Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 58

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #58

Brady, JohnJohn Brady

Drafted by DET · Washington

1973

2
TEs drafted at #58 in NFL history
most recent: Luke Schoonmaker (DAL, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a tight end at #58 a 4.8% chance in 1973.

Tight end at #58, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.9% 1973: 4.8%

Peak: 10.9% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart