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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 205

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #205

Pierre Garcon

Drafted by IND — GM Bill Polian · Mount Union

2008

3
WRs drafted at #205 in NFL history
most recent: Xavier Hutchinson (HOU, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a wide receiver at #205 a 11.8% chance in 2008.

Wide receiver at #205, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.5% 2008: 11.8%

Peak: 17.5% · 2027 model: 11.6%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart