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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 150

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #150

Nate Jacquet

Drafted by IND — GM Bill Tobin · San Diego St.

1997

3
WRs drafted at #150 in NFL history
most recent: Justin Shorter (BUF, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a wide receiver at #150 a 11.0% chance in 1997.

Wide receiver at #150, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.7% 1997: 11.0%

Peak: 15.7% · 2027 model: 12.2%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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