Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

← back to chart · 2026 draftigamis

TE·pick 248

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #248

Patrick Estes

Drafted by SF — GM Scot McCloughan · Virginia

2005

4
TEs drafted at #248 in NFL history
most recent: Carsen Ryan (CLE, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a tight end at #248 a 7.7% chance in 2005.

Tight end at #248, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%23.0% 2005: 7.7%

Peak: 23.0% · 2027 model: 6.0%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart