Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 104

FIRST WR EVER DRAFTED AT #104

Eric Allen

Drafted by IND · Michigan State

1972

10
WRs drafted at #104 in NFL history
most recent: Jalen Saunders (NYJ, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a wide receiver at #104 a 12.3% chance in 1972.

Wide receiver at #104, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.5% 1972: 12.3%

Peak: 14.5% · 2027 model: 12.6%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 9 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart