Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 233

FIRST TE EVER DRAFTED AT #233

Jim Dray

Drafted by ARI — GM Rod Graves · Stanford

2010

2
TEs drafted at #233 in NFL history
most recent: Drake Dunsmore (TB, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2009, the model gave a tight end at #233 a 6.3% chance in 2010.

Tight end at #233, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.9% 2010: 6.3%

Peak: 19.9% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2010 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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