Ahe #182 · Scott Von der Ahe · aggregate -0.12 192. Brown #192 · John Brown · aggregate -0.14 101. Smith #101 · Sean Smith · aggregate -0.15 33. Cox #33 · Ron Cox · aggregate -0.16 189. Brothers #189 · Richard Brothers · aggregate -0.16 51. Mathis #51 · Dedric Mathis · aggregate -0.17 134. Harrison #134 · Todd Harrison · aggregate -0.19 150. Jacquet #150 · Nate Jacquet · aggregate -0.19 Jacquet -0.2 223. Cox #223 · Jessie Cox · aggregate -0.19 154. Adickes #154 · John Adickes · aggregate -0.20 133. Johnson #133 · Troy Johnson · aggregate -0.21 161. Berry #161 · Mark Berry · aggregate -0.21 133. Covington #133 · John Covington · aggregate -0.26 32. Mahlum #32 · Eric Mahlum · aggregate -0.27 187. Gelzheiser #187 · Brian Gelzheiser · aggregate -0.29 191. Conlin #191 · Keith Conlin · aggregate -0.32 189. Rentie #189 · Caesar Rentie · aggregate -0.36 149. West #149 · Derek West · aggregate -0.40 138. Johnson #138 · Will Johnson · aggregate -0.41 115. Milne #115 · Brian Milne · aggregate -0.42 193. Harris #193 · Archie Harris · aggregate -0.43 176. Anderson #176 · Bill Anderson · aggregate -0.43 146. Hoffmann #146 · Dave Hoffmann · aggregate -0.45 120. Bryan #120 · Steve Bryan · aggregate -0.45 105. Johnson #105 · Joe Johnson · aggregate -0.47 117. Chaffey #117 · Pat Chaffey · aggregate -0.48 80. Lincoln #80 · Jeremy Lincoln · aggregate -0.49 164. Warren #164 · Lamont Warren · aggregate -0.54 136. Gilbert #136 · Greg Gilbert · aggregate -0.55 22. Spellman #22 · Alonzo Spellman · aggregate -0.63 88. Moss #88 · Tony Moss · aggregate -0.65 78. Jarvis #78 · Ralph Jarvis · aggregate -0.69 117. Montgomery #117 · Monty Montgomery · aggregate -0.76 32. Washington #32 · Fred Washington · aggregate -1.04 22. Thomas #22 · Stan Thomas · aggregate -1.08 54. Zawatson #54 · Dave Zawatson · aggregate -1.13 151. Martin #151 · Steve Martin · aggregate -1.13 61. Gedney #61 · Chris Gedney · aggregate -1.17 190. Justin #190 · Paul Justin · aggregate -1.28 156. Powell #156 · Carl Powell · aggregate -1.54 26. Harbaugh #26 · Jim Harbaugh · aggregate -1.70 106. Banta #106 · Bradford Banta · aggregate -1.75 67. Mathews #67 · Jason Mathews · aggregate -1.75 5. Alberts #5 · Trev Alberts · aggregate -1.84 7. Conway #7 · Curtis Conway · aggregate -2.42 Conway -2.4 65. Fontenot #65 · Jerry Fontenot · aggregate -2.71 Fontenot -2.7 2. Faulk #2 · Marshall Faulk · aggregate -2.97 Faulk -3.0 86. Berry #86 · Bertrand Berry · aggregate -3.25 Berry -3.3 79. Crockett #79 · Zack Crockett · aggregate -3.77 Crockett -3.8 12. Armstrong #12 · Trace Armstrong · aggregate -4.29 Armstrong -4.3 78. Gardocki #78 · Chris Gardocki · aggregate -5.61 Gardocki -5.6 Incremental contribution by season -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 1987 · Ron Morris · incremental +0.22 1987 · Sean Smith · incremental -0.09 1987 · John Adickes · incremental -0.33 1987 · Will Johnson · incremental -0.68 1987 · Archie Harris · incremental -0.74 1987 · Steve Bryan · incremental -0.79 1987 · Jim Harbaugh · incremental -1.82 1988 · John Adickes · incremental +0.01 1988 · Wendell Davis · incremental +0.05 1988 · James Thornton · incremental +0.11 1988 · Ron Morris · incremental +0.25 1988 · Lemuel Stinson · incremental +0.36 1988 · Jim Harbaugh · incremental -0.08 1988 · Dante Jones · incremental -0.19 1988 · Sean Smith · incremental -0.20 1988 · Brad Muster · incremental -0.22 1988 · Troy Johnson · incremental -0.32 1988 · Caesar Rentie · incremental -0.60 1988 · Ralph Jarvis · incremental -1.18 1989 · Dante Jones · incremental +0.06 1989 · Mark Green · incremental +0.14 1989 · John Roper · incremental +0.26 1989 · Brent Snyder · incremental +0.30 1989 · James Thornton · incremental +0.30 1989 · Wendell Davis · incremental +0.31 1989 · Brad Muster · incremental +0.32 1989 · Markus Paul · incremental +0.32 1989 · Ron Morris · incremental +0.34 1989 · Lemuel Stinson · incremental +0.45 1989 · Troy Johnson · incremental -0.00 1989 · Donnell Woolford · incremental -0.10 1989 · Jim Harbaugh · incremental -0.13 1989 · Richard Brothers · incremental -0.35 1989 · Greg Gilbert · incremental -0.93 1989 · Dave Zawatson · incremental -1.79 1989 · Jerry Fontenot · incremental -3.13 1989 · Trace Armstrong · incremental -4.97 1990 · Peter Tom Willis · incremental +0.00 1990 · Dante Jones · incremental +0.02 1990 · John Roper · incremental +0.15 1990 · Tim Ryan · incremental +0.16 1990 · Mark Green · incremental +0.21 1990 · James Thornton · incremental +0.30 1990 · Markus Paul · incremental +0.32 1990 · Brad Muster · incremental +0.35 1990 · Donnell Woolford · incremental +0.35 1990 · Ron Morris · incremental +0.41 1990 · Wendell Davis · incremental +0.41 1990 · Lemuel Stinson · incremental +0.66 1990 · John Mangum · incremental -0.02 1990 · Jerry Fontenot · incremental -0.06 1990 · Jim Harbaugh · incremental -0.24 1990 · Mark Carrier · incremental -0.26 1990 · Ron Cox · incremental -0.27 1990 · Trace Armstrong · incremental -0.54 1990 · Bill Anderson · incremental -0.73 1990 · Pat Chaffey · incremental -0.81 1990 · Tony Moss · incremental -1.07 1990 · Fred Washington · incremental -1.64 1991 · Peter Tom Willis · incremental +0.03 1991 · Tim Ryan · incremental +0.04 1991 · Ron Cox · incremental +0.04 1991 · Chris Zorich · incremental +0.04 1991 · Ron Morris · incremental +0.06 1991 · Dante Jones · incremental +0.12 1991 · Darren Lewis · incremental +0.15 1991 · John Mangum · incremental +0.19 1991 · Brad Muster · incremental +0.24 1991 · James Thornton · incremental +0.26 1991 · Mark Green · incremental +0.34 1991 · Donnell Woolford · incremental +0.41 1991 · Markus Paul · incremental +0.43 1991 · John Roper · incremental +0.45 1991 · Wendell Davis · incremental +0.55 1991 · Mark Carrier · incremental +0.85 1991 · Lemuel Stinson · incremental +1.05 1991 · Anthony Morgan · incremental -0.05 1991 · Jerry Fontenot · incremental -0.12 1991 · Jim Harbaugh · incremental -0.29 1991 · Trace Armstrong · incremental -0.36 1991 · Joe Johnson · incremental -0.85 1991 · Stan Thomas · incremental -1.40 1991 · Paul Justin · incremental -1.99 1991 · Chris Gardocki · incremental -4.98 1992 · Peter Tom Willis · incremental +0.01 1992 · Ron Morris · incremental +0.04 1992 · John Mangum · incremental +0.06 1992 · Ron Cox · incremental +0.09 1992 · Dante Jones · incremental +0.10 1992 · Mark Carrier · incremental +0.16 1992 · Tim Ryan · incremental +0.16 1992 · Chris Zorich · incremental +0.22 1992 · Mark Green · incremental +0.27 1992 · Troy Auzenne · incremental +0.30 1992 · Brad Muster · incremental +0.34 1992 · John Roper · incremental +0.39 1992 · Markus Paul · incremental +0.41 1992 · Donnell Woolford · incremental +0.43 1992 · Wendell Davis · incremental +0.48 1992 · Darren Lewis · incremental +0.50 1992 · Lemuel Stinson · incremental +0.75 1992 · Anthony Morgan · incremental -0.06 1992 · Will Furrer · incremental -0.10 1992 · Stan Thomas · incremental -0.23 1992 · Jerry Fontenot · incremental -0.23 1992 · Jeremy Lincoln · incremental -0.24 1992 · Jim Harbaugh · incremental -0.24 1992 · John Brown · incremental -0.29 1992 · Trace Armstrong · incremental -0.42 1992 · Mark Berry · incremental -0.43 1992 · Todd Harrison · incremental -0.52 1992 · Alonzo Spellman · incremental -0.64 1992 · Chris Gardocki · incremental -1.93 1993 · Anthony Morgan · incremental +0.00 1993 · Peter Tom Willis · incremental +0.01 1993 · Alonzo Spellman · incremental +0.02 1993 · Darren Lewis · incremental +0.05 1993 · Carl Simpson · incremental +0.07 1993 · Ron Cox · incremental +0.10 1993 · Wendell Davis · incremental +0.12 1993 · Tim Ryan · incremental +0.14 1993 · John Mangum · incremental +0.14 1993 · Markus Paul · incremental +0.16 1993 · Myron Baker · incremental +0.17 1993 · Troy Auzenne · incremental +0.22 1993 · Keshon Johnson · incremental +0.22 1993 · Chris Zorich · incremental +0.53 1993 · Mark Carrier · incremental +0.85 1993 · Donnell Woolford · incremental +1.07 1993 · Dante Jones · incremental -0.05 1993 · Albert Fontenot · incremental -0.08 1993 · Jeremy Lincoln · incremental -0.17 1993 · Jerry Fontenot · incremental -0.19 1993 · Jim Harbaugh · incremental -0.24 1993 · Todd Perry · incremental -0.31 1993 · Trace Armstrong · incremental -0.54 1993 · Chris Gedney · incremental -0.68 1993 · Dave Hoffmann · incremental -0.78 1993 · Chris Gardocki · incremental -1.03 1993 · Curtis Conway · incremental -3.42 1994 · Albert Fontenot · incremental +0.00 1994 · Myron Baker · incremental +0.01 1994 · Ron Cox · incremental +0.07 1994 · Keshon Johnson · incremental +0.08 1994 · Troy Auzenne · incremental +0.15 1994 · Mark Carrier · incremental +0.18 1994 · John Mangum · incremental +0.18 1994 · Todd Perry · incremental +0.21 1994 · Carl Simpson · incremental +0.37 1994 · Donnell Woolford · incremental +0.44 1994 · Chris Zorich · incremental +0.55 1994 · Dante Jones · incremental -0.00 1994 · Eric Mahlum · incremental -0.09 1994 · Alonzo Spellman · incremental -0.11 1994 · Curtis Conway · incremental -0.13 1994 · Lamont Warren · incremental -0.14 1994 · Lance Teichelman · incremental -0.16 1994 · Jeremy Lincoln · incremental -0.18 1994 · Trev Alberts · incremental -0.23 1994 · Jerry Fontenot · incremental -0.23 1994 · Trace Armstrong · incremental -0.50 1994 · John Covington · incremental -0.51 1994 · Chris Gedney · incremental -0.74 1994 · Jason Mathews · incremental -0.80 1994 · Chris Gardocki · incremental -1.03 1994 · Bradford Banta · incremental -1.44 1994 · Marshall Faulk · incremental -3.04 1995 · Albert Fontenot · incremental +0.01 1995 · Ray McElroy · incremental +0.08 1995 · Troy Auzenne · incremental +0.11 1995 · John Mangum · incremental +0.13 1995 · Mark Carrier · incremental +0.17 1995 · Myron Baker · incremental +0.19 1995 · Ken Dilger · incremental +0.20 1995 · Keshon Johnson · incremental +0.23 1995 · Donnell Woolford · incremental +0.24 1995 · Carl Simpson · incremental +0.36 1995 · Todd Perry · incremental +0.42 1995 · Chris Zorich · incremental +0.48 1995 · Ron Cox · incremental -0.04 1995 · Alonzo Spellman · incremental -0.10 1995 · Lamont Warren · incremental -0.13 1995 · Eric Mahlum · incremental -0.14 1995 · Jeremy Lincoln · incremental -0.18 1995 · Curtis Conway · incremental -0.22 1995 · Jerry Fontenot · incremental -0.28 1995 · Jessie Cox · incremental -0.36 1995 · Chris Gedney · incremental -0.49 1995 · Brian Gelzheiser · incremental -0.54 1995 · Derek West · incremental -0.56 1995 · Ellis Johnson · incremental -0.68 1995 · Jason Mathews · incremental -0.88 1995 · Trev Alberts · incremental -1.16 1995 · Bradford Banta · incremental -1.21 1995 · Zack Crockett · incremental -2.00 1995 · Marshall Faulk · incremental -2.31 1996 · Scott Slutzker · incremental +0.00 1996 · Bradford Banta · incremental +0.06 1996 · Ellis Johnson · incremental +0.09 1996 · Mark Carrier · incremental +0.15 1996 · John Mangum · incremental +0.19 1996 · Todd Perry · incremental +0.41 1996 · Donnell Woolford · incremental +0.41 1996 · Ken Dilger · incremental +0.41 1996 · Mike Cawley · incremental +0.47 