WR · pick 161 — first ever wide receiver at #161 (1971)

WR·pick 161

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #161

Harold Carmichael

Drafted by PHI · Southern

1971

WRs drafted at #161 in NFL history

most recent: Tyler Johnson (TB, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a wide receiver at #161 a 12.5% chance in 1971.

Wide receiver at #161, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.0% · 2027 model: 12.1%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

#156DTKen FrithIND
#157SDon MartinLV
#158OGLarry DiNardoNO
#159LBPhil CroyleTEN
#160WRBob ChandlerBUF
#162DTScott PalmerNYJ
#163WRWesley ChessonATL
#164OTMcClure, WorthyWorthy McClurePIT
#165LBDoug AdamsDEN
#166SWillie GermanyWAS

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2020Tyler JohnsonTB — GM Jason Licht · Minnesota
2013Tavarres KingDEN — GM John Elway · Georgia
1990Tim StallworthLAR — GM John Shaw · Washington St.
1987Tracy MartinNYJ — GM Jim Kensil · North Dakota
1986Mark JacksonDEN — GM John Beake · Purdue
1985Mike YoungLAR — GM John Shaw · UCLA
1984Eric MullinsTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Stanford
1981Robert HoltBUF — GM Stew Barber · Baylor

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