TE · pick 247 — first ever tight end at #247 (2012)

TE·pick 247

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #247

Brad Smelley

Drafted by CLE — GM Tom Heckert · Alabama

2012

TEs drafted at #247 in NFL history

most recent: Brayden Willis (SF, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a tight end at #247 a 7.0% chance in 2012.

Tight end at #247, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 22.8% · 2027 model: 6.0%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#242SAntonio AllenNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#243QBB.J. ColemanGB — GM Ted Thompson
#244WRJordan WhiteNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#245CBTrevin WadeCLE — GM Tom Heckert
#246CBTerrence FrederickPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#248OTKelvin BeachumPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#249DTTravian RobertsonATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#250RBEdwin BakerLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#251STJohn PotterBUF — GM Buddy Nix
#252RBDaryl RichardsonLAR — GM Les Snead

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Brayden WillisSF — GM John Lynch · Oklahoma

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