WR · pick 254 — first ever wide receiver at #254 (2002)

WR·pick 254

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #254

Aaron Lockett

Drafted by TB — GM Rich McKay · Kansas St.

2002

WRs drafted at #254 in NFL history

most recent: Deion Burks (IND, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a wide receiver at #254 a 11.4% chance in 2002.

Wide receiver at #254, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.5% · 2027 model: 10.7%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#249WRRodney WrightBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#250TETracey WistromTB — GM Rich McKay
#251RBJarrett FergusonBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#252TEMatt MurphyDET — GM Matt Millen
#253WRDavid GivensNE — GM Bill Belichick
#255CZack QuacciaTB — GM Rich McKay
#256CBTeddy GainesSF — GM Terry Donahue
#257RBRock CartwrightWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#258CBBrad FranklinCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#259OTVictor RogersDET — GM Matt Millen

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2026Deion BurksIND · Oklahoma
2007Jonathan HollandLV — GM Al Davis era · Louisiana Tech

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