Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

← back to chart · 2026 draftigamis

TE·pick 40

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #40

Walter Reeves

Drafted by ARI — GM Bill Bidwill · Auburn

1989

3
TEs drafted at #40 in NFL history
most recent: Ben Troupe (TEN, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a tight end at #40 a 4.3% chance in 1989.

Tight end at #40, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.9% 1989: 4.3%

Peak: 9.9% · 2027 model: 5.9%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart