WR · pick 16 — first ever wide receiver at #16 (1967)

WR·pick 16

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #16

Dave Williams

Drafted by ARI · Washington

1967 · earliest year in the data window

WRs drafted at #16 in NFL history

most recent: Jahan Dotson (WAS, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Wide receiver at #16, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.0% · 2027 model: 12.5%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#11OTCas BanaszekSF
#12OGPaul SeilerNYJ
#13RBRay McDonaldWAS
#14DTRon BillingsleyLAC
#15DTAlan PageMIN
#17OGGene UpshawLV
#18LBBob MathesonCLE
#19RBHarry JonesPHI
#20RBJim DetwilerIND
#21CBJohn CharlesNE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 11 picks

2022Jahan DotsonWAS — GM Ron Rivera · Penn St.
2001Santana MossNYJ — GM Terry Bradway · Miami (FL)
1998Kevin DysonTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Utah
1997Reidel AnthonyTB — GM Rich McKay · Florida
1993Sean DawkinsIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff · California
1989Hart Lee DykesNE — GM Patrick Sullivan · Oklahoma St.
1985Jerry RiceSF — GM John McVay · Miss. Valley St.
1981Mark NicholsDET — GM Russ Thomas · San Jose St.
1973Steve HoldenCLE · Arizona State
1971Elmo WrightKC · Houston
1969Gene WashingtonSF · Stanford

→ see this cell on the full chart