1996 · Carl Simpson · incremental +0.54 1996 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +0.63 1996 · Ray McElroy · incremental -0.01 1996 · Albert Fontenot · incremental -0.03 1996 · Derek West · incremental -0.06 1996 · Adrian Robinson · incremental -0.06 1996 · Alonzo Spellman · incremental -0.10 1996 · Dedric Mathis · incremental -0.17 1996 · Marshall Faulk · incremental -0.18 1996 · Eric Mahlum · incremental -0.18 1996 · Curtis Conway · incremental -0.20 1996 · Jerry Fontenot · incremental -0.21 1996 · Lamont Warren · incremental -0.30 1996 · Keith Conlin · incremental -0.57 1996 · Brian Milne · incremental -0.73 1996 · Jason Mathews · incremental -0.86 1996 · Trev Alberts · incremental -1.22 1996 · Zack Crockett · incremental -1.24 1996 · Steve Martin · incremental -1.34 1997 · Ray McElroy · incremental +0.03 1997 · Chris Zorich · incremental +0.03 1997 · Bradford Banta · incremental +0.06 1997 · John Mangum · incremental +0.12 1997 · Ellis Johnson · incremental +0.15 1997 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +0.25 1997 · Todd Perry · incremental +0.27 1997 · Ken Dilger · incremental +0.34 1997 · Carl Simpson · incremental +0.52 1997 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +0.63 1997 · Lamont Warren · incremental -0.01 1997 · Alonzo Spellman · incremental -0.02 1997 · Ron Cox · incremental -0.04 1997 · Derek West · incremental -0.06 1997 · Curtis Conway · incremental -0.08 1997 · Dedric Mathis · incremental -0.10 1997 · Clarence Thompson · incremental -0.10 1997 · Adam Meadows · incremental -0.14 1997 · Jason Mathews · incremental -0.19 1997 · Marshall Faulk · incremental -0.22 1997 · Scott Von der Ahe · incremental -0.23 1997 · Scott Slutzker · incremental -0.23 1997 · Steve Martin · incremental -0.33 1997 · Nate Jacquet · incremental -0.35 1997 · Monty Montgomery · incremental -0.52 1997 · Bertrand Berry · incremental -1.35 1997 · Carl Powell · incremental -2.41 1997 · Zack Crockett · incremental -2.44 1998 · John Mangum · incremental +0.04 1998 · Bradford Banta · incremental +0.07 1998 · Ray McElroy · incremental +0.15 1998 · Ellis Johnson · incremental +0.17 1998 · Ken Dilger · incremental +0.39 1998 · Adam Meadows · incremental +0.39 1998 · Todd Perry · incremental +0.41 1998 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +0.51 1998 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +0.66 1998 · Steve Martin · incremental -0.06 1998 · Curtis Conway · incremental -0.14 1998 · Zack Crockett · incremental -0.15 1998 · Lamont Warren · incremental -0.16 1998 · Marshall Faulk · incremental -0.21 1998 · Monty Montgomery · incremental -0.61 1998 · Bertrand Berry · incremental -2.83 1999 · Bradford Banta · incremental +0.07 1999 · Ellis Johnson · incremental +0.16 1999 · Todd Perry · incremental +0.40 1999 · Ken Dilger · incremental +0.40 1999 · Adam Meadows · incremental +0.48 1999 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +0.71 1999 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +3.62 1999 · Monty Montgomery · incremental -0.02 1999 · Curtis Conway · incremental -0.08 1999 · Bertrand Berry · incremental -0.75 2000 · Ellis Johnson · incremental +0.13 2000 · Todd Perry · incremental +0.38 2000 · Ken Dilger · incremental +0.42 2000 · Adam Meadows · incremental +0.52 2000 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +0.77 2000 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +1.72 2001 · Ellis Johnson · incremental +0.18 2001 · Adam Meadows · incremental +0.45 2001 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +0.71 2001 · Ken Dilger · incremental +1.12 2001 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +1.72 2002 · Adam Meadows · incremental +0.39 2002 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +0.66 2002 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +3.51 2003 · Adam Meadows · incremental +0.22 2003 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +0.46 2003 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +1.69 2004 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +1.69 2004 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +1.75 2005 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +1.69 2005 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +1.70 2006 · Tarik Glenn · incremental +1.70 2006 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +3.53 2007 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +0.22 2008 · Marvin Harrison · incremental +0.59 Fontenot -3.1 Armstrong -5.0 Gardocki -5.0 Conway -3.4 Faulk -3.0 Faulk -2.3 Jacquet -0.3 Powell -2.4 Crockett -2.4 Berry -2.8 Harrison +3.6 Harrison +3.5 Harrison +3.5 1987 7 players 1988 12 players 1989 18 players 1990 22 players 1991 25 players 1992 29 players 1993 27 players 1994 27 players 1995 29 players 1996 28 players 1997 28 players 1998 16 players 1999 10 players 2000 6 players 2001 5 players 2002 3 players 2003 3 players 2004 2 players 2005 2 players 2006 2 players 2007 1 player 2008 1 player Above expectation Below expectation Nate Jacquet GM total -12.2 Nate Jacquet by season -0.3
How much retained production did Nate Jacquet return vs. his slot? Each mark below is one player's model value above slot. Light gray marks are slot-similar peers: WRs drafted within ±5 picks of Nate Jacquet since 2010 (12 players).The score is the retained production/value bucket from the pick-residual model: on-team AV plus AV-rate quality, adjusted for draft slot, position, and era. Opportunity snaps and league honors are excluded.
-0.5 0 +0.5 +1 Model value above slot 148. Shakir Khalil Shakir · model value +1.4 146. Diggs Stefon Diggs · model value +1.2 148. Moore Denarius Moore · model value +0.5 149. Renfrow Hunter Renfrow · model value +0.5 152. Smith Ainias Smith · model value +0.1 150. Jacquet Nate Jacquet · model value 0 0 153. Kerley Jeremy Kerley · model value -0.1 150. Shorter Justin Shorter · model value -0.1 152. Coale Danny Coale · model value -0.1 154. Payton Jordan Payton · model value -0.2 151. Reed Joe Reed · model value -0.3 146. Street Devin Street · model value -0.3 155. Paul Niles Paul · model value -0.6 Nate Jacquet Slot-similar peers (12)
Cumulative value over time Year-by-year running totals since draft. Left axis = games started. Right axis = honors (Pro Bowl / AP1 / AP2). Pre-2013 picks have no games-started line because that comes from per-game snap counts (not available for older players). Honors extend back to 1980.
'98 '00 '01 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 Cumulative GS Honors count Games started (cumulative) Pro Bowls AP1 All-Pro AP2 All-Pro
Full-career season history (5 scored seasons) How to read this The current model groups outcomes into three buckets: opportunity (games, starts, snap-z), quality (on-team AV, AV/snap quality when available), and recognition (Pro Bowl, AP1).Season rows show full-career context across every team. The draft-credit cards above contain the team-specific totals used for GM accountability. Snap-z is position/year-normalized playing time; AV/snap is shown as AV per 1,000 snaps where snap evidence exists.AP2, full-career AV, HOF, and All-Decade are displayed as context only. They are not active outcomes in the current θ model.Pre-2013 playing-time rows may show "—" where weekly snap evidence is unavailable; AV/snap quality is snap-era only.