TE · pick 31 — first ever tight end at #31 (2001)

TE·pick 31

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #31

Todd Heap

Drafted by BAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Arizona St.

2001

TEs drafted at #31 in NFL history

most recent: Greg Olsen (CHI, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2000, the model gave a tight end at #31 a 5.2% chance in 2001.

Tight end at #31, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.3% · 2027 model: 5.0%

Surrounding picks · 2001 draft

#26CBJamar FletcherMIA — GM Dave Wannstedt
#27RBMichael BennettMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#28SDerrick GibsonLV — GM Al Davis era
#29DTRyan PickettLAR — GM Charley Armey
#30WRReggie WayneIND — GM Bill Polian
#32QBDrew BreesLAC — GM John Butler
#33WRQuincy MorganCLE — GM Dwight Clark
#34DEKyle Vanden BoschARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#35TEAlge CrumplerATL — GM Harold Richardson
#36WRChad JohnsonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2007Greg OlsenCHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Miami (FL)

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