TE·pick 30
Dan Ross
Drafted by CIN · Northeastern
1979
4
TEs drafted at #30 in NFL history
most recent: Dustin Keller (NYJ, 2008)
How rare was this draftigami?
Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a tight end at #30 a 6.2% chance in 1979.
Tight end at #30, year by year
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.
Peak: 10.4% · 2027 model: 4.9%
Surrounding picks · 1979 draft
- #25CBRick Sanford
- #26OTKent Hill
- #27CRobert Shaw
- #28RBGreg Hawthorne
- #29WRJames Owens
- #31DTMike Stensrud
- #32DTFred Smerlas
- #33OGGreg Roberts
- #34WRGordon Jones
- #35RBTheotis Brown
Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks
- 2008Dustin Keller
- 2005Heath Miller
- 1991Reggie Johnson