TE · pick 238 — first ever tight end at #238 (1999)

TE·pick 238

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #238

Justin Swift

Drafted by DEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Kansas St.

1999

TEs drafted at #238 in NFL history

most recent: Daniel Hardy (TB, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a tight end at #238 a 7.9% chance in 1999.

Tight end at #238, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.8% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

#233RBAutry DensonTB — GM Rich McKay
#234LBKory MinorSF — GM Bill Walsh
#235LBJ.J. SyvrudNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#236DTNoel ScarlettMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#237CTodd McClureATL — GM Harold Richardson
#239QBChris GreisenARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#240WRDarnell McDonaldTB — GM Rich McKay
#241WRSean MoreyNE — GM Bobby Grier
#242CBDee MoronkolaJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#243OGKelvin GarmonDAL — GM Jerry Jones

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2011Daniel HardyTB — GM Mark Dominik · Idaho

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