Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 157

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #157

Sims Stokes

Drafted by DAL · Northern Arizona

1967 · earliest year in the data window

5
WRs drafted at #157 in NFL history
most recent: Ihmir Smith-Marsette (MIN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Wide receiver at #157, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.8%

Peak: 15.8% · 2027 model: 12.2%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart