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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 244

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #244

Derek Abney

Drafted by BAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Kentucky

2004

5
WRs drafted at #244 in NFL history
most recent: Dominic Lovett (DET, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a wide receiver at #244 a 12.7% chance in 2004.

Wide receiver at #244, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.6% 2004: 12.7%

Peak: 19.6% · 2027 model: 10.9%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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