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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 164

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #164

Ed Carrington

Drafted by TEN · Virginia

1967 · earliest year in the data window

6
WRs drafted at #164 in NFL history
most recent: P.K. Sam (NE, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Wide receiver at #164, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.0%

Peak: 16.0% · 2027 model: 12.1%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart