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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 195

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #195

Mark Smith

Drafted by WAS — GM Bobby Beathard · North Carolina

1984

9
WRs drafted at #195 in NFL history
most recent: Malik Benson (LV, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a wide receiver at #195 a 10.4% chance in 1984.

Wide receiver at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.1% 1984: 10.4%

Peak: 17.1% · 2027 model: 11.8%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart