WR · pick 193 — first ever wide receiver at #193 (1976)

WR·pick 193

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #193

Karl Farmer

Drafted by ATL · Pittsburgh

1976

WRs drafted at #193 in NFL history

most recent: Jaymar Johnson (MIN, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a wide receiver at #193 a 11.9% chance in 1976.

Wide receiver at #193, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.0% · 2027 model: 11.8%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#187QBBob BatemanCIN
#188DEAbdul SalaamNYJ
#189DTCassidy, SteveSteve CassidyCLE
#190LBJerry MuckensturmCHI
#191DECarl HairstonPHI
#194SChesley, JayJay ChesleySF
#195SWilliams, JackieJackie WilliamsBUF
#196RBWellington, RodRod WellingtonKC

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2008Jaymar JohnsonMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Jackson St.
1999MarTay JenkinsDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Nebraska-Omaha
1998Phil SavoyARI — GM Bob Ferguson · Colorado
1992Jon BostickDEN — GM John Beake · Nebraska
1980Nate JohnsonPIT — GM Dick Haley · Hillsdale
1979Ron CassidyGB · Utah State

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