Cardinals, 2024. The latest in a run of WR-at-13 picks (Ja'Marr Chase 2021 was higher, Garrett Wilson 2022 lower, Jameson Williams 2022 right here). The WR column got dramatically darker in the 2020s, and 13 is the cell where you can see it.
How rare was this draftigami?
Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a wide receiver at #13 a 9.0% chance in 1982.
Wide receiver at #13, year by year
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.