Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 77

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #77

Billy Masters

Drafted by KC · LSU

1967 · earliest year in the data window

3
TEs drafted at #77 in NFL history
most recent: Matt Spaeth (PIT, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Tight end at #77, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.5%

Peak: 11.5% · 2027 model: 8.1%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart