WR · pick 215 — first ever wide receiver at #215 (1998)

WR·pick 215

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #215

Ryan Thelwell

Drafted by SF — GM Carmen Policy · Minnesota

1998

WRs drafted at #215 in NFL history

most recent: Justin Harper (BAL, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a wide receiver at #215 a 10.9% chance in 1998.

Wide receiver at #215, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.9% · 2027 model: 11.5%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

#210OGJim BundrenMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#211OGJason AndersenNE — GM Bobby Grier
#212DEChance McCartyTB — GM Rich McKay
#213CBen FrickeNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#214LBBrandon TolbertJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#216CBEric WarfieldKC — GM Carl Peterson
#217OTChad OverhauserCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#218RBEddie WatsonGB — GM Ron Wolf
#219LBNate WayneDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#220DTChris AkinsPHI — GM Tom Modrak

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2008Justin HarperBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Virginia Tech

→ see this cell on the full chart