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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 199

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #199

Phillip Riley

Drafted by PHI — GM Tom Modrak · Florida St.

1996

6
WRs drafted at #199 in NFL history
most recent: Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (SEA, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a wide receiver at #199 a 10.7% chance in 1996.

Wide receiver at #199, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.3% 1996: 10.7%

Peak: 17.3% · 2027 model: 11.7%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

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