WR · pick 77 — first ever wide receiver at #77 (1978)

WR·pick 77

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #77

Carlos Pennywell

Drafted by NE · Grambling State

1978

WRs drafted at #77 in NFL history

most recent: Josh Palmer (LAC, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a wide receiver at #77 a 11.4% chance in 1978.

Wide receiver at #77, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.4% · 2027 model: 12.8%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#72DTTed VincentCIN
#73QBGifford NielsenTEN
#74DTBrad ShearerCHI
#75LBWhip WaltonMIN
#76STCraig ColquittPIT
#78STFrank CorralLAR
#79OGErnie HughesSF
#80CLeon WhiteLAR
#81WRJimmy CefaloMIA
#82OTLindsey MasonLV

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2021Josh PalmerLAC — GM Tom Telesco · Tennessee
2010Damian WilliamsTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt · USC
2004Derrick HamiltonSF — GM Terry Donahue · Clemson
2001Snoop MinnisKC — GM Carl Peterson · Florida St.
1991Tim BarnettKC — GM Carl Peterson · Jackson St.
1990Fred BarnettPHI — GM Harry Gamble · Arkansas St.

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