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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 220

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #220

Neal Sterling

Drafted by JAX — GM David Caldwell · Monmouth

2015

2
WRs drafted at #220 in NFL history
most recent: K.J. Hill (LAC, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2014, the model gave a wide receiver at #220 a 11.8% chance in 2015.

Wide receiver at #220, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.2% 2015: 11.8%

Peak: 18.2% · 2027 model: 11.4%

Surrounding picks · 2015 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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