Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 45

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #45

Dave Casper

Drafted by LV · Notre Dame

1974

3
TEs drafted at #45 in NFL history
most recent: Adam Shaheen (CHI, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a tight end at #45 a 4.9% chance in 1974.

Tight end at #45, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.7% 1974: 4.9%

Peak: 9.7% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart