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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 251

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #251

Mason Schreck

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Buffalo

2017

2
TEs drafted at #251 in NFL history
most recent: Stephen Sullivan (SEA, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a tight end at #251 a 7.3% chance in 2017.

Tight end at #251, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%23.9% 2017: 7.3%

Peak: 23.9% · 2027 model: 5.9%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart