WR · pick 201 — first ever wide receiver at #201 (1999)

WR·pick 201

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #201

Troy Smith

Drafted by PHI — GM Tom Modrak · East Carolina

1999

WRs drafted at #201 in NFL history

most recent: James Proche (BAL, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a wide receiver at #201 a 10.9% chance in 1999.

Wide receiver at #201, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.3% · 2027 model: 11.7%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

#195RBLamarr GlennTB — GM Rich McKay
#196WRDee MillerGB — GM Ron Wolf
#197OGJ.P. MachadoNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#198LBJeff KellyATL — GM Harold Richardson
#199LBAntico DaltonMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#202LBMelvin BradleyARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#203OTScott CurryGB — GM Ron Wolf
#204WRChad PlummerDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#205CBAndre WeathersNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#206RBDennis McKinleyARI — GM Bob Ferguson

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2020James ProcheBAL — GM Eric DeCosta · SMU
2015Bud SasserLAR — GM Les Snead · Missouri

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