WR · pick 170 — first ever wide receiver at #170 (1981)

WR·pick 170

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #170

Ron Johnson

Drafted by SEA — GM John Thompson · Long Beach St.

1981

WRs drafted at #170 in NFL history

most recent: Bub Means (NO, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a wide receiver at #170 a 11.3% chance in 1981.

Wide receiver at #170, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.2% · 2027 model: 12.0%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#165RBEdward O'NealNYG — GM George Young
#166LBGlen ReddNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#167WRKevin WilliamsNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#168RBLouis JacksonNYG — GM George Young
#169DEKenny NeilNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#171CBKevin DonnalleyARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#172SBill WhitakerGB — GM Bart Starr
#173CBRon FellowsDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#174STAlan DuncanPHI — GM Jim Murray
#175TERon BattleLAR — GM Don Klosterman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 11 picks

2024Bub MeansNO — GM Mickey Loomis · Pittsburgh
2017Rodney AdamsMIN — GM Rick Spielman · South Florida
2002Sam SimmonsMIA — GM Rick Spielman · Northwestern
2000Frank MurphyCHI — GM Mark Hatley · Kansas St.
1998Patrick PalmerWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Northwestern St. (LA)
1997Brian ManningMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson · Stanford
1994Lloyd HillCHI — GM Rod Graves · Texas Tech
1987Mark BelliniIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff · BYU
1986Eric SwansonARI — GM Bill Bidwill · Tennessee
1985Mike AkiuTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Hawaii
1983Herkie WallsTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Texas

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