WR · pick 12 — first ever wide receiver at #12 (1991)

WR·pick 12

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #12

Alvin Harper

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Tennessee

1991

WRs drafted at #12 in NFL history

most recent: Jameson Williams (DET, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a wide receiver at #12 a 8.7% chance in 1991.

Wide receiver at #12, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.8% · 2027 model: 12.2%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

#7OTCharles McRaeTB — GM Phil Krueger
#8OTAntone DavisPHI — GM Harry Gamble
#9SStanley RichardLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#10WRHerman MooreDET — GM Chuck Schmidt
#11OTPat HarlowNE — GM Sam Jankovich
#13WRMike PritchardATL — GM Ken Herock
#14RBLeonard RussellNE — GM Sam Jankovich
#15LBHuey RichardsonPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#16QBDan McGwireSEA — GM Tom Flores/Behring
#17DTBobby WilsonWAS — GM Charley Casserly

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2022Jameson WilliamsDET — GM Brad Holmes · Alabama
2020Henry Ruggs IIILV — GM Mike Mayock · Alabama
2014Odell Beckham Jr.NYG — GM Jerry Reese · LSU

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