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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 209

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #209

Ethan Kilmer

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Penn St.

2006

5
WRs drafted at #209 in NFL history
most recent: Jalen Camp (JAX, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a wide receiver at #209 a 12.0% chance in 2006.

Wide receiver at #209, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.7% 2006: 12.0%

Peak: 17.7% · 2027 model: 11.6%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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